longtimelancer
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May 5th, 2014 at 9:20:46 PM permalink
I found this quote from goatcabin:

"It's this ability to pile up variance without increasing expected loss that makes craps so attractive to many gamblers."

Placing full odds on every bet reduces the edge of craps to blackjack levels (0.37) while at the same time the standard deviation is much higher (5 times?).

Also, the skew is close to zero so the standard deviation works for you unlike slots or video poker.

Is there any game that comes close to this in the casino in terms of having both a low edge and a high SD?

Am I missing something?
TerribleTom
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May 5th, 2014 at 9:56:48 PM permalink
It's my favorite, so there's that.
Ahigh
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May 5th, 2014 at 10:09:38 PM permalink
Quote: Jesus

This is what was meant by His "seamless" garment. Jesus' tunic was of this new kind, and the soldiers decided that the garment was too valuable to throw away; so in fulfillment of Psalm 22:18 they threw dice for Jesus' meager belongings.



I bought in initially for $666 dollars a couple of weeks ago and it ended up being a serious bloodbath. I would share the amount I lost, except that too many people would derive pleasure from knowing the details.

Let's just say Jesus was laughing.
aahigh.com
sodawater
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May 5th, 2014 at 10:21:23 PM permalink
Quote: longtimelancer

I found this quote from goatcabin:

"It's this ability to pile up variance without increasing expected loss that makes craps so attractive to many gamblers."

Placing full odds on every bet reduces the edge of craps to blackjack levels (0.37) while at the same time the standard deviation is much higher (5 times?).

Also, the skew is close to zero so the standard deviation works for you unlike slots or video poker.

Is there any game that comes close to this in the casino in terms of having both a low edge and a high SD?

Am I missing something?



It's hard to beat craps with full odds for low house edge and high variance. Certain games of blackjack would technically be better, if you can learn the basic strategy and a simple count.
andyg99
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May 16th, 2014 at 3:18:22 PM permalink
Never played the game until 2 years ago... yes, it's the best game in the casino....
FleaStiff
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May 16th, 2014 at 3:23:53 PM permalink
Quote: andyg99

Never played the game until 2 years ago... yes, it's the best game in the casino....


I like it. Would sometimes prefer a chair. Would sometimes like to kill a few of the other players. Overall though it does offer great fun, good profit potential, compares very favorably with other casino offerings other than those that require an ability to count cards and conceal one's skills. A large bankroll helps, some good luck helps even more and frankly sometimes nothing helps me, but I still like the game.
Wizard
Administrator
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May 16th, 2014 at 3:30:07 PM permalink
I think that is the most frequent question I get. Heard it hundreds of times. While it really depends on the rules at the particular casino in blackjack, craps, and video poker, if you put a gun to my head and forced to me say one game, it would be craps.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Ahigh
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May 16th, 2014 at 3:56:08 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I think that is the most frequent question I get. Heard it hundreds of times. While it really depends on the rules at the particular casino in blackjack, craps, and video poker, if you put a gun to my head and forced to me say one game, it would be craps.



HOLY GUACAMOLE!

aahigh.com
MathExtremist
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May 16th, 2014 at 4:21:27 PM permalink
Yes it is.

Now then: where can one find guacamole like that in Las Vegas?
"In my own case, when it seemed to me after a long illness that death was close at hand, I found no little solace in playing constantly at dice." -- Girolamo Cardano, 1563
longtimelancer
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May 17th, 2014 at 5:21:01 AM permalink
Considering how much money I have won off of craps ($2,900 since January 2007), I would agree.
SkittleCar1
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May 17th, 2014 at 5:51:50 AM permalink
I think its the fairest game. You can bet with the dice, or against the dice. It also has the only bets in the casino with zero house advantage. So, I would say yes it is.
GWAE
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May 17th, 2014 at 5:52:59 AM permalink
Quote: Ahigh

HOLY GUACAMOLE!



I don't understand how people can eat that crap. That and Hummus.

