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steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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May 5th, 2017 at 9:10:14 AM permalink
Quote: RS

You forgot the brewers winning.



RS, nice catch. Thanks! Revision below. They were in the totals though......

Yesterday's Results:
 Brewers +910
 Rockies +100
 Diamondbacks -700
 Mets 0
 Athletics +101
 Rangers +144
 Angels -100
 Marlins -100
 Orioles +110

Yesterday's results: +465
+130dogs +1,054
Other dogs +11
Favorites +100
Focus Picks -700
FocusFlips 0

YTD Total -4,711
+130dogs +5,802
Other dogs -538
Favorites -858
Focus Picks -7,717
FocusFlips -1,400
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
RS
RS
Joined: Feb 11, 2014
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May 5th, 2017 at 9:16:14 AM permalink
Any picks for today?
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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May 5th, 2017 at 9:28:59 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
 Phillies 149 +130Dogs 1X's
 Brewers 118
 Cardinals -102
 Marlins -104
 Reds -115 Focus 7X's
 White Sox 145 +130Dogs 7X's
 Tigers 103
 Mariners 112
 Cubs -115 Focus 7X's
 Diamondbacks 105 Focus 7X's
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
bazooooka
bazooooka
Joined: Nov 21, 2016
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May 5th, 2017 at 5:55:39 PM permalink
Steel, What value did you see in the Dback yesterday aside from the +200 line. What makes you (or the algo) see value in one +200 line over another?
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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May 6th, 2017 at 7:48:12 AM permalink
Quote: bazooooka

Steel, What value did you see in the Dback yesterday aside from the +200 line. What makes you (or the algo) see value in one +200 line over another?



This would be difficult to answer without going through the variables that are used within the algorithm and I won't be doing that. Sorry if I sound like a jerk but it is what it is.

In general, it's built around spotting trends. Which way are the specific stats that I track trending for each team and how meaningful is the trend.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
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May 6th, 2017 at 7:49:44 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:

 Phillies -100
 Brewers -100
 Cardinals +100
 Marlins -104
 Reds +700
 White Sox -700
 Tigers +103
 Mariners -100
 Cubs -805
 Diamondbacks +735

Yesterday's results: -271
+130dogs -800
Other dogs -97
Favorites -4
Focus Picks +630
FocusFlips 0

YTD Total -4,982
+130dogs +5,002
Other dogs -635
Favorites -862
Focus Picks -7,087
FocusFlips -1,400
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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  • Posts: 4914
May 6th, 2017 at 9:18:44 AM permalink
A couple of notes. I have switched from using SBG Global lines to using Covers. Trying to access the data the last few days at SBG Global has been impossible. Making the switch required changing the structure of some of my tables and files. I will apologize in advance if I should have screwed up a line somewhere. I hated to do it since it was a lot of work. Why people can't seem to settle on how a team name should be spelled, is beyond me. Why do we have to have Chicago Cubs, Chicago Cubs-NL, Chi. Cubs, Chicago NL, Chgo. Cubs? Just the variations that I recall seeing, off the top of my head. Just a pain in the ass.......sorry for venting.

The new daily indicator shows a good day for the +130dogs today. Hope so.

Today's Picks:
 Twins 138 +130Dogs 7X's
 Blue Jays 106
 Nationals 100
 White Sox 190 +130Dogs 7X's
 Braves -107 Focus 7X's
 Marlins 120
 Giants 114
 Cubs -135 Focus 7X's
 Tigers 125
 Angels 111
 Rangers 100
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
bazooooka
bazooooka
Joined: Nov 21, 2016
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May 6th, 2017 at 2:18:01 PM permalink
Does your algo tell you when do to 7x vs 1x. And have you looked at scaling in between the 2? Maybe the +130 dogs are worthy of your max bet and the other ones not as much. I'd think that would have helped protect your capital. Especially since you seems to believe in the +130 picks the most and they've been good to you thus far.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
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May 6th, 2017 at 3:21:40 PM permalink
Quote: bazooooka

Does your algo tell you when do to 7x vs 1x. And have you looked at scaling in between the 2? Maybe the +130 dogs are worthy of your max bet and the other ones not as much. I'd think that would have helped protect your capital. Especially since you seems to believe in the +130 picks the most and they've been good to you thus far.



It does not tell me to do 7X vs. 1X. Generally the 7Xs is used for all +130dog picks except for the 3 teams that I have sort of "blacklisted" and therefore use only the 1X. The Focus Picks (the only other ones at 7X's) this year have been extremely disappointing, but I do feel that it will turn. I can afford to hang in with them.

The +130dogs are the ones that are proven successful with a statistically significant sample size. None of the others are.
As a matter of fact, assuming that this year goes as planned, then I will probably using a higher multiple than 7 next year.........but I'm getting ahead of myself. :-)
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
  • Threads: 135
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May 6th, 2017 at 5:04:42 PM permalink
I get a little worried when you start blacklisting teams. What's the logic behind that?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪

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