ChumpChange
Joined: Jun 15, 2018
• Posts: 3760
November 23rd, 2022 at 4:09:46 AM permalink
I was rolling 20+ rolls trying to avoid the point of 8 and to 7-out for a DP w/ 3X odds win. Along the way, I hit 2x 11's and 5x 3's in a row. So that's 7x 15:1 payouts I missed. What are the chances of this sequence of rolls? 4/36^7 = 0.1111 ^ 7 = 2.09 e-07, so 0.000000209 or 0.0000209%
odiousgambit
Joined: Nov 9, 2009
• Posts: 9046
November 23rd, 2022 at 4:15:37 AM permalink
Well, Chump, I think I will criticize your thinking, but for once can't say it's because you don't know the math

not that I checked your math ... if correct, to answer your question, chances were 1 in 4,784,689

You can't make a bet like that, however, you can only bet one event at a time. Does that tell you why I'm critical?
The Dice, the cards, they not only have no sense of justice but are seemingly endowed with a sense of cruel irony. This devolves from the 'nature of random'. Ironically, don't you see.
ChumpChange
Joined: Jun 15, 2018