mdh
mdh
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January 24th, 2015 at 11:50:51 AM permalink
Quote: dicesitter

Acesandeights


I try to see your point, but I cant. What in the world are you going to warm them about??????

The math of the game says you cant win... period, end of story.. so if you want to be a stand up
guy and warn people....tell them to stay home....you cant win.....now see if you did that I am
with you....

But warning them against what some other people do, and some do it very well.. makes no sense,
no sense at all.
Again I try to see your point but I cant....

Thursday and Friday nights were an example for me....Thursday was a tad tuff, i had a decent
roll, then 7 poor ones, then i made another adjustment... and had a 17 roll, 9 roll and a 33. This
set provides 6's & 5's often and it did then with 18 6's 13 5's over those rolls, since i understand that i bet
far more on the 6 & 5, i did well. Friday night i used a different type of throw since
i was on a different type of table, and that shot and set is a good repeater, you don't know which of
a couple of numbers it will be, but when you see it you center on it. It had a couple of short rolls,
then a 17, 9 24, and had 13 nines in those rolls, the math says about 5.5 nines.

the math of the game says Thursday i should have had 8 6's and about 6.5
5's.... did the math take a break????? and when the math does take a break are you supposed
to ignor it???

So now what are going to warn them about,,,, i am lying, this cant be done, or they cant
do it..... or in all cases the math over-rides all else and i should have just bet the 6 & 8 all
night because they have the lowest house advantage.

In the end over time, we all lose, the casino wins, the casino always wins,
none of us are ever a life time winner because we are in a
casino, it will get you some way or another. So to warn people about what others do is pure
goofy... the only option you have is to say Dicesetter lies.... 100% of things he says is
false, anything anyone says in the DI community is false... see that at least is a reflection
on you and your opinion, not n me because in the end i am the only that knows if i am being honest.

dicesetter

I believe you came back after halftime but I dont believe your halftime adjustments led to the comeback.
FleaStiff
FleaStiff
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January 24th, 2015 at 12:51:09 PM permalink
Let sleeping bears and sleeping maths lie (or is it lay). Lie, lay, buy, whatever... if the math takes a break and your ahead... don't complain. Just press your bets and hope math keeps ignoring what its supposed to be doing.
dicesitter
dicesitter
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January 24th, 2015 at 2:41:17 PM permalink
Exactly

So there is no need for any heat at all, I know what I know and you know what you know.

dicesetter
Dalex64
Dalex64
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January 24th, 2015 at 2:47:27 PM permalink
The math doesn't say what you should have had, it says what you most likely will have had, most frequenty on a lovely bell curve.
RS
RS
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January 24th, 2015 at 2:47:44 PM permalink
Variance is part of the math. You're not going to hit a 5 exactly 4/36 times in any given session/day/week. But over the long haul you will.

I'm sure you keep detailed records. I'm interested -- of all your live-casino shots, what does the actual distribution look like?
AcesAndEights
AcesAndEights
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January 24th, 2015 at 3:05:59 PM permalink
I just don't have the energy to continue this conversation.
"So drink gamble eat f***, because one day you will be dust." -ontariodealer
dicesitter
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January 24th, 2015 at 3:17:03 PM permalink
Dalex64


Your right on, but that is another way of saying, when I play tonight, the actual math
of the game means nothing.

In truth the only thing that means anything in the game of craps is that your bet
is on the number you or some else throws.....

And I agree this goofy discussion means nothing to me tonight, just as the math.

dicesetter
RS
RS
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January 24th, 2015 at 3:45:19 PM permalink
Quote: dicesitter

Dalex64


Your right on, but that is another way of saying, when I play tonight, the actual math
of the game means nothing.

In truth the only thing that means anything in the game of craps is that your bet
is on the number you or some else throws.....

