Wizard
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Wizard
Joined: Oct 14, 2009
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January 25th, 2012 at 4:11:04 PM permalink
Quote: pacomartin

It will be interesting to see how much you wager on these two options.



I'm sure I'll bet the Artist quite big. Meryl will be a much smaller play, although just from personal handicapping, I sense she'll win. She is overdue and it was a great performance -- although in a pretty bad movie.
It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.
EvenBob
EvenBob
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January 25th, 2012 at 4:22:23 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard


Best Supporting Actor: CHRISTOPHER PLUMMER: -1600



Plummer is the only sure thing, and not because
he's -1600. He's a fabulous actor who's never given
a bad performance, and even at 81 he still hits it
out of the park.
"It's not enough to succeed, your friends must fail." Gore Vidal
EvenBob
EvenBob
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January 25th, 2012 at 4:27:25 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

She is overdue and it was a great performance .



She always gives a great performance. She puts all she's
got into every role, she becomes that person. Unlike actors
like Julia Roberts, who, without her balloon-like collegen lips,
would be a nobody.
"It's not enough to succeed, your friends must fail." Gore Vidal
pacomartin
pacomartin
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January 25th, 2012 at 4:42:58 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Plummer is the only sure thing, and not because he's -1600.



We are talking about what are the best bets to make to earn money, personal appreciation aside, Christopher Plummer was probably just as good in The Last Station two years ago as he was in Beginners this year. But the movie gods said that an evil Nazi would win the best supporting actor two years ago and Christopher Waltz took home the Oscar.

People liked "Inglorious Basterds" and they didn't see "The Last Station".

I'm a little worried about Meryl Streep. It is difficult to completely separate a good performance from a bad movie. In addition to the Wizard not liking the movie, it got very bad professional reviews.
Tiltpoul
Tiltpoul
Joined: May 5, 2010
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January 25th, 2012 at 5:40:04 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I'm sure I'll bet the Artist quite big. Meryl will be a much smaller play, although just from personal handicapping, I sense she'll win. She is overdue and it was a great performance -- although in a pretty bad movie.



Isn't there a thing about gambling that NOTHING is overdue... Just because Black 10 on Roulette hasn't hit for 1000 spins doesn't mean that it's due to hit this time ;)

That being said, I know the Academy Awards voters are probably the exception to this rule. Then again, how many times was Susan Lucci due to win, only to be spurned, time and time again. Other than Glenn Close and Mara Rooney, there seems to be the possibility of a three-way race. I don't bet on the Oscars, but I'd take my chances on Michelle Williams, especially given Kenneth Branagh's longshot odds.

The Artist seems destined to win, and this is a year that will be sentimental for some Hollywood schmalz, so Williams as Monroe seems like a decent shot.

Again, I don't bet, or vote for that matter, and haven't seen any of the performances, so this is me just talking out of my a--, as I wait for my connecting flight...
"One out of every four people are [morons]"- Kyle, South Park
pacomartin
pacomartin
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January 28th, 2012 at 8:37:12 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Here are the Pinnacle odds as of Jan 26:

Best Actor: George Clooney The Descendants -400
Best Actress: Meryl Streep - The Iron Lady -190
Best Animated Feature: Rango -380
BEST DIRECTOR: Michel Hazanavicius -145
BEST PICTURE: The Artist -449
Best Supporting Actor: CHRISTOPHER PLUMMER: -1600
Best Supporting Actress: OCTAVIA SPENCER -900



Updated Pinnacle Odds (Cheaper for all bets except Meryl Streep)

Best Actor: George Clooney The Descendants -367
Best Actress: Meryl Streep - The Iron Lady -230
Best Animated Feature: Rango -325
Best Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer: -1450
Best Supporting Actress: Octavia Spencer -600

Best Director & Picture not available on Pinnacle
AcesAndEights
AcesAndEights
Joined: Jan 5, 2012
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February 13th, 2012 at 3:26:06 PM permalink
Quote: pacomartin

Updated Pinnacle Odds (Cheaper for all bets except Meryl Streep)

Best Actor: George Clooney The Descendants -367
Best Actress: Meryl Streep - The Iron Lady -230
Best Animated Feature: Rango -325
Best Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer: -1450
Best Supporting Actress: Octavia Spencer -600

Best Director & Picture not available on Pinnacle


Things have changed even more with the Oscars coming up in just under 2 weeks...
Current (selected) pinnacle odds:
Best Actor:
JEAN DUJARDIN -101
Field -116
(Clooney no longer listed)

Best Actress:
401 Viola Davis - The Help -125
402 Meryl Streep - The Iron Lady +111

Best Animated Feature:
Rango -800

Best Picture:
The Artist -661

Best Supporting Actor:
Christopher Plummer: -3500 (!!!)

Best Supporting Actress:
Octavia Spencer -1050

Interesting that Meryl Streep went from favorite to underdog, did something come out in the news or some notable event influence that race? I don't really pay attention to entertainment news.

So I have to ask, because I am a n00b to online gambling, is it safe for Americans to get money in and out of Pinnacle and Bovada these days? I thought they cracked down on that stuff the same as online poker as of the big Black Whatever on April 15 this year? I have tried poking around the web to get more info but it's a haze of misinformation out there. I'd like to make a couple of these bets this year (at small stakes) just to test the waters.
"So drink gamble eat f***, because one day you will be dust." -ontariodealer
mickpk
mickpk
Joined: Oct 21, 2009
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February 13th, 2012 at 3:59:06 PM permalink
I see Pinnacle listing a choice between Clooney (-101, $1.99) and Dujardin (-113, $1.885).

You think -3500 ($1.0285) is bad for Plummer? He's at -10000 ($1.01) at other bookies.

From their FAQ: "Pinnacle Sports does not accept bets from the United States of America."
AcesAndEights
AcesAndEights
Joined: Jan 5, 2012
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February 13th, 2012 at 4:47:03 PM permalink
Quote: mickpk

I see Pinnacle listing a choice between Clooney (-101, $1.99) and Dujardin (-113, $1.885).

You think -3500 ($1.0285) is bad for Plummer? He's at -10000 ($1.01) at other bookies.

From their FAQ: "Pinnacle Sports does not accept bets from the United States of America."


Yep, the Pinnacle line has changed since I posted a couple of hours ago.

For a US resident to get action on Pinnacle, I guess you have to have a confederate/address in Canada or another country, or pull some other shenanigans.
"So drink gamble eat f***, because one day you will be dust." -ontariodealer

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