mountpleasantt
mountpleasantt
  • Threads: 15
  • Posts: 30
Joined: Aug 20, 2016
August 20th, 2016 at 11:47:11 AM permalink
what are the odds of an all bet- rolling 2-6 and 8-12 before a 7. i know it pays 175-1, with a house edge, but how do you know the odds?
PlayYourCardsRight
PlayYourCardsRight 
  • Threads: 11
  • Posts: 328
Joined: Dec 29, 2011
August 20th, 2016 at 11:57:31 AM permalink
The odds are 123 to 1, making it a sucker bet AGAINST the house.*

*-not really, but if you look on Wizard of Odds Website, at https://wizardofodds.com/games/craps/appendix/5

Shows a house edge of more than 7 percent on each bet.
DJTeddyBear
DJTeddyBear
  • Threads: 210
  • Posts: 11062
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
August 20th, 2016 at 12:00:07 PM permalink
Check this page:
https://wizardofodds.com/games/craps/appendix/5/

There's a lot of craps bets listed, including the Small and Tall, followed by the All bets.
I invented a few casino games. Info: http://www.DaveMillerGaming.com/ ————————————————————————————————————— Superstitions are silly, childish, irrational rituals, born out of fear of the unknown. But how much does it cost to knock on wood? 😁
mountpleasantt
mountpleasantt
  • Threads: 15
  • Posts: 30
Joined: Aug 20, 2016
August 20th, 2016 at 7:42:33 PM permalink
its all there, thanks a lot
Steen
Steen
  • Threads: 0
  • Posts: 126
Joined: Apr 7, 2014
September 6th, 2016 at 1:55:51 PM permalink
Quote: mountpleasantt

what are the odds of an all bet- rolling 2-6 and 8-12 before a 7. i know it pays 175-1, with a house edge, but how do you know the odds?


Did you get the number you were looking for?

Odds are a comparison of the number of ways one event can happen versus another. You simply need to set up a ratio of the two events.

The Wizard's page others have cited here shows the probability of winning the All bet as 0.005258 and the probability of losing as 0.994742. So the ratio of winning to losing is:

0.005258 to 0.994742

Divide both sides by 0.994742 and you get:

Odds of winning versus losing are 0.005286 to 1

Likewise, the ratio of losing to winning is:

0.994742 to 0.005258

Divide both sides by 0.005258 and you get:

Odds of losing versus winning are 189.186 to 1


So ... if the All bet were fair it would pay 189.186 to 1 but instead it pays 175 to 1.

That means the house takes 14.186 simoleons from your payoff. So the house advantage is:

14.186/189.186 ~ 7.5% (approximate due to rounding)

Steen
Last edited by: Steen on Sep 6, 2016
BlueEagle
BlueEagle
  • Threads: 5
  • Posts: 249
Joined: Jun 7, 2015
February 25th, 2017 at 12:06:42 PM permalink
I use to enjoy this side bet but not anymore. I've noticed at M Life strip casinos that the payout has been reduced, resulting in a horrific house edge.

Small and Tall: wins pay 30 to 1, the house edge is 18.30%
All: wins pay 150 to 1, the house edge is 20.61%
WatchMeWin
WatchMeWin
  • Threads: 105
  • Posts: 1636
Joined: May 20, 2011
February 26th, 2017 at 1:27:59 PM permalink
Quote: BlueEagle

I use to enjoy this side bet but not anymore. I've noticed at M Life strip casinos that the payout has been reduced, resulting in a horrific house edge.

Small and Tall: wins pay 30 to 1, the house edge is 18.30%
All: wins pay 150 to 1, the house edge is 20.61%



I was wondering when they were going to either do away with this bet or change the payouts on it. Im not big on playing side bets, but I have seen all tall bet pay out many times. Far greater amount of times than the fire bet.

The first time I ever saw the bet in Mirage, I was shooting and I watch another guy playing it make nearly 25k on this side bet. He played 100 on all 3 bets (all tall, all small, all or nothing) I believe the payouts were 35-1, 35-1, 175-1. Of course, it was early in the morning and we were the only two people on the table. The dice were flying with rhythm and no stoppage. Lots of numbers.
'Winners hit n run... Losers stick around'
mountpleasantt
mountpleasantt
  • Threads: 15
  • Posts: 30
Joined: Aug 20, 2016
February 28th, 2017 at 9:43:06 AM permalink
really, which casinos are at the m life strip?
beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
  • Threads: 101
  • Posts: 14268
Joined: May 21, 2013
February 28th, 2017 at 8:09:47 PM permalink
Quote: mountpleasantt

really, which casinos are at the m life strip?