And I agree this goofy discussion means nothing to me tonight, just as the math.

dicesetter



You are delusional.
rudeboyoi
rudeboyoi
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January 24th, 2015 at 5:21:50 PM permalink
Math is just theoretical mumbo jumbo. It holds no place in the real world. You got to have faith. Let the Lord guide your toss.
Dalex64
Dalex64
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January 24th, 2015 at 7:33:11 PM permalink
The acutal math of the games are: some people will win money, some people will lose money, and more money will be lost than won. The casinos could not otherwise stay in business. Look at those big multi-state lotteries. Terrible odds, yet people are winning millions all the time. But as we all know, they take in more money than they pay out. Same thing happens at a craps table - people are winning all the time. It wouldn't be much fun if you didn't, or if you paid a flat rate of 1.31% of your "bet" every time you rolled the dice.
thecesspit
thecesspit
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January 24th, 2015 at 10:58:06 PM permalink
Quote: dicesitter

Dalex64


Your right on, but that is another way of saying, when I play tonight, the actual math
of the game means nothing.

In truth the only thing that means anything in the game of craps is that your bet
is on the number you or some else throws.....

And I agree this goofy discussion means nothing to me tonight, just as the math.

dicesetter



Nonsense wrapped up in ignorance of math, the Dunning-Krieger effect in full.
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
AxelWolf
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January 24th, 2015 at 11:33:47 PM permalink
Quote: DeMango

I confirmed this with the boxman that there was a certain crapster 86'd at TB in Biloxi. Played the don'ts he won $80K in a year or two. Scoblete claims he and Dominatrix is excluded from all MS casinos. A famous don't player was 86'd from a Harrah's property in IL, never touched the dice, bet the DP. SuperRick here claims to have been harassed at many LV casinos. It does happen.

The 86ing is Meaningless... they have 86ed people for constantly winning at slots to. Sometimes the people making these decisions are crackpots themselves. Sometimes they have a better safe than sorry attitude.

"Scoblete claims he and Dominatrix is excluded from all MS casinos"
Again meaningless, they may have thought he was cheating/short rolling/ comp hustling/ rat holeing or something.

is it possible he was holding unlicensed gambling classes with gambling equipment and that they thought it was a possibly a potential gaming violation?

Perhaps they didn't like the fact he may have been charging people money for a bunk system and didn't want that element in the casinos.

Personally I think it should be illegal to sell or profit from other people with any unproven gambling system, Including books, videos, seminars, classes etc.

I look at it like a pyramid scheme.

As for DI, take away all the money from the books, classes etc. Total profit of the top 20 DI's = less than ZERO (excluding comps and offers)
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
GWAE
GWAE
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January 25th, 2015 at 4:36:06 AM permalink
I don't understand why anyone argues with DI folks. Has any argument on here ever led to either side winning? The majority of those threads end up with suspensions and angry people.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
RS
RS
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January 25th, 2015 at 11:07:20 AM permalink
They say it works and can be proven. Yet they can't prove it. It is sad in a way. But funny too. Very funny.
ontariodealer
ontariodealer
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January 29th, 2015 at 12:04:11 AM permalink
Quote: Zcore13

HAHAHAHAHA that's funny. It would be a pretty good bet that I get paid more than you've ever been paid in your life... and this is the 3rd highest paying job I've had in my life.

You dice control people are hilarious. Always throwing up the smoke and mirrors when you can't prove anything you say.



ZCore13



right on, brother
get second you pig
AxelWolf
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January 29th, 2015 at 12:31:28 AM permalink
Quote: GWAE

I don't understand why anyone argues with DI folks. Has any argument on here ever led to either side winning? The majority of those threads end up with suspensions and angry people.

Because innocent people get hurt.

I have a non AP friend who believes, all because a stupid class he paid for(I didn't know until it was to late), it he jumps in and out, he won't give up because of the initial investment. What an unfortunate situation. DI scammers should be ashamed. Hopefully interested people will read all the arguments and realize DI is a foolish endeavor.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
ontariodealer
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January 29th, 2015 at 6:26:16 PM permalink
in the previous posts where got I a little upset it wasn't about D.I. at all...I would never make that argument because you cannot win it with them and it goes on and on. It's the attitude of those guys, there attacking your character that gets to me. I was talking to one of my players last month and he was pretty pissed that he paid for a class in L.V. and one of the things that was taught was "see a horn, bet a horn"
get second you pig
RS
RS
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January 29th, 2015 at 6:30:37 PM permalink
Quote: ontariodealer

in the previous posts where got I a little upset it wasn't about D.I. at all...I would never make that argument because you cannot win it with them and it goes on and on. It's the attitude of those guys, there attacking your character that gets to me. I was talking to one of my players last month and he was pretty pissed that he paid for a class in L.V. and one of the things that was taught was "see a horn, bet a horn"



