Detroit Tigers 106
Miami Marlins EV
Cincinnati Reds 105
Tampa Bay Rays -132
Boston Red Sox 102
Milwaukee Brewers 130
Chicago White Sox 120
Houston Astros 142
Arizona DiamondBacks 134
San Francisco Giants 115
Focus PickS:
Cincinnati Reds 105
Tampa Bay Rays -132
Chicago White Sox 120
Arizona DiamondBacks 134
A grand total of 14,614 has been put at risk year to date. Net winnings on that total 1,782.
On a more serious note, do algorithms/models work as good at the end of the season when to me it would seem that more outside influences can effect some teams & games. I noticed on 4/25 you picked Cleveland to win, but that was before the last minute starting pitching change and I wonder if your model would have changed its prediction with that updated info.
Yesterday's results: 398
+130dogs 172
Other dogs 126
Favorites 100
Focus Picks 20
YTD Total 2,180
+130dogs 521
Other dogs 1,572
Favorites 87
Focus Picks -84
Quote: surrender88sI bet on the Orioles at home. With all the civil unrest, an uncomfortable boston team was going to lose to a home team that needed a win. I generally like these algorithms/models, but adding in some "human" judgement can help too, i find.
Well done surrender88s! I do my best to not try to re-think the picks that are being made. I had done that in the past and found that there was no net gain. I would win some that I flipped and there are some that I lost. It turned out not to be worth the time. But that's just me.
Again, congrats!
Quote: beachbumbabsHaven't wanted to comment and "hex" the streak by noticing it, but this is running pretty great, steeldco! Keep up the good work! Nice of you to share your predictions in case anybody wants to ride along.
Thanks for the kind words beachbumbabs. Let's just hope it continues throughout the season. Boy, would that make my year!
Quote: zoobrewI would love to know what preseason algorithms/models had the Mets & Astros?!?! leading their divisions after the first game of the season.
On a more serious note, do algorithms/models work as good at the end of the season when to me it would seem that more outside influences can effect some teams & games. I noticed on 4/25 you picked Cleveland to win, but that was before the last minute starting pitching change and I wonder if your model would have changed its prediction with that updated info.
zoobrew, my experience over the past couple of years is that it has worked at the end of the season. The most troublesome time for me has been around All-Star break. Insofar as the pitching changes goes, because it just one of many variables, I find that accounting for it had little effect on net wins and definitely was not worth the trouble of scrambling around trying to take it into account.
Good Luck!
Quote: steeldcozoobrew, my experience over the past couple of years is that it has worked at the end of the season. The most troublesome time for me has been around All-Star break. Insofar as the pitching changes goes, because it just one of many variables, I find that accounting for it had little effect on net wins and definitely was not worth the trouble of scrambling around trying to take it into account.
Good Luck!
BTW, I should clarify that my algorithm is much more hitting weighted than pitching. It goes against the grain of the old adage about needing pitching.
Today's Picks:
Kansas City Royals 147
Toronto Blue Jays 133
Chicago White Sox 133
Tampa Bay Rays 123
New York Mets 111
Milwaukee Brewers 103
Pittsburgh Pirates 114
Seattle Mariners -101
Minnesota Twins 147
Philadelphia Phillies 134
San Francisco Giants EV
Houston Astros 111
Kansas City Royals 147
Toronto Blue Jays -100
Chicago White Sox 0
Tampa Bay Rays -100
New York Mets 111
Milwaukee Brewers -100
Pittsburgh Pirates -100
Seattle Mariners 100
Minnesota Twins -100
Philadelphia Phillies 134
San Francisco Giants -100
Houston Astros 111
Yesterday's results: 3
+130dogs 81
Other dogs -178
Favorites 100
Focus Picks 0
YTD Total 2,183
+130dogs 602
Other dogs 1,394
Favorites 187
Focus Picks -84
Today's Picks:
Kansas City Royals 118
Toronto Blue Jays 104
Tampa Bay Rays 105
Chicago White Sox 105
Milwaukee Brewers 180
Pittsburgh Pirates 111
Minnesota Twins 142
Colorado Rockies 112
LA Angels of Anaheim 141
San Francisco Giants 164
Houston Astros 134
Yesterday's Results:
Kansas City Royals 118
Toronto Blue Jays 104
Tampa Bay Rays -100
Chicago White Sox 0
Milwaukee Brewers -100
Pittsburgh Pirates -100
Minnesota Twins 142
Colorado Rockies -100
LA Angels of Anaheim -100
San Francisco Giants 164
Houston Astros 134
Yesterday's results: 162
+130dogs 240
Other dogs -78
Favorites 0
Focus Picks 0
YTD Total 2,345
+130dogs 842
Other dogs 1,316
Favorites 187
Focus Picks -84
Today's Picks:
Tampa Bay Rays 128
Detroit Tigers -101
Baltimore Orioles -104
Houston Astros EV
Kansas City Royals 109
Toronto Blue Jays 115
Atlanta Braves 101
Chicago Cubs 111
Texas Rangers 150
Philadelphia Phillies 170
Colorado Rockies 106
LA Angels of Anaheim 106
San Francisco Giants 180
Quote: surrender88sGood luck. The line is moving on the orioles, and feel confident laying some money on them. The whole city is rooting for them, and i think they will be focused, while the other team will be distracted. Just my two cents. For those of you who don't know, there will be zero fans in attendence, it will be bizarre to watch.
