NFL Week 3 Predictions
September 21st, 2010 at 11:38:36 AM
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Here's last weeks results:
TheCesspit :
DET +6 -110 Hilton - 1 Unit. Win +0.92
DEN -3.5 -110 Hilton - 1 Unit. Win +0.92
NO -4 -110 Wynn LV - 1 Unit. Loss -1.0
Record 3-3, Average bet - 1.5 Units, Total 98.66
rdw4potus :
Record 0-2, Average bet - 2.5 Units, Total 95.00
EnvyBonus :
Pitt/TEN OVER 36.5 for 3 units (Hilton) - Loss -3.0
DET +6 for 3 units (Hilton) - Win +2.72
Record 1-2, Average bet - 3 Units, Total 96.72
Ericayne :
Green Bay (-13) - 1 unit, Win +0.92
Dallas (-7.5) - 1 unit, Loss -1.00
Vikings (-5.5) - 1 unit, Loss -1.00
NE Pats (-3) - 1 unit, Loss -1.00
Record 4-5, Average bet - 1 Unit - Total 98.65
Ruascott :
NE -1 -110 Wynn - 3 units - Loss -3.0 Units
Wash +3 -120 - 1 unit - Push -0.0
NO -4 -110 - 2 units - Loss -0.0
Record 0-2, Average bet - 2.5 Units - Total 95.00
Ayecarumba :
NO -4.0 -110 5.5 units (Wynn) - Loss -5.5
SEA +3.0 +125 8 units (Leroy's) - Loss -8.0
HOU -3.0 +105 5 units (LV Hilton) Push 0.0
Record 1-3, Average bet - 8.88 Units, Total 92.25
TheWizard :
StL +3.5, -110 - Win +0.92
NYG +5.5, -110 - Loss -1.0
Phil -4.5, -110 - Loss -1.0
NO -5.5, -110 - Loss -1.0
Record 1-3, Average bet - 1.00 Units, Total 97.92
Overall
I'm ignoring Pushes in the overall records. If that seems unfair, give me a reason and I'll change it. If i've made an error, just let me know.
Go ahead and start posting if you have early lines to jump on...
http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/ - all bets on that page are valid, except the opening line.
TheCesspit :
DET +6 -110 Hilton - 1 Unit. Win +0.92
DEN -3.5 -110 Hilton - 1 Unit. Win +0.92
NO -4 -110 Wynn LV - 1 Unit. Loss -1.0
Record 3-3, Average bet - 1.5 Units, Total 98.66
rdw4potus :
Record 0-2, Average bet - 2.5 Units, Total 95.00
EnvyBonus :
Pitt/TEN OVER 36.5 for 3 units (Hilton) - Loss -3.0
DET +6 for 3 units (Hilton) - Win +2.72
Record 1-2, Average bet - 3 Units, Total 96.72
Ericayne :
Green Bay (-13) - 1 unit, Win +0.92
Dallas (-7.5) - 1 unit, Loss -1.00
Vikings (-5.5) - 1 unit, Loss -1.00
NE Pats (-3) - 1 unit, Loss -1.00
Record 4-5, Average bet - 1 Unit - Total 98.65
Ruascott :
NE -1 -110 Wynn - 3 units - Loss -3.0 Units
Wash +3 -120 - 1 unit - Push -0.0
NO -4 -110 - 2 units - Loss -0.0
Record 0-2, Average bet - 2.5 Units - Total 95.00
Ayecarumba :
NO -4.0 -110 5.5 units (Wynn) - Loss -5.5
SEA +3.0 +125 8 units (Leroy's) - Loss -8.0
HOU -3.0 +105 5 units (LV Hilton) Push 0.0
Record 1-3, Average bet - 8.88 Units, Total 92.25
TheWizard :
StL +3.5, -110 - Win +0.92
NYG +5.5, -110 - Loss -1.0
Phil -4.5, -110 - Loss -1.0
NO -5.5, -110 - Loss -1.0
Record 1-3, Average bet - 1.00 Units, Total 97.92
Overall
Total W/L Average
Ayecarumba 92.25 1-3 8.88
Ruascott 95.00 0-2 2.50
rdw4Potus 95.00 0-2 2.50
EnvyBonus 96.72 1-2 3.00
The Wizard 97.92 1-3 1.00
Ericayne 98.65 4-5 1.00
TheCesspit 98.66 3-3 1.50
I'm ignoring Pushes in the overall records. If that seems unfair, give me a reason and I'll change it. If i've made an error, just let me know.
