FinsRule
FinsRule
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September 5th, 2012 at 5:37:38 PM permalink
I'll give everyone an easy way to make some money on Sunday:

7 point teaser -

Chicago - 2.5
Philadelphia - 2

Enjoy your winnings
steeldco
steeldco
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September 6th, 2012 at 5:21:22 PM permalink
fins,
I hope that you don't mind my wedging myself in here..........if so, please let me know and I'll cease.

My picks for this first week are:
Cleveland Browns 9.5
Miami Dolphins 12.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1
Jacksonville Jaguars 3.5
Green Bay Packers -4.5
Buffalo Bills 2.5
Oakland Raiders -1
Pittsburgh Steelers 1
Atlanta Falcons -2.5


I only hope that I do not start out 0 fer everything............
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
FinsRule
FinsRule
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September 6th, 2012 at 6:46:28 PM permalink
How about this? Everyone posts their single best NFL bet of the week. Totals/teasers allowed obviously. Whoever gets the most right wins.
s2dbaker
s2dbaker
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September 6th, 2012 at 8:23:12 PM permalink
It would be a nice feature of the forum if there were a weekly NFL pick'em sheet with the point spreads (from a Vegas casino like Texas Station or Red Rock or M or whatever) where each member could select their picks for the week and brag or hide as the case may be on Tuesday morning.

But that would be a bucket of programming and maintenance.
Someday, joor goin' to see the name of Googie Gomez in lights and joor goin' to say to joorself, "Was that her?" and then joor goin' to answer to joorself, "That was her!" But you know somethin' mister? I was always her yuss nobody knows it! - Googie Gomez
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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September 9th, 2012 at 3:17:28 PM permalink
Quote: FinsRule

I'll give everyone an easy way to make some money on Sunday:

7 point teaser -

Chicago - 2.5
Philadelphia - 2

Enjoy your winnings



How much did you win on this? Oh wait, you lost.....

Cesspit will be mad at me again... sigh....
My point is that it is very easy to list one bet, and if correct, it implies little, and if incorrect, also implies little.
Mission has started a contest, and has mentioned .600 over the course of an NFL season. Although still within the possibility of random variance, I think it would be impressive to achieve that goal. If there was some mathematical formula that would produce winners that exceed the vig, it hasn't been found yet. But as I said in the other thread, I admire Fins for the guts to lay it ou in the open for all to see....
steeldco
steeldco
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September 11th, 2012 at 4:45:34 PM permalink
Although I am posting in the contest that is being held in this forum on another thread, I wanted to continue this thread since I have the freedom here to post as few or as many as my formula may yield.

Last week was an awfully mediocre 4 and 5. I honestly don't expect significant improvement until week 4 when I get a few weeks of data in for this year.

This week's picks are:
Jacksonville Jaguars +7
Cincinnati Bengals -7
New York Giants -9
New England Patriots -14
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
FinsRule
FinsRule
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September 11th, 2012 at 6:26:11 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

How much did you win on this? Oh wait, you lost.....

Cesspit will be mad at me again... sigh....
My point is that it is very easy to list one bet, and if correct, it implies little, and if incorrect, also implies little.
Mission has started a contest, and has mentioned .600 over the course of an NFL season. Although still within the possibility of random variance, I think it would be impressive to achieve that goal. If there was some mathematical formula that would produce winners that exceed the vig, it hasn't been found yet. But as I said in the other thread, I admire Fins for the guts to lay it ou in the open for all to see....



I did go 4-1 in the contest that I withdrew from.

Ok, Week 2 Lock!

6.5 point teaser

Cincinnati - 0.5
N.Y. Giants - 2.5

EASY MONEY!
buzzpaff
buzzpaff
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September 11th, 2012 at 7:15:03 PM permalink
Easy Money for the bookie. Still waiting for a winning horse from you.
Mission146
Mission146
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September 11th, 2012 at 9:33:22 PM permalink
Quote: buzzpaff

Easy Money for the bookie. Still waiting for a winning horse from you.



September 7th, 2012 20:55 EST

Quote: FinsRule

Eagles
Patriots
Cardinals
Rams/lions OVER
Bucs/Panthers UNDER



Loss
Win
Win
Win
Win

Great set of picks.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
steeldco
steeldco
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September 18th, 2012 at 12:09:34 PM permalink
I went 0-3 last week. Cincinnati was a push. YTD is now 4 and 8.

