June 3rd, 2016 at 3:20:23 AM
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There may be some potential value in the 'series finishing in 4 games'
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Assumptions:
Warriors are: 6.5 pt favourites (or greater) for the 2nd game.
Cav's are: 2.0 pt favourites (or less) for the 3rd and 4th game
Warriors are ~ 72.06% to win @ home
Cav's are ~ 54.26% to win @ home, per game.
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Chance of the series finishing in
4 games: ~ 15.076%
Odds: $7.50
EV: ~13.07%
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Series odds***:
4 games, $7.50
5 games, $3.00
6 games, $3.15
7 games, $3.25
***: these odds are current as of this post, see link below
https://tatts.com/sports/basketball/nba/nba-finals
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--------------
Assumptions:
Warriors are: 6.5 pt favourites (or greater) for the 2nd game.
Cav's are: 2.0 pt favourites (or less) for the 3rd and 4th game
Warriors are ~ 72.06% to win @ home
Cav's are ~ 54.26% to win @ home, per game.
---------------------
Chance of the series finishing in
4 games: ~ 15.076%
Odds: $7.50
EV: ~13.07%
---------------------
Series odds***:
4 games, $7.50
5 games, $3.00
6 games, $3.15
7 games, $3.25
***: these odds are current as of this post, see link below
https://tatts.com/sports/basketball/nba/nba-finals
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June 3rd, 2016 at 7:07:17 AM
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How did your OKC four game sweep turn out?