WoV Picks Game 2014 (Discussion Thread)
I went 0-6 this week. Taking an 0-5 record would have been better for me... Bleh.. I really need to repair my DeLorean time machine, go to the future and pick up this season's scores. Either that, or make my picks, then submit the opposites. I could be 11-1 using that method.Quote: steeldcoF***! I missed the deadline. People with limited intelligence shouldn't be allowed to throw their money away this way. In addition feelin' like a schmuck being at the bottom of the standings is , frankly, even worse.
I think I may make my pick list on Thursday as soon as the lines come out and then submit the exact opposite of that list on Saturday to avoid anymore Adrian Peterson surprises. I do recall doing this a few times last season with some success.
Quote: AyecarumbaEither that, or make my picks, then submit the opposites. I could be 11-1 using that method.
Now......we all know what will happen when you do.........
Quote: ParadigmI think I am 1-9 for the two weeks with a nice 0-5 this week. I figure my max loss is only about $50-$55 if I maintain this 10% win rate for the season.
I think I may make my pick list on Thursday as soon as the lines come out and then submit the exact opposite of that list on Saturday to avoid anymore Adrian Peterson surprises. I do recall doing this a few times last season with some success.
I think I'm 4-6. 1-4 this week: serves me right for picking favorites. I've been trying to base my picks based on line changes. I'm part way done with a program that does this for me. You can get the current lines in the same format that Mission148 uses by going to here. Copy all the text (ctr-a, ctr-c in windows). Then go to here, and paste (ctr-p) all the text in the box and click submit. If you did this right now, you would get:
Quote:Philadelphia +3 @ Indianapolis -3 O/U 53.5
Tampa Bay +6.5 @ Atlanta -6.5 O/U 45
San Diego +1 @ Buffalo -1 O/U 44
Dallas -1.5 @ St. Louis +1.5 O/U 46
Washington +6.5 @ Philadelphia -6.5 O/U 51
Houston -2.5 @ N.Y. Giants +2.5 O/U 42
Minnesota +9.5 @ New Orleans -9.5 O/U 51
Tennessee +7 @ Cincinnati -7 O/U 43.5
Baltimore PK @ Cleveland PK O/U 41.5
Green Bay +1 @ Detroit -1 O/U 52
Indianapolis -6.5 @ Jacksonville +6.5 O/U 45.5
Oakland +14.5 @ New England -14.5 O/U 46.5
San Francisco -2.5 @ Arizona +2.5 O/U 43
Denver +4.5 @ Seattle -4.5 O/U 48.5
Kansas City +4.5 @ Miami -4.5 O/U 41.5
Pittsburgh +3.5 @ Carolina -3.5 O/U 41.5
Chicago +1 @ N.Y. Jets -1 O/U 45.5
- @ + O/U
I haven't done mush error checking, so you might want to double check.
Hehe, so what you are saying is that I should make my picks, get ready to submit the opposites, then switch them again at the last minute??.... Bowsie Wowsie... I'm such a Schleprock...Quote: steeldcoNow......we all know what will happen when you do.........
Quote: beachbumbabsI think I'm at 4-8. I suck. But not as bad as AyeCarumba, who won last year, so there's that pyrrhic victory. All joking.
Hehe... The $25 escape clause is really looking like a good value now...
Quote: AyecarumbaHehe... The $25 escape clause is really looking like a good value now...
yep for me to.