This week's picks are:
Seattle Seahawks +3.5
St. Louis Rams +7.5
Washington Redskins -3.5
Dallas Cowboys -7
Houston Texans -1.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
buzzpaff
buzzpaff
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September 18th, 2012 at 12:11:27 PM permalink
You are definitely mulch-talented. Able to lose at football and baseball.
steeldco
steeldco
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September 18th, 2012 at 12:16:21 PM permalink
Don't forget basketball. I wish that I were that special, but there are many who are just as talented. :-)
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TaxmanCPA
TaxmanCPA
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September 18th, 2012 at 12:21:02 PM permalink
For Week 3, I'm really liking:

Jets -3: Oakland was dead after the late MNF and then travel cross country. Fins that not good with Tanneyhill. I can see the Jets bounce back and win this. I just cannot picture the Dolphins 2-1 after 3 weeks. I projected them for 3-4 wins tops for the year.

Cincinnati +4: Skins lose 2 big players to injury. More film on RG3 will start to slow down is sensation. Bengals a balanced team, that should have covered last week against the Browns.

Buffalo -3: Cleveland's O is only the running of Richardson. Weeden is bad IMO. Bills bounced back nicely against KC last week. Their D is a talented as Philly, and if the QB does not turn it over like Vick did in week 1, I can see Buffalo win by a TD+

Leaning SD -3 over ATL. Same scenario as Oakland last week. Going cross country on a short week.
steeldco
steeldco
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September 18th, 2012 at 12:30:35 PM permalink
Quote: TaxmanCPA

I just cannot picture the Dolphins 2-1 after 3 weeks. I projected them for 3-4 wins tops for the year.

.



I've gotta figure that it wasn't so much the Dolphins playing well as it was Oakland playing piss poorly. Was Carson Palmer ever any good? I recall one or maybe two years, but that's about it.

Good Luck!
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FourFiveFace
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September 22nd, 2012 at 11:41:14 PM permalink
I haven't done any sports betting (yet), but do follow it a bit. Does anyone here have any insight as to how the replacement refs have affected the lines? Does that situation change the way you approach betting on the NFL this season?
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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September 23rd, 2012 at 4:06:47 AM permalink
Quote: TaxmanCPA



Buffalo -3: Cleveland's O is only the running of Richardson. Weeden is bad IMO. Bills bounced back nicely against KC last week. Their D is a talented as Philly, and if the QB does not turn it over like Vick did in week 1, I can see Buffalo win by a TD+



Uhhhh... did you see week one? Against the JETS? ZERO sacks. ZERO quarterback pressure. LESS THAN ZERO coverage ability by the secondary. Name a Bills linebacker that any other team in the NFL would want? Same for safety. Same for corner..... TASHARD CHOICE will be getting 2nd back carries.... #2 wideout is done for season.... That being said, Cleveland is pretty bad, too....
steeldco
steeldco
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September 26th, 2012 at 10:07:50 AM permalink
2 wins and 3 losses last week has left me with a YTD of 6 and 11.
This week's picks are:
Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5
New Orleans Saints +7.5
Detroit Lions -4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3
San Diego Chargers +1
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
buzzpaff
buzzpaff
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September 26th, 2012 at 10:16:00 AM permalink
Never thought I would say this, but baseball picks seem to be your best bet.
steeldco
steeldco
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September 26th, 2012 at 10:17:33 AM permalink
Come on. So far I have been equally bad at them all........
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
buzzpaff
buzzpaff
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September 26th, 2012 at 10:30:28 AM permalink
I like a man who recognizes his faults as well as his talents. Still looking for my talents. LOL
steeldco
steeldco
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October 4th, 2012 at 8:54:01 AM permalink
Again a 2 and 3 week that has left me with a YTD of 8 and 14. Extremely mediocre.......am considering a screen name change to MrMediocre......
This week's picks are:
Jacksonville Jaguars 5.5
San Francisco 49ers -9.5
Baltimore Ravens -5
Miami Dolphins 4.0
Denver Broncos 7
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
MidwestAP
MidwestAP
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October 4th, 2012 at 10:51:38 AM permalink
Steeldco - I'm sorry to break this to you, but 8-14 isn't mediocre, it's just plain bad! 10-12 or 11-11 would be mediocre. Maybe hockey is your sport, you have some time to refine your system with the lock out and all.
steeldco
steeldco
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October 4th, 2012 at 10:54:16 AM permalink
Wait a second.....I still have a chance to be mediocre.......
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
MidwestAP
MidwestAP
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October 4th, 2012 at 10:57:10 AM permalink
Lol, yes, I guess there is a lot of season left to go. You can count me as a little worried as we share one pick this week.
steeldco
steeldco
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October 4th, 2012 at 11:00:11 AM permalink
LOL....and yes, to have you very little worried just pleases me to no end. Something else that I strive for besides mediocrity......LOL.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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October 10th, 2012 at 9:34:55 AM permalink
Yet another 2 and 3 week. YTD is now 10 and 17. Can I maintain bad or can I achieve mediocrity?