As for craps, now that I understand the game I really like it. If I go to a casino with $200 and only have 2 hours to play I really struggle on which game to play. Since I am PA and can play a 6 deck shoe I should probably stick to BJ but craps is much more fun.
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odiousgambit
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May 17th, 2014 at 6:32:17 AM permalink
Quote: GWAE

Since I am PA and can play a 6 deck shoe I should probably stick to BJ



PA has good BJ rules but the variance in BJ is too low. In my book that makes PA BJ playable "once in a while" ... meanwhile the 10x with $5 min on the craps we played at the Meadows shines much brighter
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
AxiomOfChoice
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May 17th, 2014 at 11:05:37 AM permalink
Quote: SkittleCar1

It also has the only bets in the casino with zero house advantage.



That's not true at all. The play bet in UTH often has a massive player expectation. In Mississippi Stud, you can often make bets that are guaranteed to win, and pay back many times your bet.

Of course you must make negative expectation bets first, in order to make these "good" bets, but that's no different from craps.
TerribleTom
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May 17th, 2014 at 11:13:34 AM permalink
Quote: GWAE

I don't understand how people can eat that crap. That and Hummus.



I know it's off topic, but really? Delicious food is delicious!
AxelWolf
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May 17th, 2014 at 11:26:18 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I think that is the most frequent question I get. Heard it hundreds of times. While it really depends on the rules at the particular casino in blackjack, craps, and video poker, if you put a gun to my head and forced to me say one game, it would be craps.

Wow that's going to get twisted.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
beachbumbabs
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May 18th, 2014 at 4:44:53 AM permalink
See, and I thought you'd expressed a clear preference for PaiGow Tiles, Wiz. Though you didn't list that as a choice, so maybe that hasn't changed.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
SanchoPanza
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May 18th, 2014 at 11:24:48 AM permalink
Quote: GWAE

Quote: Ahigh

HOLY GUACAMOLE!

I don't understand how people can eat that crap.

Got something against avocados?
One of the most nutritious and best tasting foods available.
Dicenor33
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May 18th, 2014 at 12:43:12 PM permalink
It used to be OK. BJ was good too. Casinos make it too difficult now days.
Beardgoat
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May 18th, 2014 at 1:01:57 PM permalink
Craps is my favorite game. But I don't have a big enough bankroll to play the way I want to. I buy in for $300 and like to play passline with 2 come bets. Sometimes I am wiped out in like 10 minutes.
Buzzard
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May 18th, 2014 at 1:07:25 PM permalink
What a boring,boring, boring game. Roll the dice, add the two numbers. F***ing boredom personified.
Shed not for her the bitter tear Nor give the heart to vain regret Tis but the casket that lies here, The gem that filled it Sparkles yet
Ibeatyouraces
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May 18th, 2014 at 1:16:30 PM permalink
deleted
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
Buzzard
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May 18th, 2014 at 1:23:00 PM permalink
Can't wait for somebody to vulture the craps table. You know , cause the shooters are hot !

Just remember to quit, when you are ahead the max. That's the key.
Shed not for her the bitter tear Nor give the heart to vain regret Tis but the casket that lies here, The gem that filled it Sparkles yet
Ibeatyouraces
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May 18th, 2014 at 1:29:47 PM permalink
deleted
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
MrV
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May 18th, 2014 at 1:36:44 PM permalink
Quote: Beardgoat

Craps is my favorite game. But I don't have a big enough bankroll to play the way I want to. I buy in for $300 and like to play passline with 2 come bets. Sometimes I am wiped out in like 10 minutes.



The answer is simple. Either play differently, or less frequently (and only when you have saved sufficient bankroll).