| Player Name | Total Wins | Total Losses | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| JohnZimbo | 7 | 3 | 70.00% |
| SodaWater | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Wizard | 4 | 2 | 66.67% |
| Wudged | 8 | 4 | 66.67% |
| Mission146 | 7 | 4 | 63.64% |
| Buzzard | 3 | 2 | 60.00% |
| KMUMF | 6 | 4 | 60.00% |
| RDW4Potus | 6 | 4 | 60.00% |
| StrictlyAP | 7 | 5 | 58.33% |
| MWalz9 | 6 | 5 | 54.55% |
| JML24 | 5 | 5 | 50.00% |
| TGarrettCPA | 6 | 6 | 50.00% |
| YouCanBetOnThat | 5 | 5 | 50.00% |
| 10DollarBri | 5 | 6 | 45.45% |
| EdCollins | 5 | 6 | 45.45% |
| Genwyzgy | 5 | 6 | 45.45% |
| VCUSkyhawk | 5 | 7 | 41.67% |
| Miplet | 4 | 6 | 40.00% |
| BeachBumBabs | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| Beardgoat | 4 | 8 | 33.33% |
| Terapined | 3 | 7 | 30.00% |
| GWAE | 3 | 8 | 27.27% |
| Aluisio | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Malaru | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| Ten2Win | 3 | 9 | 25.00% |
| JW17 | 2 | 8 | 20.00% |
| Vendman1 | 2 | 9 | 18.18% |
| Paradigm | 1 | 9 | 10.00% |
| AyeCarumba | 1 | 10 | 9.09% |
ouch
Quote: AxelWolfAyeCarumba 1 10 9.09%
ouch
Hey, I only need 7 wins to get back in it.... Kind of like the Saints and Colts.
How does the Wiz only have 6 games??? He take a bye week already?
Quote: JW17Wow I started off slow last year, but man, this is UGLY.
How does the Wiz only have 6 games??? He take a bye week already?
yeah he forgot the first week.
As weak of an excuse as this is, I thought it was Wednesday all day yesterday. It's been a Hell of a week at work...lol
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/19451-wov-picks-game-2014-official-thread/#post397529
Quote: Mission146The Week 3 Lines have been posted:
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/19451-wov-picks-game-2014-official-thread/#post397529
You used the opening lines instead of current lines.
San Diego +2.5 @ Buffalo -2.5 O/U 45.5
Dallas -1 @ St. Louis +1 O/U 44
Washington +6 @ Philadelphia -6 O/U 50
Houston PK @ N.Y. Giants PK O/U 41.5
Minnesota +10 @ New Orleans -10 O/U 49.5
Tennessee +7 @ Cincinnati -7 O/U 42.5
Baltimore -1.5 @ Cleveland +1.5 O/U 41.5
Green Bay +2.5 @ Detroit -2.5 O/U 52
Indianapolis -7 @ Jacksonville +7 O/U 45
Oakland +14 @ New England -14 O/U 46.5
San Francisco -3 @ Arizona +3 O/U 42
Denver +4.5 @ Seattle -4.5 O/U 48.5
Kansas City +4 @ Miami -4 O/U 42.5
Pittsburgh +3 @ Carolina -3 O/U 42
Chicago +3 @ N.Y. Jets -3 O/U 45.5
Quote: mipletYou used the opening lines instead of current lines.
San Diego +2.5 @ Buffalo -2.5 O/U 45.5
Dallas -1 @ St. Louis +1 O/U 44
Washington +6 @ Philadelphia -6 O/U 50
Houston PK @ N.Y. Giants PK O/U 41.5
Minnesota +10 @ New Orleans -10 O/U 49.5
Tennessee +7 @ Cincinnati -7 O/U 42.5
Baltimore -1.5 @ Cleveland +1.5 O/U 41.5
Green Bay +2.5 @ Detroit -2.5 O/U 52
Indianapolis -7 @ Jacksonville +7 O/U 45
Oakland +14 @ New England -14 O/U 46.5
San Francisco -3 @ Arizona +3 O/U 42
Denver +4.5 @ Seattle -4.5 O/U 48.5
Kansas City +4 @ Miami -4 O/U 42.5
Pittsburgh +3 @ Carolina -3 O/U 42
Chicago +3 @ N.Y. Jets -3 O/U 45.5
Fixed, thank you!
It seems that a good many players have not submitted their Picks at this point, so since the Lines were posted late, I have decided that this is going to be a free Skip Week for anyone who does not submit their Picks this week.
Perhaps everybody should be "No Action" for the week? All or nothing seems fairer to all.Quote: Mission146Greetings!
It seems that a good many players have not submitted their Picks at this point, so since the Lines were posted late, I have decided that this is going to be a free Skip Week for anyone who does not submit their Picks this week.
Quote: AyecarumbaPerhaps everybody should be "No Action" for the week? All or nothing seems fairer to all.
That's not fair at all. I like my picks this week. I think the opposite should be true -- the week continues as normal if people don't submit their picks, they use a skip week.