This week's picks are:
Oakland Raiders 8.5
Tennessee Titans 5.5
Denver Broncos 2
Washington Redskins -2.0
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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October 17th, 2012 at 7:14:59 AM permalink
As I continue my drive towards mediocrity, I went 4 and 0 last week. YTD is now 14 and 17.
This week's picks are:
San Francisco 49ers -7.0
New York Giants -6.0
Dallas Cowboys -2
Detroit Lions 6.0
St. Louis Rams 5.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
bigpete88
bigpete88
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October 20th, 2012 at 8:36:38 PM permalink
Steeldco,

All due respect but I am glad that I am on the other side on a couple games.

I would wish you BOL but that would be insincere :-).

Please keep posting so I can decide before sending my picks!!

Enjoy your Sunday!!
steeldco
steeldco
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October 21st, 2012 at 8:31:33 AM permalink
bigpete88,
so are you going to share which games you are on the other side of?
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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October 26th, 2012 at 3:31:55 AM permalink
I thought that I had posted this previously......but I don't see it here.
I went 1-2-2 last week for a YTD now of 15-19-2.
This week's picks are:
Tennessee Titans -3.5
Jacksonville Jaguars 13.0
Carolina Panthers 8
San Francisco 49ers -6.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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October 30th, 2012 at 4:43:58 AM permalink
After a 3 and 1 week, mediocrity is in sight. YTD is now 18-20-1.
Week 9's picks are:
Tennessee Titans +3.5
Arizona Cardinals +10.0
Cincinnati Bengals +3.5
Oakland Raiders -1.5
Seattle Seahawks -5
Buffalo Bills +10
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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November 6th, 2012 at 4:04:05 AM permalink
Well, that was a miserable week. I went 1-5 and YTD is now 19-25-1.

Can anybody prevent the Bears defense from scoring?

This week's picks are:
Detroit Lions -2.0
St. Louis Rams 11.5
Kansas City Chiefs 12.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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November 13th, 2012 at 4:29:24 AM permalink
Last week I went 2 and 1. YTD is now 21-26-1.

I've decided to just post the picks of the entire board since they are overall doing better than my selected picks that I have been posting. I will also continue posting those few that I would normally have selected.

Here's the entire board:
Jacksonville Jaguars 16
Detroit Lions 3.5
San Francisco 49ers -5
Kansas City Chiefs 3.5
Cleveland Browns 7.5
Indianapolis Colts 9
San Diego Chargers 7.5
Oakland Raiders 4.5
Washington Redskins -3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.5
Baltimore Ravens 3.5
Buffalo Bills -1.5
Atlanta Falcons -10
New York Jets 3


Here are the few select picks:
Buffalo Bills -1.5
Atlanta Falcons -10.0
New York Jets 3
Jacksonville Jaguars 16.0
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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November 21st, 2012 at 7:28:29 AM permalink
Last week I won 9 and lost 5. YTD is now 30 and 31.
This week' s picks are:
Kansas City Chiefs 10.5
Oakland Raiders 8
Jacksonville Jaguars 3
Detroit Lions 3
Miami Dolphins 3
Washington Redskins 3
Baltimore Ravens -1
Cleveland Browns 1
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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November 27th, 2012 at 4:40:47 AM permalink
Last week I won 6 and lost 1 along with 1 push. YTD is now 36-31.
This week's picks are:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7
Oakland Raiders 1
Philadelphia Eagles 7.5
Miami Dolphins 7.5
New York Jets -4.5
Minnesota Vikings 9
Kansas City Chiefs 3
St. Louis Rams 7
San Diego Chargers 1
Indianapolis Colts 4.5
New Orleans Saints 3.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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December 4th, 2012 at 3:38:56 AM permalink
A mediocre week with 5 wins, 5 losses, and a push.
YTD is now 41-36.
This week's picks are:
Oakland Raiders 10.5
Minnesota Vikings 3
Miami Dolphins 10
Kansas City Chiefs 5.5
Carolina Panthers 3.5
Dallas Cowboys 3
Houston Texans 4
St. Louis Rams 3
Seattle Seahawks -10.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -7
Indianapolis Colts -5
Washington Redskins P
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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December 12th, 2012 at 1:37:06 PM permalink
Yet another mediocre week going 6 and 6.
YTD is now 47 wins and 42 losses.