MGM Grand
Mandalay Bay
New York New York
Bellagio
Mirage
Excalibur
Aria
Luxor
Monte Carlo
maybe Circus Circus (they have some weird arrangement; think they're mostly m life)
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
  • Threads: 68
  • Posts: 11933
Joined: Jan 12, 2010
February 28th, 2017 at 8:32:10 PM permalink
MGM does own CC but they have their own players card/club.
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
ThenWhatHappens
ThenWhatHappens
  • Threads: 0
  • Posts: 51
Joined: Mar 13, 2017
April 11th, 2017 at 12:19:14 PM permalink
Small-All-Tall now $5 minimum. Starting this week Mirage will raise the min from $1 per box to $5 each. Information relayed from a boxman last weekend. There was one dealer immediately after a shift change Saturday night that was confused and tried to require the higher minimum. Dealers lamented that if you want to know what will happen here [Mirage], just go to Aria, "We do everything Aria does." They said the min has been higher there for a while.

Side Note: Pai Gow Poker Fortune bet also going to $5 minimum.
Don't forget, "FREE" is a four letter word.
Doc
Doc
  • Threads: 46
  • Posts: 7287
Joined: Feb 27, 2010
April 11th, 2017 at 1:00:43 PM permalink
Quote: ThenWhatHappens

Small-All-Tall now $5 minimum.

I saw the same thing two weeks ago at Beau Rivage in Biloxi. Seems as if the wager used to be $5 maximum. Not sure what the maximum is now (I didn't play it), but maybe the options are $5 or nothing. That would make it slightly simpler to keep the payouts straight for multiple bettors.

I wonder if this is being implemented as a "feature" of the game and will be this way everywhere soon.
kmumf
kmumf
  • Threads: 1
  • Posts: 182
Joined: Jul 5, 2011
April 11th, 2017 at 1:43:41 PM permalink
Wow so instead of wasting 3 dollars you now waste $15. When I play i will bet this maybe one time when I roll for $3 but I think this will make me never play it.
jmills
jmills
  • Threads: 8
  • Posts: 113
Joined: Sep 16, 2014
April 11th, 2017 at 2:08:50 PM permalink
I was playing last night in Hammond and since I was the shooter decided to go a dollar on each. I had a nice long roll and was only missing the two and the ten. The two came out and me and several others got paid our $35. The dealer asked if I wanted to go again on the small, and I laughed and said what are the chances of that happening again. My next six rolls were in this order: 2, 3, 5, 4, and 6. The dealers had a good laugh at me for not betting another dollar. I never did roll the ten.
ThenWhatHappens
ThenWhatHappens
  • Threads: 0
  • Posts: 51
Joined: Mar 13, 2017
April 11th, 2017 at 2:31:09 PM permalink
I never play it but my husband will throw down 2-1-2 when he or I are shooting. I find I miss it when we are on a good roll and it is not being played. It serves as a nice way to keep track of progress and gives an escape when a Come bet hits crap. With enough people playing it really helps to bring the table together. Bean counters in charge.

Side Note: Also heard machine players are no longer going to get complementary drink service. Machines will "rate" your coin-in and issue drink tickets.
Don't forget, "FREE" is a four letter word.
LuckyPhow
LuckyPhow
  • Threads: 55
  • Posts: 698
Joined: May 19, 2016
April 11th, 2017 at 3:28:10 PM permalink
Quote: ThenWhatHappens

Side Note: Also heard machine players are no longer going to get complementary drink service. Machines will "rate" your coin-in and issue drink tickets.



Ugh! Is this just a "Vegas" thing? Or, were you hearing it's coming to the wider gaming world?
ThenWhatHappens
ThenWhatHappens
  • Threads: 0
  • Posts: 51
Joined: Mar 13, 2017
April 11th, 2017 at 4:30:06 PM permalink
Was told this at Mirage so it will likely be Mlife wide before long. What's next, chair rental or is that included in the resort fee? "Do Plats get free chair rentals?"
(This will probably need its own thread, feel free, I never play machines.)
Don't forget, "FREE" is a four letter word.
billryan
billryan 
  • Threads: 253
  • Posts: 17203
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
April 12th, 2017 at 12:22:16 AM permalink
I was at Mandalay Bay for a show last week. There were six of us playing two slot machines and the waitress had no problem with six drinks. Everyone tipped her $2 each and she came back for round two very quickly. No meters there. Yet.

