Aug 30 show with Steve Fezzik
August 25th, 2012 at 8:25:09 PM
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Steve Fezzik (note: URL corrected) will be our guest on the next Gambling with an Edge show. Steve is the only other actuary turned professional gambler/writer that I know of. He has turned his attention almost entirely to sports betting but also plays poker. He has an impressive resume of handicapping contest wins and is fairly high profile in the world of Vegas sports betting. The thing I like about Steve is he is both a handicapper and also has a keen eye to exploiting exotic bets on sports.
To get the point, I'm soliciting questions to ask Steve. Questions should only be about betting the NFL. I prefer questions about this particular season, as opposed to general questions that football betting. Steve is not an easy guest to get, so this is your chance to get some football advise directly from one of the best.
To get the point, I'm soliciting questions to ask Steve. Questions should only be about betting the NFL. I prefer questions about this particular season, as opposed to general questions that football betting. Steve is not an easy guest to get, so this is your chance to get some football advise directly from one of the best.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
August 25th, 2012 at 8:31:25 PM
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Quote: WizardSteve Fezzik will be our guest on the next Gambling with an Edge show.
Thats means you have to have Dr Bob on sometime too.
Both Fezzik and Billy Walters are customers of Bob's.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
August 25th, 2012 at 8:41:56 PM
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Quote: EvenBobThats means you have to have Dr Bob on sometime too.
One of my strategies is to wait until all of Dr. Bob's minions bet into his picks, and then I bet the other side. I'm not saying Dr. Bob isn't good, but his fans have the power to move a line so far that the other way becomes a good bet.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
August 25th, 2012 at 9:16:55 PM
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Dr Bob has had 3 losing pro FB seasons in a row,
he did OK on college, though.
he did OK on college, though.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
August 26th, 2012 at 9:47:51 AM
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Quote: EvenBobDr Bob has had 3 losing pro FB seasons in a row, he did OK on college, though.
Doesn't surprise me.
I'm still hoping to get some questions people!
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
August 26th, 2012 at 1:25:10 PM
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Question:
In analyzing games most handicappers look at many factors such as injuries, weather conditions, home team advantage etc., but is there any key factor or key factors that has proven to be more effective this past season that you may use this season?
In analyzing games most handicappers look at many factors such as injuries, weather conditions, home team advantage etc., but is there any key factor or key factors that has proven to be more effective this past season that you may use this season?
August 26th, 2012 at 1:35:32 PM
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Fezzik is a former high school chess champ. Ask him if what
he learned in chess, how to think is 6 different directions at
once, has helped him in being a success in sports betting. I
bet no one ever asked him that before.
he learned in chess, how to think is 6 different directions at
once, has helped him in being a success in sports betting. I
bet no one ever asked him that before.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
August 26th, 2012 at 2:16:59 PM
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What factors would determine a second half bet for side or total?
August 26th, 2012 at 4:34:05 PM
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Not 100% sure about this Wiz, but I believe the site you linked to is a fraud, see http://twitter.com/FezzikSports
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August 26th, 2012 at 4:38:30 PM
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Quote: bigfoot66Not 100% sure about this Wiz, but I believe the site you linked to is a fraud, see http://twitter.com/FezzikSports
Wow! If you're right, and I tend to think you are, then I thank you for the correction. This will be a good topic to ask about.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
August 26th, 2012 at 4:40:54 PM
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I think he is associated with LVA sports, I cant imagine him being associated with two sites...
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August 27th, 2012 at 12:54:37 PM
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If action on a 'Will Player X be on injured reserve before Game Y?' proposition can even be taken, Are there key stats that determine if it is a good play (e.g., Sacks Allowed, Hurries, Bliz's per Game?).
Does he think the NFL will eventually allow a franchise in Las Vegas? If so, which will happen first, a regular NFL team in London or Las Vegas?
Wireless betting tablets are poised for a big expansion this season in Nevada. Does the entry of so many new players to "Play-by-play" betting make it better or worse for the traditional exotic prop bettor?
Does he think the NFL will eventually allow a franchise in Las Vegas? If so, which will happen first, a regular NFL team in London or Las Vegas?
Wireless betting tablets are poised for a big expansion this season in Nevada. Does the entry of so many new players to "Play-by-play" betting make it better or worse for the traditional exotic prop bettor?
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
August 30th, 2012 at 3:21:55 PM
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With mobile and online wagering now more prevalent in Nevada, do you foresee more or less opportunities to get on good numbers? Personally I love that I now have the Halftime wagers at my fingertips without having to be at the sportsbook.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
August 30th, 2012 at 3:51:16 PM
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I don't follow the show so don't ask this for me, but if you want question ideas, you could certainly ask him about what impact the replacement refs will have on handicapping.
August 30th, 2012 at 4:28:20 PM
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Which rookie QB this season will actually bring his team to the Over # of wins?
i.e.
RG3 (Redskins over/under 6.5)
Andrew Luck (Colts over/under 5.5)
Ryan Tannehill (Dolphins over/under 7.5)
Brandon Weeden (Browns over/under 5.5)
Russell Wilson (Seahawks over/under 7)
i.e.
RG3 (Redskins over/under 6.5)
Andrew Luck (Colts over/under 5.5)
Ryan Tannehill (Dolphins over/under 7.5)
Brandon Weeden (Browns over/under 5.5)
Russell Wilson (Seahawks over/under 7)
August 30th, 2012 at 4:37:46 PM
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I can only pick one?
Okay, put me down for Andrew Luck.
Okay, put me down for Andrew Luck.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
September 1st, 2012 at 7:32:00 AM
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Shocking diss of the Wizard's 10 commandments by Dancer! Downright blasphemous I thought.
