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steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
June 29th, 2017 at 7:08:26 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
 Giants +100
 Nationals +100
 Mets +105
 Royals +125
 Astros +100
 White Sox -100
 Cardinals +126

Yesterday's results: +556
+130dogs 0
Other dogs +230
Favorites 0
Focus Picks +126
FocusFlips 0
DogFlips +200

YTD Total -29,333
+130dogs +491
Other dogs -1,439
Favorites -403
Focus Picks -16,393
FocusFlips -3,557
DogFlips -8,032
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
TomG
TomG
Joined: Sep 26, 2010
  • Threads: 13
  • Posts: 2049
June 29th, 2017 at 8:58:11 AM permalink
Quote: bazooooka

As much energy many put in to sniff out upsets; monetize that. If one goes back and looks they will see around 75% of all your winning +130 hit on the alt and you would have averaged around +190 on those winners.



What method are you using to back test these? I don't have access to easy to a database for these plays. But we can see that you posted some lists a few times. Checking the results betting $100 per game:

31 May - underdogs on the runline went 2-7 for a loss of $240; on the money line they went 3-6 for a loss of $173

17 June - underdogs on the runline went 0-4 for for a loss of $400; on the money line they went 1-3 for a loss of $194

23 June - runline has a record of 4-11, -$230; money line record of 8-7, +$257

26 June - runline 1-6, -$315; moneyline 2-5, -$163

16 June - runlines edited and erased (any other days where this happened?), runline 4-12 estimated -$400; money line 7-8 +$41

Any other dates I missed where runline odds were posted?
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
June 29th, 2017 at 9:40:40 AM permalink
As an FYI for those interested, I am unable to download data from baseball-reference. It states that there are no results from yesterday available. I don't know when that will be fixed.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
June 29th, 2017 at 1:16:22 PM permalink
Today's Picks:
 Pirates 109
 Marlins -133 Focus
 Yankees -150 DogFlips
 Braves 104
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
bazooooka
bazooooka
Joined: Nov 21, 2016
  • Threads: 3
  • Posts: 185
June 29th, 2017 at 7:53:18 PM permalink
My method is in my own account. But if you want you can adjust all old odds for "alts". Just add 60-100 points based on the underlying moneyline dog odds. Or go look at all Steels dog winners and subtract for the few that won by 1 run and then whatever you have left you can then multiply by +220 (that's close to the average I've got factoring in all winners)

Hell; Even today there was only 1 game that had a Final within 1 run. The run lines and the alts have been the profitable play this year. Even if you like Steels dog flips favorites then I'd play runlines. But of course I prefer the alts and I need to only hit 1 out of 3 to profit at average 200+ odds. Simple system as long as Steel's algo keeps sniffing dogs. Sadly, even Steel will admit the Algo performs better before July. I've banked my profits.



**Those who have played them, and using Steels +130, are very happy. Others who are suspect have already missed the easy pickings.


Quote: TomG

What method are you using to back test these? I don't have access to easy to a database for these plays. But we can see that you posted some lists a few times. Checking the results betting $100 per game:

31 May - underdogs on the runline went 2-7 for a loss of $240; on the money line they went 3-6 for a loss of $173

17 June - underdogs on the runline went 0-4 for for a loss of $400; on the money line they went 1-3 for a loss of $194

23 June - runline has a record of 4-11, -$230; money line record of 8-7, +$257

26 June - runline 1-6, -$315; moneyline 2-5, -$163

16 June - runlines edited and erased (any other days where this happened?), runline 4-12 estimated -$400; money line 7-8 +$41

Any other dates I missed where runline odds were posted?

steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
June 30th, 2017 at 7:41:29 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
 Pirates +100
 Marlins -133
 Yankees -150
 Braves -100

Yesterday's results: -283
+130dogs 0
Other dogs 0
Favorites 0
Focus Picks -133
FocusFlips 0
DogFlips -150

YTD Total -29,616
+130dogs +491
Other dogs -1,439
Favorites -403
Focus Picks -16,526
FocusFlips -3,557
DogFlips -8,182
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
June 30th, 2017 at 8:06:28 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
 Orioles 110
 Tigers 100
 Phillies 220 Focus
 White Sox 110
 Astros -170 DogFlips
 Twins 112
 Cardinals -125 Focus
 Angels -102
 Dodgers -195 DogFlips
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
July 1st, 2017 at 10:27:02 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
 Orioles -100
 Tigers 0
 Phillies -100
 White Sox +110
 Astros -170
 Twins -100
 Cardinals +100
 Angels -102
 Dodgers +100

Yesterday's results: -262
+130dogs 0
Other dogs -192
Favorites 0
Focus Picks 0
FocusFlips 0
DogFlips -70

YTD Total -29,878
+130dogs +491
Other dogs -1,631
Favorites -403
Focus Picks -16,526
FocusFlips -3,557
DogFlips -8,252
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
July 1st, 2017 at 10:38:12 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
 White Sox 110
 Twins -120 Focus
 Rays 116
 Giants 112
 Phillies 155 Focus
 Reds 104
 Yankees 115
 Nationals 106
 Indians -155 DogFlips
 Dodgers -185 DogFlips
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
July 2nd, 2017 at 5:01:23 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
 White Sox -100
 Twins -120
 Rays +116
 Giants +112
 Phillies -100
 Reds +104
 Yankees -100
 Nationals -100
 Indians -105
 Dodgers +100

Yesterday's results: -193
+130dogs 0
Other dogs +32
Favorites 0
Focus Picks -220
FocusFlips 0
DogFlips -5

YTD Total -30,071
+130dogs +491
Other dogs -1,599
Favorites -403
Focus Picks -16,746
FocusFlips -3,557
DogFlips -8,257
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.

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