Thread Rating:

steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
May 20th, 2017 at 6:18:56 AM permalink
BTW, and I know that this will cause my friend DrawingDead to burst a blood vessel, but yesterday, with the +130dogs having reached a 5 consecutive day losing streak, it was an actionable event. Had I grown a pair, I should have doubled up.

The positive thing is that this year's annual 5 day losing streak is now behind me.

The next probable actionable event to doubling up? The next 4 day consecutive losing streak for the +130dogs. The +130dogs have only lost as many as 5 consecutive days only once each year that I have been tracking this going back to 2014. Maybe I'll grow a pair by then...............
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
May 20th, 2017 at 6:29:07 AM permalink
Just a note.......the dogflips are back on 06/05/17 and therefore the +130dogs will be given a rest for a time.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
May 20th, 2017 at 6:38:37 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
 Royals -103
 Rays 110
 Rockies 115
 Nationals -190
 Giants 140 +130Dogs 7X's
 White Sox 159 FocusFlips 7X's
 Padres 101
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
bazooooka
bazooooka
Joined: Nov 21, 2016
  • Threads: 3
  • Posts: 185
May 20th, 2017 at 4:43:48 PM permalink
Steel,

There is no predictive power based on past losing streaks. The only predictive power relies on the idea that you have an edge. If indeed you can hit the +130 above 40% then it will come back over a long sample.

However there may be no edge there. Losing streaks of high magnitude and big drawdowns are more consistent with random picks. +130 flips also seems to have been a good call 2 weeks back (and Focus flips from the start).

It's likely Vegas is already adjusted to true team talent levels. Edges don't last long. And in my experience they are easier to find early rather than late season.
Last edited by: bazooooka on May 20, 2017
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
May 21st, 2017 at 5:00:59 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
 Royals 0
 Rays +110
 Rockies -100
 Nationals -190
 Giants +980
 White Sox +1113
 Padres -100

Yesterday's results: +1,813
+130dogs +980
Other dogs -90
Favorites -190
Focus Picks 0
FocusFlips +1,113

YTD Total -13,094
+130dogs -817
Other dogs -572
Favorites -440
Focus Picks -9,908
FocusFlips -1,357
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
May 21st, 2017 at 9:44:06 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
 Yankees 128
 Rockies 103
 Mets -105 Focus 7X's
 Braves 165 +130Dogs 7X's
 Pirates 107
 Blue Jays 105
 Royals 110
 Athletics 109
 Marlins 180 +130Dogs 7X's
 White Sox 122
 Padres 108 Focus 7X's
 Royals 110
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
May 22nd, 2017 at 8:38:29 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
 Yankees +128
 Rockies +103
 Mets -735
 Braves -700
 Pirates +107
 Blue Jays +105
 Royals +110
 Athletics -100
 Marlins -700
 White Sox +122
 Padres +756
 Royals -100

Yesterday's results: -904
+130dogs -1,400
Other dogs +475
Favorites 0
Focus Picks +21
FocusFlips 0

YTD Total -13,998
+130dogs -2,217
Other dogs -97
Favorites -440
Focus Picks -9,887
FocusFlips -1,357
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
May 22nd, 2017 at 9:05:02 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
 Royals 162 Focus 7X's
 Twins 123
 Reds 114
 Angels 103
 Cubs -200
 Astros -131 Focus 7X's
 White Sox 179 +130Dogs 1X's
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
May 23rd, 2017 at 10:26:10 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
 Royals -700
 Twins +123
 Reds +114
 Angels +103
 Cubs -200
 Astros +700
 White Sox -100

Yesterday's results: +40
+130dogs -100
Other dogs +340
Favorites -200
Focus Picks 0
FocusFlips 0

YTD Total -13,958
+130dogs -2,317
Other dogs +243
Favorites -640
Focus Picks -9,887
FocusFlips -1,357
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
May 23rd, 2017 at 10:38:38 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
 Giants 157 +130Dogs 7X's
 Phillies 125
 Twins 130 +130Dogs 7X's
 Rangers 181 +130Dogs 7X's
 Pirates -103
 Blue Jays -101
 White Sox 175 FocusFlips 7X's
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.

  • Jump to: