Brand new dice (Dark side shooters dream)
Through my observations and experiences in having the opportunity to shoot with brand new dice (Nice sharp corners),
i've noticed quite a bit of change in numbers rolled more 7's than others.
sounds like a good deal for "dark side players"
Quote: sodawaterI'm sure you've kept rigorous data over a sufficient number of trials and this is most certainly not confirmation bias.
This is definitely true. That's why I bet the dark side and win trillions of dollars every week playing craps.
Quote: sodawaterI'm sure you've kept rigorous data over a sufficient number of trials and this is most certainly not confirmation bias.
Not really, just over the last few weeks, I've just noticed, tis' all.
Quote: CrapsGeniousMaybe it's just me or maybe their are others that can also confirm.
Through my observations and experiences in having the opportunity to shoot with brand new dice (Nice sharp corners),
i've noticed quite a bit of change in numbers rolled more 7's than others.
sounds like a good deal for "dark side players"
As a grave shift dealer, I notice the dice seem to suck more often after they're brand new. I don't know if it's enough to turn the Don't Pass into +EV since, instead of counting the results, I'm, y'know, dealing the game, but I notice it as a bit of a trend. I'd think that people would catch on and bet heavy on the Don't Pass if this were true, but then again, this is Columbus, Ohio, a place not exactly known for its gambling acumen or its acumen in much of anything besides worshipping Ohio State football.
Quote: hwccdealerAs a grave shift dealer, I notice the dice seem to suck more often after they're brand new. I don't know if it's enough to turn the Don't Pass into +EV since, instead of counting the results, I'm, y'know, dealing the game, but I notice it as a bit of a trend. I'd think that people would catch on and bet heavy on the Don't Pass if this were true, but then again, this is Columbus, Ohio, a place not exactly known for its gambling acumen or its acumen in much of anything besides worshipping Ohio State football.
Thank you for also agreeing with me. At 7:am they change the dice at the local casino and that's when I set them 6/2 top, 2/4 facing and just roll for a 7 out after point is made. Been doing well with it just the last weekend.
Any others want to confirm?
Quote: hwccdealerAs a grave shift dealer, I notice the dice seem to suck more often after they're brand new. .
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias
Quote: sodawaterhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias
I noticed this independently of the thread and honestly thought it was a coincidence. I haven't done anything close to the math to determine if it's true; it's just more a case of "Hey, that's weird."
And frankly, I've noticed the last couple of times I've dealt craps, the dice have been a little better after the change is made. I'm sure that, even if there is a difference, it's very slight.
