Also, question......would it be possible for you to include the probability chance for each game you select? I remember before you were saying you bet on dogs that you believe to have a 45% chance to win or better (or something like that). If it's too much work or if you don't want to share that part of your system with us, I understand.

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/tools/odds-converter/

Quote:bazooookaYou can convert odds here. Add a few points for edge if one likes a pick. A 7x pick might be thought of as a 5% edge or more. Best capper in the world pick around 54-56% long term on a 50/50 bet.

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/tools/odds-converter/

I'm not talking about implied probability.

Twins -700

Blue Jays -100

Nationals +100

White Sox -700

Braves -749

Marlins -100

Giants -100

Cubs -945

Tigers -100

Angels +111

Rangers -100

Yesterday's results: -3,383

+130dogs -1,400

Other dogs -289

Favorites 0

Focus Picks -1,694

FocusFlips 0

YTD Total -8,365

+130dogs +3,602

Other dogs -924

Favorites -862

Focus Picks -8,781

FocusFlips -1,400

Quote:AxelWolfI get a little worried when you start blacklisting teams. What's the logic behind that?

I had noticed last year that one or two teams start out losing and never recover. This year I am attempting to find and reduce the wager size on those.

The record since I started doing that is that the blacklisted teams are a cumulative 4 wins and 11 losses. It has, and yes it's a small sample size, worked so far. Interestingly, the White Sox are close to breaking onto that list and supplanting the Rays. Not quite yet though.

Quote:RSI got the Reds at +115 ML for tomorrow. What do you think of that, Steeldco? Yay or nay?

Also, question......would it be possible for you to include the probability chance for each game you select? I remember before you were saying you bet on dogs that you believe to have a 45% chance to win or better (or something like that). If it's too much work or if you don't want to share that part of your system with us, I understand.

RS, I'll give it some thought. As you know I play it pretty tight to the vest as far the algorithm is concerned. We'll see.

Marlins 123

Braves 108 Focus 7X's

Brewers 115

White Sox 110

Twins 159 +130Dogs 7X's

Indians -104

Phillies 120

Diamondbacks 106 Focus 7X's

Tigers 100

Rangers 108

Reds 100

Yankees 114

What kind of variance do you expect or have you seen in your MLB betting? Having you had $13,000 swings where you can be up 6k on year but end up down 7k later in the betting season? What's your thoughts on variance and what is normal vs unusual for a 7x type betting with 1x sprinkled in?