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steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
April 27th, 2017 at 9:49:08 AM permalink
Mustangsally, I think you just need to get out of bed earlier. :-)
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
RS
RS
Joined: Feb 11, 2014
  • Threads: 62
  • Posts: 8623
April 27th, 2017 at 10:13:13 AM permalink
Which Cardinals game is that?
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
April 27th, 2017 at 10:27:31 AM permalink
Quote: RS

Which Cardinals game is that?



1st. game. The algorithm will never pick the 2nd. half of a double header.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
April 27th, 2017 at 1:09:09 PM permalink
Off to a great start on the day. Braves are winners. 3 more to go..............
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
bazooooka
bazooooka
Joined: Nov 21, 2016
  • Threads: 3
  • Posts: 185
April 27th, 2017 at 1:31:51 PM permalink
Yeah, I've been following your picks as well and often I can't get a line within 5 to 10% of the numbers you post (I assuming your betting these). Thus I factor that the +130 you post are often +120 to +125 in real world application (for me at least) and I'd need to hit above 43% even since the average odds lay ended up being +135 based on small sample. That bar seems very high and I don't think one can consistently pick these dogs above 43% over 1000 picks. I hope I'm wrong. But good pick on the Braves!
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
April 27th, 2017 at 1:51:19 PM permalink
Quote: bazooooka

Yeah, I've been following your picks as well and often I can't get a line within 5 to 10% of the numbers you post (I assuming your betting these). Thus I factor that the +130 you post are often +120 to +125 in real world application (for me at least) and I'd need to hit above 43% even since the average odds lay ended up being +135 based on small sample. That bar seems very high and I don't think one can consistently pick these dogs above 43% over 1000 picks. I hope I'm wrong. But good pick on the Braves!



Below is the line history from Covers. My comment to you, with all due respect, and just like for Mustangsally, would be to get up earlier. :-)

BetNow.eu
Line
Over/Under
04/26/17 7:12:47 PM
-205 (Open)
7-120 (Open)
04/26/17 10:33:12 PM
-210
7-120
04/27/17 12:12:45 AM
-215
7-120
04/27/17 1:42:45 AM
-215
7-115
04/27/17 11:02:45 AM
-215
7.5-125
04/27/17 11:12:45 AM
-173
7.5-125
04/27/17 11:22:45 AM
-164
7.5-125
04/27/17 12:12:55 PM
-164
7.5-120
04/27/17 12:22:45 PM
-164
7.5-105
04/27/17 12:32:46 PM
-163
7.5-105
04/27/17 12:42:46 PM
-161
7.5-105
BetOnline.ag
Line
Over/Under
04/26/17 1:18:27 PM
-175 (Open)
7-105 (Open)
04/26/17 3:38:36 PM
-176
7-115
04/26/17 3:48:27 PM
-201
7-115
04/26/17 4:58:28 PM
-207
7-120
04/27/17 12:18:26 AM
-217
7-120
04/27/17 1:38:27 AM
-217
7-110
04/27/17 3:38:26 AM
-217
7-107
04/27/17 6:18:26 AM
-217
7-110
04/27/17 7:18:26 AM
-220
7-110
04/27/17 8:08:26 AM
-225
7-110
04/27/17 9:38:27 AM
-208
7-115
04/27/17 9:58:26 AM
-197
7-115
04/27/17 11:08:26 AM
-173
7.5-125
04/27/17 11:18:27 AM
-165
7.5-125
04/27/17 11:28:27 AM
-161
7.5-125
04/27/17 12:08:31 PM
-159
7.5-115
04/27/17 12:18:27 PM
-159
7.5-105
04/27/17 12:48:28 PM
-158
7.5-105
04/27/17 1:08:33 PM
-160
7.5105
BookMaker
Line
Over/Under
04/26/17 3:45:15 PM
-200 (Open)
7-115 (Open)
04/26/17 9:45:12 PM
-206
7-115
04/27/17 12:05:12 AM
-210
7-115
04/27/17 1:25:12 AM
-212
7-115
04/27/17 3:35:12 AM
-215
7-115
04/27/17 8:55:12 AM
-230
7-115
04/27/17 9:35:13 AM
-220
7-115
04/27/17 9:45:12 AM
-217
7-115
04/27/17 10:05:11 AM
-210
7-115
04/27/17 11:15:13 AM
-210
7.5-125
04/27/17 11:25:12 AM
-170
7.5-125
04/27/17 12:25:15 PM
-165
7.5-120
04/27/17 12:35:12 PM
-165
7.5-105
04/27/17 12:45:12 PM
-166
7.5-105
04/27/17 1:05:13 PM
-170
7.5-101
GTbets.eu
Line
Over/Under
04/26/17 10:21:07 PM
-205 (Open)
OFF
04/26/17 10:21:08 PM
-205
7-120 (Open)
04/26/17 10:41:09 PM
-210
7-120
04/27/17 12:11:13 AM
-215
7-120
04/27/17 1:41:08 AM
-215
7-115
04/27/17 3:31:08 AM
-215
7-110
04/27/17 6:21:08 AM
-215
7-115
04/27/17 7:21:07 AM
-222
7-115
04/27/17 8:01:08 AM
-225
7-115
04/27/17 9:41:08 AM
-215
7-120
04/27/17 10:01:07 AM
-205
7-120
04/27/17 11:41:06 AM
-164
7.5-125
04/27/17 12:11:08 PM
-164
7.5-120
04/27/17 12:21:09 PM
-164
7.5-105
04/27/17 12:31:07 PM
-163
7.5-105
04/27/17 12:41:10 PM
-161
7.5-105
04/27/17 12:51:07 PM
-161
7.5-105
04/27/17 1:01:10 PM
-161
7.5-105
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
Rigondeaux
Rigondeaux
Joined: Aug 18, 2014
  • Threads: 30
  • Posts: 2537
April 27th, 2017 at 2:03:36 PM permalink
I've often found better lines than what steel posts. If anything, I'd criticize him for not getting more outs.

I have no worries about him posting fictitious lines or his integrity in general.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
April 27th, 2017 at 2:22:11 PM permalink
Quote: Rigondeaux

I've often found better lines than what steel posts. If anything, I'd criticize him for not getting more outs.

I have no worries about him posting fictitious lines or his integrity in general.



Rigondeaux, pardon the possible dumb question here, but what do you mean by "more outs"?
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
April 27th, 2017 at 2:30:52 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Rigondeaux, pardon the possible dumb question here, but what do you mean by "more outs"?



Geez....never mind Rigondeaux. I get it.
Man, it's hell getting old............
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
  • Threads: 52
  • Posts: 4914
April 27th, 2017 at 2:44:43 PM permalink
For the hell of it, I just checked the line histories on the 4 +130dogs. Atlanta and San Francisco went down from when I posted.
San Diego and Houston went up. I see nothing unusual happening.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.

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