"What, me worry?"
Buzzard
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May 18th, 2014 at 1:37:43 PM permalink
I just love it when a chump gets ahead $17,500 , then goes to -1,200 and says I shoulda quit at 17.5 LOL
Shed not for her the bitter tear Nor give the heart to vain regret Tis but the casket that lies here, The gem that filled it Sparkles yet
Buzzard
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May 18th, 2014 at 1:39:42 PM permalink
Quote: Beardgoat

Craps is my favorite game. But I don't have a big enough bankroll to play the way I want to. I buy in for $300 and like to play passline with 2 come bets. Sometimes I am wiped out in like 10 minutes.



The buy in is good, you need to double the amount you are betting.
Shed not for her the bitter tear Nor give the heart to vain regret Tis but the casket that lies here, The gem that filled it Sparkles yet
Paigowdan
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May 18th, 2014 at 1:46:49 PM permalink
Quote: MrV

The answer is simple. Either play differently, or less frequently (and only when you have saved sufficient bankroll).



I like this picture, a LOT of high rolling come bet action. 10 Easy, down behind the ten, pay those come bets!
Beware of all enterprises that require new clothes - Henry David Thoreau. Like Dealers' uniforms - Dan.
richbailey86
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May 18th, 2014 at 1:49:05 PM permalink
is video poker that good? ive never played it
An idea whose time has come cannot be stopped by any army or any government. – Ron Paul
djatc
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May 18th, 2014 at 1:49:32 PM permalink
Quote: richbailey86

is video poker that good? ive never played it



No money in video poker, everyone's solid.
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
FleaStiff
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May 18th, 2014 at 2:18:22 PM permalink
What casino is that???

Green usually indicates 25.00 chips but those green edged beige chips are a grand apiece. I assume teh reds are fives but that might be well below that table's minimums, particularly if the purple banded Buy bet represents Barnies. Four grand behind the line and one of the bets is without odds.
Ibeatyouraces
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May 18th, 2014 at 2:19:52 PM permalink
deleted
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
FleaStiff
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May 18th, 2014 at 2:32:04 PM permalink
Quote: Ibeatyouraces

I don't think it's a real casino.

Fleastiff will apply to have his nick changed to Gullible.
FleaStiff
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May 18th, 2014 at 2:42:04 PM permalink
Quote: Buzzard

What a boring,boring, boring game. Roll the dice, add the two numbers. F***ing boredom personified.


As opposed to Choose Player or Choose Banker?
As opposed to Choose Red or Choose Black?
As opposed to Push Red Button or Caress Red Button Some More First?
As opposed to Perform Basic Arithmetic While Staring at Dealer's Cleavage?
As opposed to Sit At Table Until Discovering You Are The Biggest Fish?
djatc
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May 18th, 2014 at 2:48:53 PM permalink
Sometimes the dice roll off the table! Or roll onto the chip rack! Or into the pocket of space in between a woman gambler's bosom! Or sometimes the DC high roller will swat the dice to cause a 7 to come out! It's pretty damn exciting.
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
Buzzard
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May 18th, 2014 at 3:23:35 PM permalink
" As opposed to Perform Basic Arithmetic While Staring at Dealer's Cleavage? "

YES !
Shed not for her the bitter tear Nor give the heart to vain regret Tis but the casket that lies here, The gem that filled it Sparkles yet
Buzzard
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May 18th, 2014 at 3:24:45 PM permalink
" As opposed to Sit At Table Until Discovering You Are The Biggest Fish? "

All fish at the craps table, no player has an edge. DUH
Shed not for her the bitter tear Nor give the heart to vain regret Tis but the casket that lies here, The gem that filled it Sparkles yet
FleaStiff
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May 18th, 2014 at 3:45:26 PM permalink
"sit" and "fish" .... I meant it to relate to poker.
Doc
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May 18th, 2014 at 6:13:03 PM permalink
Quote: FleaStiff

What casino is that???


The chips appear to say "Caesars Palace" and "Las Vegas, NEV", but the colors don't look right. The $100 chips don't appear to be the usual black, so I suspect it is a promo shot not using their regular chips.
FleaStiff
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May 18th, 2014 at 7:06:37 PM permalink
Yes, I think it was a set up shot now that I looked more closely and realize the dice are at 10 and landed conveniently close to each other and conveniently placed in the camera's view.
AcesAndEights
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May 18th, 2014 at 7:32:48 PM permalink
Quote: Buzzard

What a boring,boring, boring game. Roll the dice, add the two numbers. F***ing boredom personified.