So, today there are 2 really exciting games live right now; SF/ARI and Superbowl rematch DEN/SEA. What is the only game broadcast? MIA/KC.
The Jags are so bad, last year, when the locals were required to broadcast that game over a HUGE matchup, the fans crashed the switchboard with complaints. They had to run a streamer below the Jags game explaining they had no choice and please stop calling.
Bleah. Too bad I'm too cheap to buy NFL Ticket or some such. :)
Quote: AyecarumbaPerhaps everybody should be "No Action" for the week? All or nothing seems fairer to all.
I also like my picks, If you got them in fine. If not then its a bye week for those that did not submit.
I did send my picks Sat and Mission has yet to open the PM.
Quote: terapinedI also like my picks, If you got them in fine. If not then its a bye week for those that did not submit.
I did send my picks Sat and Mission has yet to open the PM.
Same here. PM's have a date/time "sent by", no matter when they're read. I'm going either 6-0 or 4-2 depending on the score, so I'd certainly like mine to count, too.
Quote: beachbumbabsA slight digression. You know what I hate about living in Florida? NFL coverage contracts. No other state has 3 teams. And we're stuck with mediocrity, year after year, nothing to see here, move along.
So, today there are 2 really exciting games live right now; SF/ARI and Superbowl rematch DEN/SEA. What is the only game broadcast? MIA/KC.
The Jags are so bad, last year, when the locals were required to broadcast that game over a HUGE matchup, the fans crashed the switchboard with complaints. They had to run a streamer below the Jags game explaining they had no choice and please stop calling.
Bleah. Too bad I'm too cheap to buy NFL Ticket or some such. :)
The Seahawks game was boring. Be glad you didn't watch it. ;+)
Quote: mipletThe Seahawks game was boring. Be glad you didn't watch it. ;+)
Tell ya what; I got my fix. We got bonus coverage starting at 1:20 in regulation when the snorefest ended. What a game!
Quote: beachbumbabsTell ya what; I got my fix. We got bonus coverage starting at 1:20 in regulation when the snorefest ended. What a game!
I thought I was going to get my over. I just needed seattle to kick a FG and denver to tie it with a FG. As long as the winning score wasn't a safety I would have had it. Owell, stupid TD ruined that idea.
Quote: terapinedI also like my picks, If you got them in fine. If not then its a bye week for those that did not submit.
I did send my picks Sat and Mission has yet to open the PM.
The issue I have is that this game is not necessarily picking the most winners, but also not picking losers. Having an extra bye instead of carrying a sub-.500 record is a meaningful swing when there are only 17 decision periods.
Quote: AyecarumbaThe issue I have is that this game is not necessarily picking the most winners, but also not picking losers. Having an extra bye instead of carrying a sub-.500 record is a meaningful swing when there are only 17 decision periods.
I think the rules are you are allowed 1 bye week.
If you take 2 bye weeks, then ineligible to win but can still pick to improve win percentage so you owe less to winner.
Quote: Mission146Greetings!
It seems that a good many players have not submitted their Picks at this point, so since the Lines were posted late, I have decided that this is going to be a free Skip Week for anyone who does not submit their Picks this week.
I took the free shop as advertised. Never fear though. Excellent chance my name will be in red soon.
Quote: BuzzardI took the free shop as advertised. Never fear though. Excellent chance my name will be in red soon.
deleted to preserve my dignity.
Quote: GWAEAre you just trying to get your post count up or are you really that bored? You are not even in this contest, so why do you feel a need to clutter this thread with useless writing?
Yes he is.
Quote:
The Week 1 Picks are as Follows:
Buzzard
BUCCANEERS+2.5
TEXANS+3
DOLPHINS+3.5
COLTS+7.5
JAGUARS+10.5
took week 2 as his bye
Quote: mipletYes he is.
took week 2 as his bye
well then I am an idiot. My apologies Mr. Buzzard. I am having a bad day. I have been wrong like 4 times today.
I am just confused why he professes that he will be suspended in every thread that he posts in.
Quote: GWAEwell then I am an idiot. My apologies Mr. Buzzard. I am having a bad day. I have been wrong like 4 times today.
