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steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
May 29th, 2017 at 5:57:46 AM permalink
Bazooooka is looking like a genius..

Yesterday's Results:
 Marlins +100
 Royals -100
 Padres +1127
 Rays +700
 Orioles -100
 Cardinals -700
 Braves -700
 Mets +707

Yesterday's results: +1,034
+130dogs +1,027
Other dogs -100
Favorites +100
Focus Picks +707
FocusFlips -700
Alt. Run Line +185

YTD Total -18,069
+130dogs -2,225
Other dogs -187
Favorites -703
Focus Picks -12,197
FocusFlips -2,757

Bazooooka's Alt Run Line Picks: +445
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
May 29th, 2017 at 6:17:45 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
 Yankees 105
 Twins 116
 Cardinals 100
 Mariners 140 +130Dogs 7X's
 Giants 105
 Diamondbacks -102 Focus 7X's
 Brewers 120 Focus 7X's
 Padres 185 +130Dogs 7X's
 Reds 180 +130Dogs 7X's
 Phillies 141 +130Dogs 1X's
 Rays 110


Bazooooka's Alt Run Line Picks:
 Mariners -1.5R+325
 Padres -1.5R+440
 Reds -1.5R+385
 Phillies -1.5R+330
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
RS
RS
Joined: Feb 11, 2014
  • Threads: 62
  • Posts: 8623
May 29th, 2017 at 8:44:03 AM permalink
Where are you getting these alt run line picks?
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
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May 29th, 2017 at 9:18:43 AM permalink
It was suggested several times by bazooooka, with the latest being in a post on May 26th. Look back in the thread.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
May 30th, 2017 at 4:47:34 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
 Yankees -100
 Twins -100
 Cardinals -100
 Mariners +980
 Giants -100
 Diamondbacks -714
 Brewers -700
 Padres +1295
 Reds -700
 Phillies -100
 Rays +110

Yesterday's results: -229
+130dogs +1,475
Other dogs -290
Favorites 0
Focus Picks -1,414
FocusFlips 0
Alt. Run Line +140

YTD Total -18,298
+130dogs -750
Other dogs -477
Favorites -703
Focus Picks -13,611
FocusFlips -2,757

Bazooooka's Alt Run Line Picks: +585
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
May 30th, 2017 at 7:52:39 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
 Diamondbacks -105 Focus 7X's
 Reds 170 +130Dogs 7X's
 Mariners 130 +130Dogs 7X's
 Rangers -102
 Astros 103 Focus 7X's
 Royals 130 +130Dogs 7X's
 Nationals 113


bazooooka's alt. run picks:
  Reds -1.5R+375
 Mariners -1.5R+315
 Royals -1.5R+365
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
bazooooka
bazooooka
Joined: Nov 21, 2016
  • Threads: 3
  • Posts: 185
May 30th, 2017 at 3:19:52 PM permalink
Most online books do alt lines. They take the dogs an then make them a -1.5 favorite. If Steel can pick dogs then he will be better off with the extra juice. I don't do this on all my picks. Only on my favorite dog picks.

But Steel's algo has showed promise at picking dogs thus the "alt" lines would have done him well the past few years.

***That being said; picking dogs gets harder as the year goes on. I tend toward underachieving teams like the Cubs that maybe should/could start performing closer to preseason expectations. But most dog teams are indeed "dogs" at this point.
bazooooka
bazooooka
Joined: Nov 21, 2016
  • Threads: 3
  • Posts: 185
May 30th, 2017 at 3:28:11 PM permalink
I have never found a way to buy points in MLB and make it worthwhile. Also +130 dogs being a +385 alt line at -1.5 would be remarkable.

+130 dogs normally ends up like +230 at -1.5 (ex Orioles today at home).

However whenever one can get +300 or more on an alt line I'd look at it. The worst teams in baseball will always win more than 1/3rd of their games. At +300 you are getting better than even money on a crap team thus if they are at home or have a decent pitcher etc...I for sure will consider it. And at +330 or more it almost always makes sense to take a punt.


Quote: GWAE

The padres are +130 +385, can you buy the .5 run to make it -1? If you can I assume it will make it +250 or so, would that be better than the -1.5, would reduce variance I would think.

TomG
TomG
Joined: Sep 26, 2010
  • Threads: 13
  • Posts: 1976
May 30th, 2017 at 4:07:37 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

bazooooka's alt. run picks:
  Reds -1.5R+375
 Mariners -1.5R+315
 Royals -1.5R+365



If it's with a reputable sportsbook, get down as much as you possibly can in both straight bets and parlays until they cut you off or adjust the number. If it's a book that has had problems in the past, consider betting small and definitely withdraw often. (I'm assuming its online and not anything in Nevada).

Have a few ideas where you might be getting these lines. Be careful talking about it, it doesn't take too many people finding out about it for something like this to disappear real quick.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
May 30th, 2017 at 4:26:31 PM permalink
TomG, I very much appreciate the commentary. I have been told of a site that can be used and that is 5Dimes. To me, and maybe its just my ignorance in this area, I had an awfully difficult time finding someone who posted alt run lines on every game.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.

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