Lets assume a few things.

$5.00 min table

you only bet when you are shooting

You play $5.00 pass line and nothing else

You play for 8 hours a day

The places are calculated based on how many throws you have on 1 turn. Every throw counts as one until you 7 out.

Every day, the top five Hot Shooters win prizes and a delicious meal on us!

First Place: $100 match play and two free buffets

Second Place: $50 match play and two free buffets

Third Place: $25 match play and one free buffet

Fourth Place: $10 match play and one free buffet

Fifth Place: $10 match play and one free buffet

Plus, we also have a new Hot Shooters Progressive Bounty!

The bounty starts at $500 and adds $100 each day until it hits. Sixty or more rolls wins the bounty! Each time it is hit, the bounty resets to $500. Current bounty is $1500.

I am not sure we can even estimate how many players there are. There would be 4 tables running from about 11am till midnight. I would also say the average players per table at one time is 8. There is no math behind this number, it is just me gestimating based on what I saw throughout the last 2 days.

Quote:AussieSeems like it would require a lot of time for a small reward. What would your expected hourly rate be? Very little id think.

I would assume it would be. I was just curious. There were at least 3 people there today doing this.

My maths suck but I am working to figure this out. So far I am figuring out how many turns you would get in a day.

8 people at a table for 8 hours.

129 rolls per hour (taken from the Wizards, ask a question)

Average rolls per shooter 8.525510

In 8 hours there would be 1032 rolls. 121.05 (round to 122/8 people= 15.25 per person)

In 13 hours (11am-12am) there would be 197 total shooters per table

Quote:GWAEI have no idea how to calculate this promotion in EV. I am not even sure it is possible. If any of you care to calculate it I would appreciate it. Maybe I should be asking what the odds of winning this promo are?

Lets assume a few things.

$5.00 min table

you only bet when you are shooting

You play $5.00 pass line and nothing else

You play for 8 hours a day

The places are calculated based on how many throws you have on 1 turn. Every throw counts as one until you 7 out.

Every day, the top five Hot Shooters win prizes and a delicious meal on us!

First Place: $100 match play and two free buffets

Second Place: $50 match play and two free buffets

Third Place: $25 match play and one free buffet

Fourth Place: $10 match play and one free buffet

Fifth Place: $10 match play and one free buffet

Plus, we also have a new Hot Shooters Progressive Bounty!

The bounty starts at $500 and adds $100 each day until it hits. Sixty or more rolls wins the bounty! Each time it is hit, the bounty resets to $500. Current bounty is $1500.

We should calculate the expected value of one attempt.

First the day prizes

you have a 1 in N chance of beating N competing entries.

If i use say N=5,000 first place prize per attempt is on average is worth $0.01.. the sum of prizes 1st through 5th is about $0.02.

So now let's do the bounty. This will only depend on the current bounty. It's $1500 now and per attempt you have a 0.01961% chance of exceeding 59.

So this is worth $1,500*.00019=$0.29 per attempt.

So the total EV per attempt is about $0.31 minus the cost of an attempt.. which is...the average number of $5 bets you place in an attempt *-0.07.. i'm going to say 2.5..

that leaves us with about +14 cents per attempt

assuming you can roll fast on a solo table.. it might be on average $20/hour up until the bonus hits... of course you'd be risking that my math is correct. =D

It seems the reward for 1st through 5th place are almost negligible compared to the $1,500 bounty.. so the results don't really depend too much on the number of players.. just that the bounty is high enough.