Go ahead and start posting if you have early lines to jump on...
http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/ - all bets on that page are valid, except the opening line.
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
September 21st, 2010 at 12:16:30 PM
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Atlanta +4.5 5 units (Leroy's)
Pittsburg -2.0 6 units (Leroy's)
GreenBay -3 +105 20 units(Leroy's)
Pittsburg -2.0 6 units (Leroy's)
GreenBay -3 +105 20 units(Leroy's)
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
September 23rd, 2010 at 11:18:05 AM
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I carelessly bet 1 unit a game last week instead of my standard 2... was not on purpose.
Cleveland have lost two close games, and not scored much. Baltimore have split the decisions and not scored much. While I don't expect this to be a Browns win, I can't see the score board being lit up enough for the Ravens to cover this spread.
Cleveland +11, 1 Units -110 (Leroys)
Cle/Bal, Under 37, 1 Units -110 (Leroys)
Stafford is still out, but given the last couple of weeks, Hill and Favre are running about the same, and the Detroit Lions defence, while porous, are getting turnovers. I'm a Homer as well, but I'm riding the 2-0 streak Against the Spread. This could end up being a battle of the Running Backs.
Detroit +11.5, 2 Units -110 (Wynn)
In the other half of the division, I can't decide if I like the Over or the -3 Green Bay Line. That line seems too low, as while Da Bears have started off fast, they've played a poor Lions team (and got away with it) and a poor Cowboys team (and looked good while doing it). But if you look at Romo's numbers... Rodgers has to be capable of putting the ball where it needs to be. I'll take the Chalk on GB, especially as I'm getting better than Evens.
GB -3, 2 Units +105 (Leroys)
I am also watching the Jets/Miami line drift out... if the Jets +3 I may take it.
Cleveland have lost two close games, and not scored much. Baltimore have split the decisions and not scored much. While I don't expect this to be a Browns win, I can't see the score board being lit up enough for the Ravens to cover this spread.
Cleveland +11, 1 Units -110 (Leroys)
Cle/Bal, Under 37, 1 Units -110 (Leroys)
Stafford is still out, but given the last couple of weeks, Hill and Favre are running about the same, and the Detroit Lions defence, while porous, are getting turnovers. I'm a Homer as well, but I'm riding the 2-0 streak Against the Spread. This could end up being a battle of the Running Backs.
Detroit +11.5, 2 Units -110 (Wynn)
In the other half of the division, I can't decide if I like the Over or the -3 Green Bay Line. That line seems too low, as while Da Bears have started off fast, they've played a poor Lions team (and got away with it) and a poor Cowboys team (and looked good while doing it). But if you look at Romo's numbers... Rodgers has to be capable of putting the ball where it needs to be. I'll take the Chalk on GB, especially as I'm getting better than Evens.
GB -3, 2 Units +105 (Leroys)
I am also watching the Jets/Miami line drift out... if the Jets +3 I may take it.
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
September 23rd, 2010 at 1:33:06 PM
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Pushing sucks, but considering the alternative, I'll take it. There was some wisdom on the board regarding the reality of Seattle and "only" three points. I wish I had listened with my head instead of my heart.
I'm still thinking Brett Farve is going to bust out this week, but I seem to think that every Thursday. Unfortunately, come Monday night, I'm using my purple jersey to dab the tears off my parlay slips.
I'm still thinking Brett Farve is going to bust out this week, but I seem to think that every Thursday. Unfortunately, come Monday night, I'm using my purple jersey to dab the tears off my parlay slips.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
September 23rd, 2010 at 5:01:51 PM
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Quote: AyecarumbaPushing sucks, but considering the alternative, I'll take it. There was some wisdom on the board regarding the reality of Seattle and "only" three points. I wish I had listened with my head instead of my heart.
I'm still thinking Brett Farve is going to bust out this week, but I seem to think that every Thursday. Unfortunately, come Monday night, I'm using my purple jersey to dab the tears off my parlay slips.
I'm hoping this isn't the Favre week... if he plays as badly as he has been, the DET secondary will be happy. However, if the Vikings have the brains, they'll run plenty of screens and dump off with AP.
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
September 24th, 2010 at 1:01:34 PM
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I will take....
Pittsburg (-2.5) for 1 unit (LVHilton)
Detroit (+11) for 1 unit ("")
GreenBay (-3) for 1 unit ("")
Mama needs a new pair of shoes.....
Pittsburg (-2.5) for 1 unit (LVHilton)
Detroit (+11) for 1 unit ("")
GreenBay (-3) for 1 unit ("")
Mama needs a new pair of shoes.....
