Laymedown
Joined: Nov 15, 2017
• Posts: 265
March 29th, 2018 at 4:35:47 PM permalink
The title says it all.
One step forward, 4 steps back and this is why martingale systems never work.

Just think about it. Let's assume the Casino wins on average 2 bets to every 1 lost.
How can you make this up.
You can't double your bet after a WIN because remember the casino wins 2 to your 1

If you win 1 and double it, you have 2 with no pulling back of chips so you now give the casino a second chance to win 200%
Assuming the casino wins 2 to 1 times that a big percentage of losses that can add up very quick.

How to fix this?
START WITH 2 CHIPS AND AFTER A WIN GO DOWN TO ONE CHIP ? maybe but maybe not.

I think one main step is to determine how many average wins in a row can be made at the table before factoring in what your bet will be.

Assuming the win average is 3 in a row,
First off, you can now determine how many times to up your bet
Second, If you set an amount you want to win then that amount should be the 50% of the total of your last bet.

So if I want to win 1000.00 knowing the average is 3 wins in a row,
my third bet would be \$500.00.
This also means my second bet will need to be \$250.
This means my first bet must be \$125

Now the question? If no wins get pulled back for 3 wins in a row also knowing that the casino wins 2 to your 1, that's a tough decision to make to parlay all your money 3 times in a row. So how to make it better?

START WITH ONE CHIP AFTER A WIN UP YOUR BET BY 50% ? Maybe it's a better bet.

So if I want to win 1000.00 knowing the average is 3 wins in a row, and you only press your wins 50%
We know our last bet needs to be \$500 so if we increase our bet after each win from the start to get to that 500 amount ? ? ?

I know if I start with \$100 this will not work because you need to win 5 times but the average casino run is 3.
100
150
225
337.50
506.25

I know if I start with \$200 this will be too high because if you win 3 times the amount will be \$900 but you also have 50% profits from your previous wins. \$475.00 that totals \$1375.00
200
300
450

This is where I'm lost because my head can't put together the figures.
Sorry for my many daily posts. I am a retired professional and I love to chat about gambling. I also enjoy reading and can't help but to reply to some fantastic articles.
gamerfreak
Joined: Dec 28, 2014
• Posts: 3386
March 29th, 2018 at 4:51:48 PM permalink
It does not matter when/how you raise and lower your bets. The house edge applies to every bet equally.
Laymedown
Joined: Nov 15, 2017
• Posts: 265
March 30th, 2018 at 12:21:03 AM permalink
Yes. In knowing there is a house edge, just assume the loss when you lose a chip. I was referring this part towards those people who like to double up their bets after a LOSS.

If you have some solid figures to work with then you can easily alter your betting to compensate whats what and where everything needs to go.

Knowing that an average win run is 3
Knowing your win goal is \$1000
Knowing how many bets you need to make to reach your win goal
Knowing how much to bet
Knowing what to pull back and what to press 20%, 50%,100%

If the bet is lost then start over.

All Systems work in general even beyond gambling.
We all use a system when we wake in the morning, get up, go to bathroom, brush teeth, get dressed, start our day.
Other systems include what we do at a work place.
Systems work but it's because we know the steps and we know what we need to do or alter some things in real time.

Anyway, I don't want to sound boring.
Sorry for my many daily posts. I am a retired professional and I love to chat about gambling. I also enjoy reading and can't help but to reply to some fantastic articles.
RS
Joined: Feb 11, 2014
• Posts: 8623
Thanks for this post from:
March 30th, 2018 at 1:32:18 AM permalink
Honestly I have no idea WTF you’re writing.
billryan
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
• Posts: 12048
March 30th, 2018 at 5:35:49 AM permalink
You don't speak gibberish?
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
MidwestAP
Joined: Feb 19, 2012
• Posts: 1263
March 30th, 2018 at 5:58:29 AM permalink
You can't expect the content to be spoon fed to you when it's coming from the most interesting man in the world, got to search for the meaning ;-)
Laymedown
Joined: Nov 15, 2017
• Posts: 265
March 30th, 2018 at 6:02:46 AM permalink
And this is why.
People don't understand the simple measures involved in gambling. Thus they go into the casino with expectations of winning and leave the casino's kicking themselves saying in their minds,
I should've done this
I should've done that
Why didn't I bet there
What was I thinking
Sorry for my many daily posts. I am a retired professional and I love to chat about gambling. I also enjoy reading and can't help but to reply to some fantastic articles.
SM777
Joined: Apr 8, 2016
• Posts: 762
March 30th, 2018 at 6:30:46 AM permalink
......uh what?
Laymedown
Joined: Nov 15, 2017
• Posts: 265
March 30th, 2018 at 6:40:51 AM permalink
What don't you understand. It's written in plain English?
Sorry for my many daily posts. I am a retired professional and I love to chat about gambling. I also enjoy reading and can't help but to reply to some fantastic articles.
darkoz
Joined: Dec 22, 2009