Mustangsally believes the same thing about the horn. " the most likely time for a horn number to be rolled is the next roll"
pokerface
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January 29th, 2015 at 8:06:59 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf


I have a non AP friend who believes, all because a stupid class he paid for(I didn't know until it was to late), it he jumps in and out, he won't give up because of the initial investment.


Are you talking about me? Every word is true except the word "stupid".Well, it was kinda stupid, but I think the class was really interesting and worth every dollar I paid for.
winning streaks come and go, losing streak never ends.
NokTang
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January 31st, 2015 at 6:36:10 PM permalink
Quote: RS

Mustangsally believes the same thing about the horn. " the most likely time for a horn number to be rolled is the next roll"



The joke being it is equal to all time(rolls) in the future.......
FleaStiff
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January 31st, 2015 at 8:38:55 PM permalink
Quote: RS

Mustangsally believes the same thing about the horn. " the most likely time for a horn number to be rolled is the next roll"



Just to remind everyone that a Horn Bet is a way to make four bad bets simultaneously, so I think all gamblers focus on that 'next roll' as being somehow special because of what just happened. If only the dice had a memory of what just happened and adjusted their decision making accordingly.... you know .. sort of even things out in our perfectly ordered universe of mathematically pure behavior in all things at all times.
AxelWolf
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February 1st, 2015 at 12:12:51 AM permalink
Quote: RS

Mustangsally believes the same thing about the horn. " the most likely time for a horn number to be rolled is the next roll"

A stupid question but ill ask anyway... Why is it called a horn bet?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
ontariodealer
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February 1st, 2015 at 12:30:43 AM permalink
I'm gonna guess like in baseball when you throw the ball around the horn.......in craps the 2,3,11,12 would be around the horn for all of them.
get second you pig
RS
RS
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February 1st, 2015 at 1:24:37 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

A stupid question but ill ask anyway... Why is it called a horn bet?




In craps, you can make a one roll bet, where you pick how you think the dice are going to land and they must land how you say. For example, you can bet next roll will be 6-6, or bet the dice will land 6-3 or dice will land 5-4 or any other way. A horn is simply 1-1, 1-2, 5-6, and 6-6 all in one bet. If the dice land on 2,3,11,12 it wins. Anything else loses.

Sally's (misleading) point was that it is more likely a horn will land the very next roll than it is to land in a future roll with a horn number being rolled before that.


Ohhhh, AF said WHY not WHAT is it a horn.


I got no idea.
Concinnity
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February 3rd, 2015 at 4:09:36 PM permalink
Quote: FleaStiff

Just to remind everyone that a Horn Bet is a way to make four bad bets simultaneously, so I think all gamblers focus on that 'next roll' as being somehow special because of what just happened. If only the dice had a memory of what just happened and adjusted their decision making accordingly.... you know .. sort of even things out in our perfectly ordered universe of mathematically pure behavior in all things at all times.



Well, you know, many of us on this list could certainly design computerized systems that would behave the way you say. Pretty simple, actually. As an aside, I suppose we could consider things like single-deck blackjack and card-counting a variation of that (the system certainly has memory) -- and the casinos took countermeasures of course.

I must note, however, that we *do* live in "our perfectly ordered universe of mathematically pure behavior in all things at all times" (and really: you ought to copyright that phrase: you truly have a way with words, sir! I felt very very tempted to quote something from Blazing Saddles about a $20 hooker's tongue, but I have no idea if this forum has rules about family values or something).

Anyway, some of us just don't realize it, or worse, think that they can expect fairness from the universe. That always seemed childish to me. Mathematics makes for a pretty harsh mistress.

Truly, sir, you do have a way with words though.
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