drjohnny
drjohnny
Joined: Sep 2, 2012
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March 15th, 2019 at 9:10:34 AM permalink
Can anybody run a sim of betting the reverse Martingale only when the TC is +2 or better? Start at $25, double it after each win until you hit $500, and return to $25 after a loss. I'm thinking this aggressive system would be good camouflage... 😂
DogHand
DogHand
Joined: Sep 24, 2011
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March 15th, 2019 at 2:27:14 PM permalink
Quote: drjohnny

Can anybody run a sim of betting the reverse Martingale only when the TC is +2 or better? Start at $25, double it after each win until you hit $500, and return to $25 after a loss. I'm thinking this aggressive system would be good camouflage... 😂



drjohnny,

What house rules? What to bet when TC is below +2? What to bet after winning a $400 wager?

Dog Hand
TomG
TomG
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March 15th, 2019 at 4:01:46 PM permalink
A spread of 20-1 is never good cover when counting. But it is certainly a good way to bet. Even better is to to keep doubling the bet no matter if it was a win or loss, then walk away after reaching a max bet. Can get a 40-1 spread like that with some extra aggressiveness.
drjohnny
drjohnny
Joined: Sep 2, 2012
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March 16th, 2019 at 4:40:46 AM permalink
6 deck, S17, DAS, RSA 1.5 Pen

Bet $25 when TC is below +2. Max bet of $500 if $400 wager is won. Return to $25 after a loss.
BlackjackGuy123
BlackjackGuy123
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March 16th, 2019 at 5:10:31 AM permalink
I prefer to bet scientifically, maximizing bankroll growth.
DogHand
DogHand
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Thanks for this post from:
OnceDear
March 16th, 2019 at 11:52:24 AM permalink
Quote: drjohnny

6 deck, S17, DAS, RSA 1.5 Pen

Bet $25 when TC is below +2. Max bet of $500 if $400 wager is won. Return to $25 after a loss.



drjohnny,

I get an IBA of 0.221%, with a Win Rate of $7.19/100 rounds and a SCORE of 1.32.

Here are the stats as a function of units bet:

UnitsBetPercentHandsHandsHandsHandsUnitsUnitsAdvantageAdvantage
Bet
$
Rounds
Total
Won
Lost
Tied
Bet
Won/Lost
Percent
Std. Err.
1
25
91.52%
377,077,440
164,420,240
-180,568,240
32,088,956
417,259,500
-1,652,219
-0.40%
0.006
2
50
4.76%
19,616,488
8,677,917
-9,112,728
1,825,843
44,108,230
624,486
1.42%
0.025
4
100
2.02%
8,338,054
3,693,616
-3,853,444
790,994
37,627,800
584,946
1.56%
0.04
8
200
0.91%
3,738,433
1,655,886
-1,723,446
359,101
33,822,660
525,116
1.55%
0.06
16
400
0.42%
1,718,688
761,835
-791,056
165,797
31,146,430
496,480
1.59%
0.09
20
500
0.37%
1,507,637
668,077
-691,877
147,683
34,218,020
571,240
1.67%
0.09
100.00%
411,996,740
179,877,571
-196,740,791
35,378,374
598,182,640
1,150,049


Hope this helps!

Dog Hand

P.S. Thanks again to miplet for his table-maker!
drjohnny
drjohnny
Joined: Sep 2, 2012
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March 16th, 2019 at 1:10:50 PM permalink
Dog Hand, thanks for the comprehensive stats. How does this compare to the MIT team's betting of 2 hands x (TC-1)?
DogHand
DogHand
Joined: Sep 24, 2011
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March 17th, 2019 at 3:48:04 PM permalink
drjohnny,

I don't understand the betting scheme... how much did MIT bet per TC? What was their maximum bet?

Dog Hand
drjohnny
drjohnny
Joined: Sep 2, 2012
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March 18th, 2019 at 4:40:32 AM permalink
Quote: DogHand

drjohnny,

I don't understand the betting scheme... how much did MIT bet per TC? What was their maximum bet?

Dog Hand



OK, I dug up my "Beating Blackjack with Andy Bloch" DVD.

Step 1: Determine the TC.

Step 2: Subtract 1 from the TC.

Step 3: Multiply by your unit bet (a unit bet should be no more than 1/1000 of your total bankroll).

Step 4: Bet this amount on each of 2 hands.

If the TC is 1 or less, bet no more than 1/2 of your unit bet on 1 hand.

If the TC is -1 or less, sit out or leave the table.
billryan
billryan 
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
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March 18th, 2019 at 6:58:36 AM permalink
Quote: drjohnny

OK, I dug up my "Beating Blackjack with Andy Bloch" DVD.

Step 1: Determine the TC.

Step 2: Subtract 1 from the TC.

Step 3: Multiply by your unit bet (a unit bet should be no more than 1/1000 of your total bankroll).

Step 4: Bet this amount on each of 2 hands.

If the TC is 1 or less, bet no more than 1/2 of your unit bet on 1 hand.

If the TC is -1 or less, sit out or leave the table.



This only works with female dealers. Non-Asian females, to be specific.

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