Reverse Martingale at TC +2
Quote: drjohnnyCan anybody run a sim of betting the reverse Martingale only when the TC is +2 or better? Start at $25, double it after each win until you hit $500, and return to $25 after a loss. I'm thinking this aggressive system would be good camouflage... 😂
drjohnny,
What house rules? What to bet when TC is below +2? What to bet after winning a $400 wager?
Dog Hand
Bet $25 when TC is below +2. Max bet of $500 if $400 wager is won. Return to $25 after a loss.
Quote: drjohnny6 deck, S17, DAS, RSA 1.5 Pen
Bet $25 when TC is below +2. Max bet of $500 if $400 wager is won. Return to $25 after a loss.
drjohnny,
I get an IBA of 0.221%, with a Win Rate of $7.19/100 rounds and a SCORE of 1.32.
Here are the stats as a function of units bet:
| Units | Bet | Percent | Hands | Hands | Hands | Hands | Units | Units | Advantage | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bet | $ | Rounds | Total | Won | Lost | Tied | Bet | Won/Lost | Percent | Std. Err. |
1 | 25 | 91.52% | 377,077,440 | 164,420,240 | -180,568,240 | 32,088,956 | 417,259,500 | -1,652,219 | -0.40% | 0.006 |
2 | 50 | 4.76% | 19,616,488 | 8,677,917 | -9,112,728 | 1,825,843 | 44,108,230 | 624,486 | 1.42% | 0.025 |
4 | 100 | 2.02% | 8,338,054 | 3,693,616 | -3,853,444 | 790,994 | 37,627,800 | 584,946 | 1.56% | 0.04 |
8 | 200 | 0.91% | 3,738,433 | 1,655,886 | -1,723,446 | 359,101 | 33,822,660 | 525,116 | 1.55% | 0.06 |
16 | 400 | 0.42% | 1,718,688 | 761,835 | -791,056 | 165,797 | 31,146,430 | 496,480 | 1.59% | 0.09 |
20 | 500 | 0.37% | 1,507,637 | 668,077 | -691,877 | 147,683 | 34,218,020 | 571,240 | 1.67% | 0.09 |
100.00% | 411,996,740 | 179,877,571 | -196,740,791 | 35,378,374 | 598,182,640 | 1,150,049 | ||||
Hope this helps!
Dog Hand
P.S. Thanks again to miplet for his table-maker!
I don't understand the betting scheme... how much did MIT bet per TC? What was their maximum bet?
Dog Hand
Quote: DogHanddrjohnny,
I don't understand the betting scheme... how much did MIT bet per TC? What was their maximum bet?
Dog Hand
OK, I dug up my "Beating Blackjack with Andy Bloch" DVD.
Step 1: Determine the TC.
Step 2: Subtract 1 from the TC.
Step 3: Multiply by your unit bet (a unit bet should be no more than 1/1000 of your total bankroll).
Step 4: Bet this amount on each of 2 hands.
If the TC is 1 or less, bet no more than 1/2 of your unit bet on 1 hand.
If the TC is -1 or less, sit out or leave the table.
Quote: drjohnnyOK, I dug up my "Beating Blackjack with Andy Bloch" DVD.
Step 1: Determine the TC.
Step 2: Subtract 1 from the TC.
Step 3: Multiply by your unit bet (a unit bet should be no more than 1/1000 of your total bankroll).
Step 4: Bet this amount on each of 2 hands.
If the TC is 1 or less, bet no more than 1/2 of your unit bet on 1 hand.
If the TC is -1 or less, sit out or leave the table.
This only works with female dealers. Non-Asian females, to be specific.
slight conflict there.... If TC is 1 step 3 leads to wager of 0 X 2, but next you play on at 1/2 unit bet.Quote: drjohnnyOK, I dug up my "Beating Blackjack with Andy Bloch" DVD.
Step 1: Determine the TC.
Step 2: Subtract 1 from the TC.
Step 3: Multiply by your unit bet (a unit bet should be no more than 1/1000 of your total bankroll).
Step 4: Bet this amount on each of 2 hands.
If the TC is 1 or less, bet no more than 1/2 of your unit bet on 1 hand.
If the TC is -1 or less, sit out or leave the table.
I reckon that with 1/1000 br rate, your br would grow painfully slowly , though it would be fairly smooth... Well not that smooth.
😀
Assuming DogHand's calculations are correct (they usually are!) then I think you can probably be done asking questions lol... $7.19/100 hands assumes a pretty decent game speed where you can wong in at TC +2 every time and wong out below with no heat... and if you get the 100 hands per hour, you're going to make less than minimum wage... $7.19/hour. Oh, that also assumes you're counting and playing PERFECTLY, which if you could do that you'd get a much, much, better hourly with counting + spread.Quote: DogHanddrjohnny,
I get an IBA of 0.221%, with a Win Rate of $7.19/100 rounds and a SCORE of 1.32...
I do like the idea though for looking like a progressive better in positive counts... so 10 points to Gryffindor for that.
