Chances of losing
October 25th, 2019 at 10:27:30 AM
permalink
Does anyone know what the chances of losing are if you get dealt pocket Aces in a heads up texas holdem game? I've seen the chances in a 10 handed game, but never for heads up.
ZCore13
ZCore13
I am an employee of a Casino. Former Table Games Director,, current Pit Supervisor. All the personal opinions I post are my own and do not represent the opinions of the Casino or Tribe that I work for.
October 25th, 2019 at 10:32:07 AM
permalink
AA against two random cards are 82% to win the hand. They range from 75%-87% depending on the hand they are up against.
You can shear a sheep a hundred times, but you can skin it only once. — Amarillo Slim Preston
October 25th, 2019 at 1:02:48 PM
permalink
Quote: PokerGrinderAA against two random cards are 82% to win the hand. They range from 75%-87% depending on the hand they are up against.
How can you determine something like that when so much of poker is betting and bluffing? When you play one on one, aren't you playing the player as much as the cards? It's been a long time since I played poker but I watched a lot ten years ago.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
October 25th, 2019 at 1:31:48 PM
permalink
BillRyan I just assumed he meant all in pre as there is no way to put a percentage on it otherwise.
You can shear a sheep a hundred times, but you can skin it only once. — Amarillo Slim Preston
October 26th, 2019 at 3:28:00 PM
permalink
The answer can't be determined. The guy could know your tells or be bluffing with a unsuited 2-7.
The best things in life are not free.
October 26th, 2019 at 6:05:26 PM
permalink
Quote: LovecompsThe answer can't be determined. The guy could know your tells or be bluffing with a unsuited 2-7.
Wrong. Questions like this are assumed to be pre-flop odds. There is no bluffing AA pre-flop.
ZCore13
I am an employee of a Casino. Former Table Games Director,, current Pit Supervisor. All the personal opinions I post are my own and do not represent the opinions of the Casino or Tribe that I work for.
October 26th, 2019 at 6:09:51 PM
permalink
Hopefully, your opponent isn't sitting with an identical hand.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
October 27th, 2019 at 9:14:12 AM
permalink
Quote: billryanHopefully, your opponent isn't sitting with an identical hand.
There was one of those a few years back in the WSOP. It was pretty viral at the time. I'll try and add the YT rather than spoil it, because it's fun to watch.
https://youtu.be/PbmkJkBdxW0
Last edited by: beachbumbabs on Oct 27, 2019
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
October 27th, 2019 at 10:22:22 AM
permalink
Quote: beachbumbabsThere was one of those a few years back in the WSOP. It was pretty viral at the time. I'll try and add the YT rather than spoil it, because it's fun to watch.
https://youtu.be/PbmkJkBdxW0
Sadly, anyone that has played a lot of poker has had that happen to them.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
October 27th, 2019 at 11:11:59 AM
permalink
Quote: DRichQuote: beachbumbabsThere was one of those a few years back in the WSOP. It was pretty viral at the time. I'll try and add the YT rather than spoil it, because it's fun to watch.
https://youtu.be/PbmkJkBdxW0
Sadly, anyone that has played a lot of poker has had that happen to them.
The worst is when your opponent gets a flush and takes you out. 😪
October 27th, 2019 at 11:37:47 AM
permalink
Quote: MaxPenQuote: DRichQuote: beachbumbabsThere was one of those a few years back in the WSOP. It was pretty viral at the time. I'll try and add the YT rather than spoil it, because it's fun to watch.
https://youtu.be/PbmkJkBdxW0
Sadly, anyone that has played a lot of poker has had that happen to them.
The worst is when your opponent gets a flush and takes you out. 😪
That's what I was thinking.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