I would love to be able to watch that game. It would be wildly interesting to me.
Good luck with Baltimore!
Quote: surrender88sGood luck. The line is moving on the orioles, and feel confident laying some money on them. The whole city is rooting for them, and i think they will be focused, while the other team will be distracted. Just my two cents. For those of you who don't know, there will be zero fans in attendence, it will be bizarre to watch.
Good call, Orioles up 6-0 after 1 inning
Yesterday's Results:
Tampa Bay Rays 128
Detroit Tigers 100
Baltimore Orioles 100
Houston Astros 100
Kansas City Royals -100
Toronto Blue Jays -100
Atlanta Braves -100
Chicago Cubs -100
Texas Rangers -100
Philadelphia Phillies -100
Colorado Rockies -100
LA Angels of Anaheim 106
San Francisco Giants -100
Yesterday's results: -266
+130dogs -300
Other dogs -166
Favorites 200
Focus Picks 0
YTD Total 2,079
+130dogs 542
Other dogs 1,150
Favorites 387
Focus Picks -84
Today's Picks:
Philadelphia Phillies 158
Washington Nationals EV
Chicago White Sox -155
Detroit Tigers -102
Philadelphia Phillies -100
Washington Nationals 100
Chicago White Sox -155
Detroit Tigers -102
Yesterday's results: -257
+130dogs -100
Other dogs 100
Favorites -257
Focus Picks 0
YTD Total 1,822
+130dogs 442
Other dogs 1,250
Favorites 130
Focus Picks -84
Washington Nationals EV
Toronto Blue Jays 117
Seattle Mariners 102
Detroit Tigers 108
Chicago White Sox EV
Pittsburgh Pirates 125
Arizona DiamondBacks 135
Colorado Rockies 131
LA Angels of Anaheim 104
Yesterday's Results:
Washington Nationals -100
Toronto Blue Jays -100
Seattle Mariners -100
Detroit Tigers -100
Chicago White Sox -100
Pittsburgh Pirates -100
Arizona DiamondBacks -100
Colorado Rockies -100
LA Angels of Anaheim -100
Yesterday's results: -900
+130dogs -200
Other dogs -700
Favorites 0
Focus Picks 0
YTD Total 922
+130dogs 242
Other dogs 550
Favorites 130
Focus Picks -84
Today's Picks:
Chicago White Sox -105 2X's
Pittsburgh Pirates -103 2X's
Toronto Blue Jays 143 2X's
Atlanta Braves -102
Seattle Mariners 130 2X's
Kansas City Royals 111
Colorado Rockies 128 2X's
Last year, only 10% of the time did a 3 day losing streak get extended to 4. And only 5% of the time did it get to a 5 day losing streak.
