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black2
black2
Joined: Oct 31, 2016
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  • Posts: 18
May 16th, 2017 at 10:37:49 PM permalink
Quote: bazooooka

Steel,

Have you considered playing the -1.5 run lines on you dogs. Often your +130-180 dogs dogs will pay 190 to 270+ if/when you bet them at -1.5 to win.

Sure maybe 20% of winners will turn into losers; But the others will have increased payouts of up to 50% on the odds. Your Atl. pick today would have hit at +200 so 1400 bucks (at 7x) which can offset the 2 losers.

If you can average +200 odds you only need to hit 1 in 3 which you have easily done on the dogs long term - after factoring in -1.5 runline.

fyi: I went through your old results and this would have left you up nicely. When your algo runs hot it typically wins by over a run.
You should look into it; also you can decrease bets to 4x and still make similar money with less risk on a hot streak.



A lot of the offshore sites have a very low maximum on -1.5 run lines for dogs. Bookmaker is $500 as an example.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
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May 17th, 2017 at 7:57:03 AM permalink
Quote: bazooooka

Steel,

I think the Rays not the Indians would have been the "flip". I thought the flips were avoiding the heavy chalk focus picks?

*the flip of the favorite would have paid around +180 to +200 depending on the book or near +300 if you start paying the -1.5 run line on these preferred "dogs".



Hey bazooooka, yes, thanks. I screwed up again.......for the 2nd. time and this is really costing me.
I guess I'm just hitting a point where I've got too many things going on.............sucks.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
RS
RS
Joined: Feb 11, 2014
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May 17th, 2017 at 8:46:39 AM permalink
No picks today, steeldco?
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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May 17th, 2017 at 9:07:54 AM permalink
Quote: RS

No picks today, steeldco?



I'm trying. I can't download all of the necessary data from baseball-ref.com. They seem to be having a problem with their site.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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May 17th, 2017 at 9:21:20 AM permalink
Today's Picks: (I feel good. gonna be a good day)

 Rays 158 +130Dogs 7X's
 Marlins 145 +130Dogs 7X's
 Mets 119 Focus 7X's
 Giants 160 +130Dogs 7X's
 Nationals 120
 Orioles 133 +130Dogs 7X's
 Blue Jays 103
 Reds 164 +130Dogs 7X's
 Phillies 117
 Royals 123
 Angels -164
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
michael99000
michael99000
Joined: Jul 10, 2010
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May 17th, 2017 at 11:30:51 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Today's Picks: (I feel good. gonna be a good day)

 Rays 158 +130Dogs 7X's
 Marlins 145 +130Dogs 7X's
 Mets 119 Focus 7X's
 Giants 160 +130Dogs 7X's
 Nationals 120
 Orioles 133 +130Dogs 7X's
 Blue Jays 103
 Reds 164 +130Dogs 7X's
 Phillies 117
 Royals 123
 Angels -164



Did you post yesterday's results yet ?
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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May 17th, 2017 at 11:50:57 AM permalink
michael99000, thanks. I thought that I had, but I guess not. Here ya go.
Yesterday's Results:
 Braves +910
 Indians -1211
 Pirates -700
 Orioles +111
 Marlins -700
 Phillies -100
 Reds -700
 Rockies +105
 Royals -100
 Cardinals -103
 Diamondbacks +100
 Brewers +106

Yesterday's results: -2,282
+130dogs -1,290
Other dogs +222
Favorites -3
Focus Picks 0
FocusFlips -1,211

YTD Total -13,492
+130dogs -997
Other dogs -537
Favorites -350
Focus Picks -9,138
FocusFlips -2,470
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
bazooooka
bazooooka
Joined: Nov 21, 2016
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May 17th, 2017 at 1:36:53 PM permalink
Steel, I have no problem if you correct your focus flip record (especially if you bet it properly)? It's pretty obvious that the flip is normally a heavy dog. Do you bet all these picks at units you post?
IndyJeffrey
IndyJeffrey
Joined: Feb 10, 2013
  • Threads: 9
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May 17th, 2017 at 6:57:33 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Today's Picks: (I feel good. gonna be a good day)



Brutal, just brutal.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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May 18th, 2017 at 5:51:15 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
 Rays +1106
 Marlins -700
 Mets -700
 Giants -700
 Nationals -100
 Orioles -700
 Blue Jays -100
 Reds -700
 Phillies -100
 Royals -100
 Angels +100

Yesterday's results: -2,694
+130dogs -1,694
Other dogs -400
Favorites +100
Focus Picks -700
FocusFlips 0

YTD Total -16,186
+130dogs -2,691
Other dogs -937
Favorites -250
Focus Picks -9,838
FocusFlips -2,470
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.

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