Aces full of anything beat by quads
September 12th, 2010 at 10:57:04 PM
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I'm trying to find the odds of Aces full of anything being beat by quads with the usual bad beat rules such as all four hole cards must play. Can anyone help? Specifically it should hit one in how many hands played? Much thanks.
September 12th, 2010 at 11:22:07 PM
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Quote: ImGregBI'm trying to find the odds of Aces full of anything being beat by quads with the usual bad beat rules such as all four hole cards must play. Can anyone help? Specifically it should hit one in how many hands played? Much thanks.
Insufficient data. You also need to know: full table? Nine- or ten-handed? How many players, on the average, see the flop? And something probably unquantifiable: to what extent do people play hands like A4 and 33? Obviously, for example, you would see less such jackpots at a tight table than one where everybody played every hand to the river (which only would exist in theory, darn it).
The fact that a believer is happier than a skeptic is no more to the point than the fact that a drunken man is happier than a sober one. The happiness of credulity is a cheap and dangerous quality.---George Bernard Shaw
September 13th, 2010 at 10:55:51 AM
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The Wizard has a page dedicated to bad beat jackpots, including odds on a 10 person table assuming no one folds. Wizard of Odds page here. Given that there are many variables, this "best case" scenario is probably the best general guideline available.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