Chicago White Sox -210
Pittsburgh Pirates -206
Toronto Blue Jays 286
Atlanta Braves -102
Seattle Mariners -200
Kansas City Royals -100
Colorado Rockies -200
Yesterday's results: -732
+130dogs 86
Other dogs -300
Favorites -518
Focus Picks -416
YTD Total 190
+130dogs 328
Other dogs 250
Favorites -388
Focus Picks -500
Washington Nationals -103
Philadelphia Phillies 170 2X's
Toronto Blue Jays EV
Atlanta Braves 130 2X's
Baltimore Orioles -115 2X's
Chicago White Sox 109
Houston Astros -101
Kansas City Royals 101
Pittsburgh Pirates 132 2X's
Texas Rangers 122
LA Angels of Anaheim -102
Arizona DiamondBacks 141 2X's
Colorado Rockies 170 2X's
Yesterday's Results:
Washington Nationals 100
Philadelphia Phillies 340
Toronto Blue Jays -100
Atlanta Braves 260
Baltimore Orioles 200
Chicago White Sox -100
Houston Astros 100
Kansas City Royals -100
Pittsburgh Pirates -200
Texas Rangers -100
LA Angels of Anaheim -102
Arizona DiamondBacks -200
Colorado Rockies -200
Yesterday's results: -102
+130dogs 0
Other dogs -400
Favorites 298
Focus Picks 0
YTD Total 88
+130dogs 328
Other dogs -150
Favorites -90
Focus Picks -500
Miami Marlins 153 2X's
New York Yankees 107
Philadelphia Phillies 135 2X's
Milwaukee Brewers 158 2X's
Chicago Cubs 140 2X's
Oakland Athletics 101
Texas Rangers 170
LA Angels of Anaheim 128
San Diego Padres 128
Miami Marlins -200
New York Yankees -100
Philadelphia Phillies 270
Milwaukee Brewers 316
Chicago Cubs -200
Oakland Athletics -100
Texas Rangers 170
LA Angels of Anaheim -100
San Diego Padres -100
Yesterday's results: -44
+130dogs 356
Other dogs -400
Favorites 0
Focus Picks -530
YTD Total 44
+130dogs 684
Other dogs -550
Favorites -90
Focus Picks -1,030
Miami Marlins 160 2X's
Cincinnati Reds 130 2X's
Philadelphia Phillies 134 2X's
Tampa Bay Rays 106
Minnesota Twins -101
Detroit Tigers 104
Cleveland Indians 105
Chicago Cubs 120 2X's
Yesterday's Results:
Won/Loss
Miami Marlins 320
Cincinnati Reds 260
Philadelphia Phillies -200
Tampa Bay Rays -100
Minnesota Twins -101
Detroit Tigers -100
Cleveland Indians -100
Chicago Cubs -200
Yesterday's results: -221
+130dogs 380
Other dogs -500
Favorites -101
Focus Picks -200
YTD Total -177
+130dogs 1,064
Other dogs -1,050
Favorites -191
Focus Picks -1,230
Cincinnati Reds 136 2X's
Philadelphia Phillies 120
Minnesota Twins 110
Detroit Tigers 136 2X's
Chicago Cubs 110 2X's
Seattle Mariners 119
Cincinnati Reds 272
Philadelphia Phillies -100
Minnesota Twins 110
Detroit Tigers -200
Chicago Cubs 220
Seattle Mariners -100
Yesterday's results: 202
+130dogs 72
Other dogs 130
Favorites 0
Focus Picks 220
YTD Total 25
+130dogs 1,136
Other dogs -920
Favorites -191
Focus Picks -1,010
Chicago Cubs 110
Detroit Tigers 110
Cleveland Indians -105
Baltimore Orioles 125
Texas Rangers 155
Arizona DiamondBacks 102
Miami Marlins 120
Yesterday's Results:
Chicago Cubs -100
Detroit Tigers 110
Cleveland Indians -105
Baltimore Orioles -100
Texas Rangers 310
Arizona DiamondBacks 102
Miami Marlins 120
Yesterday's results: 337
+130dogs 310
Other dogs 132
Favorites -105
Focus Picks -100
YTD Total 362
+130dogs 1,446
Other dogs -788
Favorites -296
Focus Picks -1,110
New York Mets -129
St. Louis Cardinals 109
Kansas City Royals 128
Baltimore Orioles 109
Boston Red Sox 108
Cleveland Indians -135
Cincinnati Reds 112
Colorado Rockies 129
Arizona DiamondBacks 104
Seattle Mariners 112
Miami Marlins 106
New York Mets -129
St. Louis Cardinals 109
Kansas City Royals -100