This week's picks are:
Philadelphia Eagles 4.5
Baltimore Ravens 2.5
Indianapolis Colts 8.5
San Francisco 49ers 5.5
Dallas Cowboys 2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3
Oakland Raiders -3
Carolina Panthers 3
Minnesota Vikings 3
Washington Redskins -1
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
Buzzard
Buzzard
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December 12th, 2012 at 1:43:00 PM permalink
Looks like the coin would beat you over here too? That should tell you something on your selection process for both the NFL & NBA
Shed not for her the bitter tear Nor give the heart to vain regret Tis but the casket that lies here, The gem that filled it Sparkles yet
steeldco
steeldco
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December 18th, 2012 at 1:01:36 PM permalink
We had an okay week by going 6 wins and 4 losses.
YTD is now 53 wins and 46 losses, 53.54%.

This week's picks are:
Jacksonville Jaguars 14.5
Cleveland Browns 13.5
Oakland Raiders 8.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3
Minnesota Vikings 7.5
Kansas City Chiefs 6.5
Seattle Seahawks 1
Pittsburgh Steelers -4
Philadelphia Eagles 4.5
Miami Dolphins -4.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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December 25th, 2012 at 8:31:14 AM permalink
This past week was a tough one. There were a couple that, into the 4th. quarter, I thought were going to be winners, only to see them end up losers..........I know that everyone has experienced that. Nonetheless, it sucks.........Oakland especially sucks.....

I went 4 and 6. YTD is now 57 and 52 for 52.29%.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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December 26th, 2012 at 6:55:35 AM permalink
Week 17 Picks:
Arizona Cardinals 16.5
Detroit Lions 3
Kansas City Chiefs 16
Indianapolis Colts 7
Oakland Raiders 4.5
Cleveland Browns 7
Baltimore Ravens 3
Miami Dolphins 10
Minnesota Vikings 3
Jacksonville Jaguars 4
Dallas Cowboys 3
New Orleans Saints -5
Buffalo Bills -3.5
New York Giants -7.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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December 31st, 2012 at 10:26:35 AM permalink
Week 17 produced a 7 win and 7 loss record. YTD is now 64 wins and 59 losses for 52.03%

The picks for the first week of playoff games are:
Minnesota Vikings 7.5
Houston Texans -4
Washington Redskins 2.5
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 9th, 2013 at 8:20:49 AM permalink
Playoff Week #1 produced a 1 and 2 record. YTD now stands at 65 wins and 61 losses.
Week #2 picks are:
Baltimore Ravens 9
Houston Texans 9.5
Atlanta Falcons -2.5
San Francisco 49ers -3


Denver is a 9 point favorite? Seriously? LOLOL......I think that they may be a straight up loser.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 19th, 2013 at 8:24:41 AM permalink
With a split in Playoff Week #2, the YTD record stands at 67 and 63, or 51.54%.
Playoff Week #3's picks are:
Atlanta Falcons +4.5
Baltimore Ravens +8
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 21st, 2013 at 10:00:41 AM permalink
Playoff week 3 brought 2 winners and 0 losers. The YTD record is now 69 wins and 63 losses, or 52.27%.
My Super Bowl Pick is Baltimore +4.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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February 4th, 2013 at 5:40:47 AM permalink
Well, I ended the year at 70 wins and 63 losses for 52.63%. An improvement over last year, as I had hoped for. Likewise, I expect yet another improvement next year when I can employ the current formula to the entire year. See Ya'll then. Good Luck!
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
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