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Joined: Jan 26, 2010
February 5th, 2010 at 2:48:13 PM permalink
I was reading the strategy over at the "odds" site. Knowing that the buy 1 card strategy isn't fully detailed, one hand stood out at me while practicing. I had A-K-Q suited with 7-5 off-suit and the dealer had an 8 showing. I hesitated here... naturally, this is a Raise hand without the draw, BUT it is three to a royal with no visible penalty. Naturally, the common play would be to RAISE, and call it a day, but I was wondering if this situation is even close to go for the Royal, for two additional units. One could still improve the hand Any-Pair, Matched-Pair, 2 Pair, a Set, Straight, or Flush.
To err is human. To air is Jordan. To arrr is pirate.
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May 9th, 2010 at 12:45:49 PM permalink
I would say you should not buy two cards, even for a Royal.
The chance of getting Royal is small and the pay is not big enough (100:1).
winning streaks come and go, losing streak never ends.
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May 9th, 2010 at 1:52:37 PM permalink
The pot odds are horrible. The probability of making the Royal is 1/combin(46,2) = 1 in 1035.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
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Joined: May 23, 2010
May 23rd, 2010 at 1:56:51 AM permalink
I also have a Oasis Poker related question. The local casino in my city uses the usual Oasis Poker rules and standard paytable but in case the dealer doesn't qualify they allow player to buy a replacement card for dealer's highest card for a cost of one ante. When this option is used on player straight or better hands, it increases dealer's probability to qualify and the return to player. I am curious whether this rule might be enough to push the game to yield player edge, especially considering that the player could adjust his strategy to replace one of his own cards more aggressively.

As for the card switch strategy listed at, I found a more detailed strategy description as follows:

The discard strategy can be improved slightly by also discarding on...
-Four to a flush with a 22 to 55 pair when the dealer's upcard is a greater rank than the pair
-Four to a flush with a 66 to 77 pair when the dealer's upcard is a greater rank than the pair & offsuit from the flush
-Four to a straight with a 22 to 44 pair when the dealer's upcard is a greater rank than all cards in the straight

Like mentioned at, there are possibly some inside straight replacement decisions as well. For example A-Q-J-T-5 and dealer upcard lower than T might be worth replacing the 5?
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