12 only occurs 1 out of 36 rolls.

Ouch!Quote:TheShadow74712 only occurs 1 out of 36 rolls.

You are stating an average. Be careful of them. They can kill bankrolls.

It takes many rolls to have any confidence in an average.

Also an average comes from a distribution.

Looks like there is about a 26.4% chance of seeing 2 or more 12s in 36 rolls.

Here is part of the distribution of 12s in 36 rolls

wins | (or less) | exact | (or more) |
---|---|---|---|

0 | 0.362710033 | 0.362710033 | 1 |

1 | 0.73578321 | 0.373073177 | 0.637289967 |

2 | 0.922319798 | 0.186536588 | 0.26421679 |

3 | 0.982722122 | 0.060402324 | 0.077680202 |

4 | 0.996959813 | 0.014237691 | 0.017277878 |

5 | 0.999563276 | 0.002603463 | 0.003040187 |

The actual house edge you experience depends on the odds available.

Quote:TheShadow747It is a comp system that is why I am trying to get as close to even as possible. regrettably it is only 2x odds. take it as a theory question if you want. I want to get as close to 0 house advantage as possible with as little variance as possible betting as much as I can. if pass is 1.41 and dont is 1.36 house advantage I figure betting both would cancel out to a .05% house advantage.

Uhhhhh.... NO! They don't CANCEL each other, they AVERAGE out to be about 1.38% against you.

Quote:TheShadow747ok I see your point, but only a 12 is bad for me. On a 12 pass loses dont pushes. the longer the roll, the more bets, the more odds I have out there. Im standing to lose only 1 bet every 1/36 times. Remember I am not looking to win here, I am looking to bet as much as possible with as little house edge as possible. the house is comping for odds bets at this casino.

If you can tell us how much comps you get for your scheme we can then tell you if you will come out ahead on average, or behind. By the way, I would not be confident that if the pit boss sees you betting this way that your rating will not be as high as you think.