WatchMeWin
WatchMeWin
Joined: May 20, 2011
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March 30th, 2018 at 11:39:56 AM permalink
If anyone here is in Vegas and walks by any sports book, could you tell me what the current odds for the Indiana Pacers are to win the Championship? Ive seen 400-1 the other day. Today I saw 250-1. But these were online. Thanks!
'Winners hit n run... Losers stick around'
SM777
SM777
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March 30th, 2018 at 12:43:35 PM permalink
300 to 1 at Westgate.

Save your money. Or at the very least, do a running ML parlay on series prices, it will be pay more than 300 to 1 assuming they play the Warriors in the championship.
WatchMeWin
WatchMeWin
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March 31st, 2018 at 7:55:32 AM permalink
Quote: SM777

300 to 1 at Westgate.

Save your money. Or at the very least, do a running ML parlay on series prices, it will be pay more than 300 to 1 assuming they play the Warriors in the championship.



Thanks SM777! This is a high number. It is a hedge play. I dont really think the Pacers will with the Championship.... but at 300 - 1 , hedging the other side for the series throughout the playoffs can be a good play depending on the odds. Since they may be a 5th seed, the odds wont be so crazy. And now that Embiid is hurt, the sixers may play them in playoffs and Indiana just may be favored which is perfect for the hedge.

Thanks again for checking.
'Winners hit n run... Losers stick around'
SM777
SM777
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March 31st, 2018 at 8:39:27 PM permalink
Indiana won't be favored in that series, even if they have home court advantage.

In your scenario, your better off simply betting them to win the actual series. What's the purpose of betting 300 to 1 on the series, just to hedge it off after one round? If you think they'll beat the 76'ers, well....bet them against the 76er's in the series price!
ZenKinG
ZenKinG
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March 31st, 2018 at 9:21:31 PM permalink
Wow, the Warriors are now +120 and rockets are +150(used to be around +300). Looks like I was right. The betting public is buying the hype with the rockets. It also helps that curry went down and now fans are panicking and buying the rockets left and right.

The way to play the NBA championship futures, is simply to bet 2x your money on the Warriors and 1.5x your money on the Rockets as a hedge. These are the only two teams winning the title this year plain and simple unless there's some fluke injuries. I hope the Timberwolves can make some noise because im a big rose fan and chicago fan and they have a lot of pieces from those past chicago teams, but that's my heart talking and not my brain.

10,000 bet on the warriors gets you 12,000.
7500 bet on the rockets gets you 11,250

Personally I'm not touching the futures, but this is one way to go about it. a 2 to 1.5 ratio sounds about right.
Any private business open to the PUBLIC (ie. droned out casinos) cannot have a criminal trespass enforced against an individual without GOOD CAUSE (Disruptive or Disorderly conduct). You will never go to prison for being thrown out of a casino for legal advantage play and then returning because it's simply unconstitutional 'as applied' to the individual. 'As applied' constitutional issues must FIRST be raised in DISTRICT COURT (trial court) to have it thrown out. You CANNOT raise it on APPEAL This is the best kept secret in the world of casinos not just in Vegas but everywhere in the country. Thank me later.
michael99000
michael99000
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March 31st, 2018 at 10:15:39 PM permalink
Quote: ZenKinG



10,000 bet on the warriors gets you 12,000.
7500 bet on the rockets gets you 11,250

Personally I'm not touching the futures, but this is one way to go about it. a 2 to 1.5 ratio sounds about right.



Thatís a horrible idea unless you think they are gonna play Toronto in the finals and be -500 favorites

So Iím risking $17,500 total. And if Houston wins the championship I win $1250, and if golden state wins the championship I win $4500. And if something flukey does happen and neither makes it I lose the entire $17,500. No thanks

How about I just wait until the finals and take my $17500 and bet it on Houston or GS for the series. This elimates the risk of
neither of them getting there. And it also pays out much more

Last year GS was -240 for the series vs Cleveland. Thatís GS with Durant , basically the team they have now. Even if they were -300 this year because Cleveland isnít as good , my 17500 bet would win 5750.
SM777
SM777
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April 1st, 2018 at 10:56:06 AM permalink
Quote: michael99000

Thatís a horrible idea unless you think they are gonna play Toronto in the finals and be -500 favorites

So Iím risking $17,500 total. And if Houston wins the championship I win $1250, and if golden state wins the championship I win $4500. And if something flukey does happen and neither makes it I lose the entire $17,500. No thanks

How about I just wait until the finals and take my $17500 and bet it on Houston or GS for the series. This elimates the risk of
neither of them getting there. And it also pays out much more

Last year GS was -240 for the series vs Cleveland. Thatís GS with Durant , basically the team they have now. Even if they were -300 this year because Cleveland isnít as good , my 17500 bet would win 5750.



That's a concept that gets lost on many novice sports bettors. They view these future bets as hedges before any games are played. Much like the poster who made this thread.

If you like something, bet it. Why complicate it by betting a future where multiple things need to happen? Not to mention it adds in the risk of many things, mainly injuries.
WatchMeWin
WatchMeWin
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April 5th, 2018 at 12:07:52 AM permalink
Quote: SM777

That's a concept that gets lost on many novice sports bettors. They view these future bets as hedges before any games are played. Much like the poster who made this thread.

If you like something, bet it. Why complicate it by betting a future where multiple things need to happen? Not to mention it adds in the risk of many things, mainly injuries.



It is actually to hedge the other side of a futures I took a while back on the sixers. Im averaged in at 90-1 on my tickets. I thought they would be playing Indiana first round, and the 300-1 is a great hedge as I get a pass in the first round with great odds moving forward. However, the sixers keep winning and they may even move into 3rd seed for playoffs, at which point the 6th seed is still unknown.
'Winners hit n run... Losers stick around'
Boz
Boz
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April 5th, 2018 at 3:58:24 AM permalink
Quote: michael99000

Thatís a horrible idea unless you think they are gonna play Toronto in the finals and be -500 favorites

So Iím risking $17,500 total. And if Houston wins the championship I win $1250, and if golden state wins the championship I win $4500. And if something flukey does happen and neither makes it I lose the entire $17,500. No thanks

How about I just wait until the finals and take my $17500 and bet it on Houston or GS for the series. This elimates the risk of
neither of them getting there. And it also pays out much more

Last year GS was -240 for the series vs Cleveland. Thatís GS with Durant , basically the team they have now. Even if they were -300 this year because Cleveland isnít as good , my 17500 bet would win 5750.



Would be nice to see a response from the smartest man in the room on why you are wrong.
ZenKinG
ZenKinG
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April 5th, 2018 at 4:28:38 AM permalink
Quote: Boz

Would be nice to see a response from the smartest man in the room on why you are wrong.



The only way the Rockets or the Warriors don't win this year is because of major fluke injuries and thats the only risk you take. Unless ofc the whole playoffs is fixed for lebron, then all bets are off. Personally with all things considered,, I'm not a fan of betting on sports, which is why I don't do it.
Any private business open to the PUBLIC (ie. droned out casinos) cannot have a criminal trespass enforced against an individual without GOOD CAUSE (Disruptive or Disorderly conduct). You will never go to prison for being thrown out of a casino for legal advantage play and then returning because it's simply unconstitutional 'as applied' to the individual. 'As applied' constitutional issues must FIRST be raised in DISTRICT COURT (trial court) to have it thrown out. You CANNOT raise it on APPEAL This is the best kept secret in the world of casinos not just in Vegas but everywhere in the country. Thank me later.

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