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!” She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
September 1st, 2012 at 8:46:04 AM
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Quote: odiousgambitShocking diss of the Wizard's 10 commandments by Dancer! Downright blasphemous I thought.
That did not go unnoticed by me either.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
September 1st, 2012 at 9:32:58 AM
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I thought that was a little wierd. Was he just trying to say that life is full of gray areas, or was he actually suggesting that cheating is OK? I wish it was the former but it sounded a lot more like the latter. Frankly I lost a bit of respect for Dancer.
There are 'the rules' as written and then there are 'the rules' as we understand them and are expected to follow them. Technically you are not allowed to play poker on your wife's card, but the casino knows you do it and tolerates it. This violates the rules technically but it is not really cheating as long as the casino knows you are doing it and tolerates it. Or how about sharing information about your hands in Missippi Stud which is technically against the rules but also tolerated?
The fact of the matter is that what is written down as 'the rules' is not really the set of rules. If the casino stops you from doing something then it is against the rules, if they tolerate the activity it is not against the rules. I thought it was bad form for a man to defend "cheating" on a show that is sponsored by several casinos.
There are 'the rules' as written and then there are 'the rules' as we understand them and are expected to follow them. Technically you are not allowed to play poker on your wife's card, but the casino knows you do it and tolerates it. This violates the rules technically but it is not really cheating as long as the casino knows you are doing it and tolerates it. Or how about sharing information about your hands in Missippi Stud which is technically against the rules but also tolerated?
The fact of the matter is that what is written down as 'the rules' is not really the set of rules. If the casino stops you from doing something then it is against the rules, if they tolerate the activity it is not against the rules. I thought it was bad form for a man to defend "cheating" on a show that is sponsored by several casinos.
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September 1st, 2012 at 10:06:59 AM
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I've not listened to the show but this equivocating about "the rules" sounds a bit strange. Face it, when a well-known male gambler presents a Players Card that is in the name of Stephanie X, the Floor Man who swipes the card is pretty much able to figure out this well known gambler is "giving Comp points" to his neice. Against the rules? No, not at the level he gambles at. Does the casino really care? No. Its behavior that is prohibited but the prohibition is known to be very flexible depending particularly on how high the stack of chips one brings to the table is.
September 1st, 2012 at 10:18:14 AM
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I agree Flea. In fairness, the example Dancer used was, naturally, related to VP where the machine has no idea who is playing. However at the stakes Dancer plays for I am sure that hand pays are frequent so the slot tech would figure it out.
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September 1st, 2012 at 11:22:36 AM
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It's an extension of the golden rule - he who has the gold makes the rules...
In casino parlance - high rollers get away with bending the rules more than Joe Average
In casino parlance - high rollers get away with bending the rules more than Joe Average
September 1st, 2012 at 11:26:18 AM
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I would not say that playing video poker on your wife's card is even unethical. However, if the casino decided to void those points, I would have to respect their right to do that. As I said on that show, I would certainly consider anything illegal to be cheating. I would even say that the incident in the "rolling stop" bet was a light shade of cheating, and I'm sure Bob would not take my side in that dispute.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
September 1st, 2012 at 11:28:52 AM
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"rolling stop" bet? This sounds familiar but not sure what you are referring to....was this a bet you made with a friend and he welched or something like that?
Vote for Nobody 2020!
September 1st, 2012 at 11:39:56 AM
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Quote: bigfoot66"rolling stop" bet? This sounds familiar but not sure what you are referring to....was this a bet you made with a friend and he welched or something like that?
There was already an enormous thread about it. However, the issue is pretty simple. I bet that the next car to come through an intersection in the direction with a stop sign would not come to a complete stop. A friend of mine took the other side. When the car rolled through the stop, as I expected, she darted out into the middle of the street, forcing the car to stop.
Yes, the car came to a complete stop, but was a rule of "no interference" implied?
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
September 1st, 2012 at 12:22:50 PM
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Quote: Wizard
Yes, the car came to a complete stop, but was a rule of "no interference" implied?
God, don't get me started again. Thats is blatant
cheating, how can anybody think otherwise. If
this were allowed in prop bets, people would
stop making them because they would be pointless.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
September 1st, 2012 at 12:49:13 PM
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Well, all is fair in the world of love, war and weird bets. And if she was young, attractive and risked a pair of really great legs to do it, then you've only got to admire her moxie and pay her the money.
Now some Granny at the retirement home who has her card swiped for the One Free Daily Entry by the retirement home's bus driver might just win the Free Car drawing but face it, the casino already got the publicity they wanted and that bus driver who swipes twenty cards a day isn't going to be admired, but he won't be prosecuted either.
Now some Granny at the retirement home who has her card swiped for the One Free Daily Entry by the retirement home's bus driver might just win the Free Car drawing but face it, the casino already got the publicity they wanted and that bus driver who swipes twenty cards a day isn't going to be admired, but he won't be prosecuted either.
September 1st, 2012 at 12:52:25 PM
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Quote: FleaStiffthen you've only got to admire her moxie and pay her the money.
How do you figure? Cheating is cheating. Cheaters don't
get paid on prop bets.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
September 1st, 2012 at 12:54:59 PM
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Here is a link to that bet in question: Friendly bet dispute. Let's not hijack this thread by talking about that again.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
September 1st, 2012 at 3:18:41 PM
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Quote: WizardI would not say that playing video poker on your wife's card is even unethical.
Perhaps the casino would disagree. On my Total Rewards card I often qualify for 3 free nights. If I tripled my play I think I wouldn't qualify for any more. By using my wife's card she qualified for 3 free nights, too. So we were able to get 6 nights, the first 3 in my name, the next 3 in her's. Don't tell Dan....