Baltimore Orioles -100
Boston Red Sox -100
Cleveland Indians -135
Cincinnati Reds 0
Colorado Rockies -100
Arizona DiamondBacks -100
Seattle Mariners 112
Miami Marlins -100
Yesterday's results: -643
+130dogs 0
Other dogs -379
Favorites -264
Focus Picks -252
YTD Total -281
+130dogs 1,446
Other dogs -1,167
Favorites -560
Focus Picks -1,362
New York Mets -129
St. Louis Cardinals 109
Kansas City Royals -100
Baltimore Orioles -100
Boston Red Sox -100
Cleveland Indians -135
Cincinnati Reds 0
Colorado Rockies -100
Arizona DiamondBacks -100
Seattle Mariners 112
Miami Marlins -100
Yesterday's results: -643
+130dogs 0
Other dogs -379
Favorites -264
Focus Picks -252
YTD Total -281
+130dogs 1,446
Other dogs -1,167
Favorites -560
Focus Picks -1,362
Kansas City Royals 135 2X's
Boston Red Sox 105
Atlanta Braves 132 2X's
Minnesota Twins -102
Chicago White Sox 130 2X's
Texas Rangers 124
St. Louis Cardinals 107
New York Mets -116
Chicago Cubs -102
San Francisco Giants -155 2X's
Kansas City Royals 270
Boston Red Sox -100
Atlanta Braves -200
Minnesota Twins 100
Chicago White Sox -200
Texas Rangers -100
St. Louis Cardinals -100
New York Mets 100
Chicago Cubs -102
San Francisco Giants -310
Yesterday's results: -642
+130dogs -130
Other dogs -300
Favorites -212
Focus Picks 100
YTD Total -923
+130dogs 1,316
Other dogs -1,467
Favorites -772
Focus Picks -1,262
Today's Picks:
Boston Red Sox 104
Minnesota Twins 150 2X's
Texas Rangers 155 2X's
Atlanta Braves 150 2X's
New York Mets -135
St. Louis Cardinals 106
Milwaukee Brewers -102
Cincinnati Reds 115
Houston Astros 140 2X's
Oakland Athletics 155 2X's
Kansas City Royals 115
Today's Picks:
Boston Red Sox 104
Minnesota Twins 150 2X's
Texas Rangers 155 2X's
Atlanta Braves 150 2X's
New York Mets -135
St. Louis Cardinals 106
Milwaukee Brewers -102
Cincinnati Reds 115
Houston Astros 140 2X's
San Diego Padres -125
Oakland Athletics 155 2X's
Kansas City Royals 115
Boston Red Sox 104
Minnesota Twins -200
Texas Rangers 310
Atlanta Braves -200
New York Mets 100
St. Louis Cardinals -100
Milwaukee Brewers 100
Cincinnati Reds -100
Houston Astros -200
San Diego Padres -125
Oakland Athletics -200
Kansas City Royals 115
Yesterday's results: -396
+130dogs -490
Other dogs 19
Favorites 75
Focus Picks 314
YTD Total -1,319
+130dogs 826
Other dogs -1,448
Favorites -697
Focus Picks -948
Philadelphia Phillies 170 2X's
Toronto Blue Jays 113
Atlanta Braves 121
Milwaukee Brewers -103
New York Mets 131 2X's
Washington Nationals -125
Boston Red Sox 115 2X's
Philadelphia Phillies 170
Toronto Blue Jays 113
Atlanta Braves 121
Milwaukee Brewers -103
New York Mets 131
Washington Nationals -125
Boston Red Sox 115
Yesterday's results: 51
+130dogs -400
Other dogs 251
Favorites 200
Focus Picks 30
YTD Total -1,268
+130dogs 426
Other dogs -1,197
Favorites -497
Focus Picks -918
St. Louis Cardinals EV
Toronto Blue Jays 111
Atlanta Braves 140 2X's
New York Yankees 111
Texas Rangers 115
San Francisco Giants 133 2X's
Milwaukee Brewers 106
Boston Red Sox -102 2X's
Miami Marlins 130 2X's
San Diego Padres 119
St. Louis Cardinals 100
Toronto Blue Jays 111
Atlanta Braves -200
New York Yankees -100
Texas Rangers -100
San Francisco Giants 266
Milwaukee Brewers -100
Boston Red Sox -204
Miami Marlins -200
San Diego Padres -100
Yesterday's results: -527
+130dogs -134
Other dogs -189
Favorites -204
Focus Picks -204
YTD Total -1,795
+130dogs 292
Other dogs -1,386
Favorites -701
Focus Picks -1,122