I am just confused why he professes that he will be suspended in every thread that he posts in.
Because I know who the secret administrator is. And we have a history.
You were almost suspended because of " well then I am an idiot. ". The secret administrator was going to rule that was a personal insult to a member in good standing. Babs interceded on your behalf.
The Week 3 Picks have been posted:
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/19451-wov-picks-game-2014-official-thread/#post398520
Here's what I have for the standings after Week 3. These standings can also be considered unofficial until Mission confirms them:
| Name | Wins | Losses | % | Owes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steeldco | 5 | 1 | 83.33% | - |
| Wizard | 10 | 2 | 83.33% | - |
| JohnZimbo | 11 | 4 | 73.33% | $10.00 |
| Mission146 | 10 | 6 | 62.50% | $25.00 |
| SodaWater | 11 | 7 | 61.11% | $22.22 |
| StrictlyAP | 11 | 7 | 61.11% | $22.22 |
| VCUSkyhawk | 11 | 7 | 61.11% | $22.22 |
| Wudged | 11 | 7 | 61.11% | $22.22 |
| Buzzard | 3 | 2 | 60.00% | $23.33 |
| KMUMF | 9 | 6 | 60.00% | $23.33 |
| Miplet | 8 | 7 | 53.33% | $30.00 |
| RDW4Potus | 8 | 7 | 53.33% | $30.00 |
| YouCanBetOnThat | 8 | 7 | 53.33% | $30.00 |
| Terapined | 7 | 8 | 46.67% | $36.67 |
| BeachBumBabs | 8 | 10 | 44.44% | $38.89 |
| Beardgoat | 8 | 10 | 44.44% | $38.89 |
| TGarrettCPA | 8 | 10 | 44.44% | $38.89 |
| 10DollarBri | 7 | 9 | 43.75% | $39.58 |
| EdCollins | 7 | 9 | 43.75% | $39.58 |
| JML24 | 7 | 9 | 43.75% | $39.58 |
| MWalz9 | 7 | 9 | 43.75% | $39.58 |
| Genwyzgy | 7 | 10 | 41.18% | $42.16 |
| Aluisio | 6 | 11 | 35.29% | $48.04 |
| AyeCarumba | 6 | 11 | 35.29% | $48.04 |
| Malaru | 6 | 12 | 33.33% | $50.00 |
| GWAE | 5 | 11 | 31.25% | $52.08 |
| Ten2Win | 3 | 9 | 25.00% | $58.33 |
| JW17 | 3 | 12 | 20.00% | $63.33 |
| Vendman1 | 2 | 9 | 18.18% | $65.15 |
| Paradigm | 1 | 9 | 10.00% | $73.33 |
| Totals | 214 | 238 | 47.35% | $1,072.69 |
Quote: EdCollinsOn the 16th, YouCanBetOnThat posted the unofficial results after Week 2. My spreadsheet agree with his totals.
Here's what I have for the standings after Week 3. These standings can also be considered unofficial until Mission confirms them:
Excuse me, I apologize but SteelDCo DID make picks and I have added them to the Official Thread:
New York Giants Pick Confidence Pick
Baltimore Ravens -1.5
Buffalo Bills -2.5
Oakland Raiders 14.0
Indianapolis Colts -7
I believe that makes him 5-1 for this week, as well, and 10-2 overall.
EDIT: I double-checked, Ten2Win, Buzzard, Paradigm and Vendman1 did not make Week 3 Picks and get a free skip week due to late Lines.
Quote: Mission146Excuse me, I apologize but SteelDCo DID make picks and I have added them to the Official Thread:
New York Giants Pick Confidence Pick
Baltimore Ravens -1.5
Buffalo Bills -2.5
Oakland Raiders 14.0
Indianapolis Colts -7
I believe that makes him 5-1 for this week, as well, and 10-2 overall.
Note: His Week 3 picks are listed twice. But I don't see any picks from him for Week 1 or Week 2.
Edit: Confirmed. I double-checked each page. There are no picks for steeldco that were posted in the official thread or the discussion thread, for Week 1 or Week 2. (By his own admission, he missed the deadline for Week 2.) If he made picks for Week 1, they haven't been posted yet.