Come on man. I don't agree with PaiGowDan all that often, but one thing I agree with him about is that craps has juice. No game has juice like craps.
"So drink gamble eat f***, because one day you will be dust." -ontariodealer
AcesAndEights
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May 18th, 2014 at 7:36:08 PM permalink
Quote: FleaStiff

As opposed to Choose Player or Choose Banker?
As opposed to Choose Red or Choose Black?
As opposed to Push Red Button or Caress Red Button Some More First?
As opposed to Perform Basic Arithmetic While Staring at Dealer's Cleavage?
As opposed to Sit At Table Until Discovering You Are The Biggest Fish?


lol this is great.
"So drink gamble eat f***, because one day you will be dust." -ontariodealer
AxiomOfChoice
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May 18th, 2014 at 7:40:00 PM permalink
Quote: FleaStiff

As opposed to Perform Basic Arithmetic While Staring at Dealer's Cleavage?



I'm ok with that one.
Buzzard
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May 18th, 2014 at 9:54:43 PM permalink
If craps has juice, how come not 1 out of a 100 patrons play it. I have seen the BIG wheel show more juice !
Shed not for her the bitter tear Nor give the heart to vain regret Tis but the casket that lies here, The gem that filled it Sparkles yet
FleaStiff
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May 18th, 2014 at 11:11:23 PM permalink
And I saw a woman from Peoria go up and put five dollars down, her bet won and she went to the cashier with both her chips, having now gambled in Vegas.

Big difference between ignorant drunken ploppies and us would-be advantage players.
Paradroid
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May 19th, 2014 at 1:47:23 AM permalink
Quote: FleaStiff

What casino is that???

Green usually indicates 25.00 chips but those green edged beige chips are a grand apiece. I assume teh reds are fives but that might be well below that table's minimums, particularly if the purple banded Buy bet represents Barnies. Four grand behind the line and one of the bets is without odds.


Those look like the "no cash value" chips that Caesars Palace uses for poker tournaments.
odiousgambit
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May 19th, 2014 at 3:11:33 AM permalink
Quote: longtimelancer

the skew is close to zero



Skew is one of those terms used in evaluating games that has always mystified me.

I get a glimmer at wikidpedia, see link, but it's over my head for the most part. "Skew for Dummies" has not been written. Can anyone simplify this for us dummies?


oops, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Skewness
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
FleaStiff
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May 19th, 2014 at 3:26:49 AM permalink
Quote: odiousgambit

Skew is one of those terms used in evaluating games that has always mystified me.



Think of that fair coin that is being tossed over and over again... you know the "count" will always be near 50 percent but practically everytime you look at it the results will NOT be exactly 50 percent each for heads and tails.

If there is a pronounced skewness then we begin to view the coin as biased since skew is significant and persistent rather than a transient small deviation from the expected fifty percent mark.
odiousgambit
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May 19th, 2014 at 3:30:45 AM permalink
Quote: FleaStiff

Think of that fair coin that is being tossed over and over again... you know the "count" will always be near 50 percent but practically everytime you look at it the results will NOT be exactly 50 percent each for heads and tails.

If there is a pronounced skewness then we begin to view the coin as biased since skew is significant and persistent rather than a transient small deviation from the expected fifty percent mark.



OK, that is almost a common sense use of the word skew, but in the usage that the OP is referring to, used in statistics, well, it doesnt seem to be the same thing. Games are compared where no bias is suspected at all, yet have different skew.
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
FleaStiff
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May 19th, 2014 at 4:58:47 AM permalink
In that sense I think they are talking about average result ... where the midline is the Breakeven point and skew refers to likelyhood and extreme losses or extreme profits.
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