No meters in the main bar at Bellagio tonite.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
mountpleasantt
mountpleasantt
  • Threads: 15
  • Posts: 30
Joined: Aug 20, 2016
April 13th, 2017 at 9:04:14 PM permalink
are the bonus craps payouts going down on some casinos too? to 30 to 1 (small, tall) and 150 to 1 (all)?
DeMango
DeMango
  • Threads: 36
  • Posts: 2958
Joined: Feb 2, 2010
April 18th, 2017 at 11:27:08 AM permalink
Good News! The Golden Nugget in Biloxi becomes the first local casino to reduce payouts on the ATS bet! Now if they get really smart and increase minimums to $5 each segment, like The Beau down the street, we can have a faster game with less fleas.
When a rock is thrown into a pack of dogs, the one that yells the loudest is the one who got hit.
Calder
Calder
  • Threads: 5
  • Posts: 538
Joined: Mar 26, 2010
April 18th, 2017 at 12:20:48 PM permalink
ATS gets a ton of action in Milwaukee. About a year ago they it expanded to 4 of the 6 tables.

Still paying 35- and 175-1. The reset after a natural can take a while...
DeMango
DeMango
  • Threads: 36
  • Posts: 2958
Joined: Feb 2, 2010
April 18th, 2017 at 12:28:44 PM permalink
Another friend emailed that Harrah's NOLA has already lowered its pay outs also.
When a rock is thrown into a pack of dogs, the one that yells the loudest is the one who got hit.
Ace2
Ace2
  • Threads: 32
  • Posts: 2706
Joined: Oct 2, 2017
September 4th, 2018 at 11:45:58 PM permalink
I used to calculate bets like these (All Small or All Tall in this case) using combinations, now I also like using the Poisson process, which is the integral over all time of:

(1-e^(-x/36)) * (1-e^(-x/18)) * (1-e^(-x/12)) * (1-e^(-x/9)) * (1-e^(-x/7.2)) * e^(-x/6) / 6

= 20,049 / 760,760

=~ 0.026354
It’s all about making that GTA
Lovecomps
Lovecomps
  • Threads: 79
  • Posts: 427
Joined: Aug 12, 2018
Thanked by
DeMango
September 5th, 2018 at 11:40:49 AM permalink
The house edge it's about 7.5%. I've done it 3 times but have never collected a penny since I don't bet it.
The best things in life are not free.
DeMango
DeMango
  • Threads: 36
  • Posts: 2958
Joined: Feb 2, 2010
September 5th, 2018 at 10:59:36 PM permalink
Edge north of 20%.
No thank you
When a rock is thrown into a pack of dogs, the one that yells the loudest is the one who got hit.
ThatDonGuy
ThatDonGuy
  • Threads: 122
  • Posts: 6738
Joined: Jun 22, 2011
September 6th, 2018 at 4:56:32 PM permalink
Quote: Ace2

I used to calculate bets like these (All Small or All Tall in this case) using combinations, now I also like using the Poisson process


In case you need it, here's a proof that the integral from 0 to infinity of xn / ex dx = n! for all non-negative integers n.

I can't get the image to show, but here's a link to it
Ace2
Ace2
  • Threads: 32
  • Posts: 2706
Joined: Oct 2, 2017
September 6th, 2018 at 5:18:34 PM permalink
Quote: ThatDonGuy

In case you need it, here's a proof that the integral from 0 to infinity of xn / ex dx = n! for all non-negative integers n.

I can't get the image to show, but here's a link to it

That’s pretty cool. I’m just now brushing up on my calculus. I never really had practical uses for it before.
It’s all about making that GTA
unJon
unJon
  • Threads: 16
  • Posts: 4808
Joined: Jul 1, 2018
September 6th, 2018 at 5:45:24 PM permalink
Quote: ThatDonGuy

In case you need it, here's a proof that the integral from 0 to infinity of xn / ex dx = n! for all non-negative integers n.

I can't get the image to show, but here's a link to it



I’m guessing Gordon knows this one!
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
unJon
unJon
  • Threads: 16
  • Posts: 4808
Joined: Jul 1, 2018
September 6th, 2018 at 5:47:15 PM permalink
Someone please fix the dupes!
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
  • Threads: 101
  • Posts: 14268
Joined: May 21, 2013
Thanked by
unJon
September 6th, 2018 at 6:05:21 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

Someone please fix the dupes!



I've deleted a couple hundred in the last 36 hours. I sent word, but haven't heard back yet.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
unJon
unJon
  • Threads: 16
  • Posts: 4808
Joined: Jul 1, 2018
September 6th, 2018 at 6:17:19 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

I've deleted a couple hundred in the last 36 hours. I sent word, but haven't heard back yet.



Thanks, BBB!
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
unJon
unJon
  • Threads: 16
  • Posts: 4808
Joined: Jul 1, 2018
September 6th, 2018 at 6:18:23 PM permalink
I I love love double double Chex Chex!
Last edited by: unJon on Sep 7, 2018
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
  • Jump to: