BJ pays 1:1
Split only once
$50 max bet for promotion
DAS
double 10/11 only
Promo offers 10% back on original bet amount for any winning hand (no pushes).
Assuming $50 bets how valuable is this promo?
Blackjack pays 1:1 -2.27%
Double 10,11 -.18%
Split once -.1%
You don't say anything about H/S17, decks, so we'll assume -.4% HA
1.8% advantage, so might be worth $50-200/hr depending on speed.
Win is 42.22%, a tie is 8.48%, and a loss is 49.10%
.4222 * 55 = 23.221
.0848 * 0 = 0
.4910 * -50 = -24.55
23.221 + 0 + -24.55 = -1.329
Those win/loss probabilities are with better rules, so if I am correct the return for the game in OP would be a bit less.
My method to calculating this could be flawed ... so I welcome anyone to set me straight :)
Quote: tongniYou win about 48% of the time, so 4.8% advantage.
Blackjack pays 1:1 -2.27%
Double 10,11 -.18%
Split once -.1%
You don't say anything about H/S17, decks, so we'll assume -.4% HA
1.8% advantage, so might be worth $50-200/hr depending on speed.
I calculated the game being negative about 2.4% before promo so we are relatively close.
Assuming a $50 bet that is a loss of $1.20 per hand. The promo pays $5 about 44% of the time so I think that is worth $2.20 per hand for a net profit of about $1 a hand which is very close to your 1.8%.
Thank you
Quote: gamerfreakUsing the probabilities from Blackjack Appendix 4 which has better rules, I get a house edge of 1.329%.
Win is 42.22%, a tie is 8.48%, and a loss is 49.10%
.4222 * 55 = 23.221
.0848 * 0 = 0
.4910 * -50 = -24.55
23.221 + 0 + -24.55 = -1.329
Those win/loss probabilities are with better rules, so if I am correct the return for the game in OP would be a bit less.
My method to calculating this could be flawed ... so I welcome anyone to set me straight :)
I don't think you method accounts for the wins from doubles and splits.
I assume you would do more aggressive doubling?
hopefully, they don't use Chinese prison chips.
Quote: AxelWolfSo you only get the bonus on the amount you profit on each hand? Not what the win amount the machine shows correct (Obviously, you are talking about video BJ)? I wonder if they are actully going to know the difference.
I assume you would do more aggressive doubling?
hopefully, they don't use Chinese prison chips.
I think the bonus is a flat $5 on a $50 max bet when you win the hand.
IC.Quote: DRichI think the bonus is a flat $5 on a $50 max bet when you win the hand.
Quote: DRichI don't think you method accounts for the wins from doubles and splits.
Ooops, you're correct. I did a proper spreadsheet with Wiz's probabilities and the numbers match what tongni said (assuming 6 decks S17).
Again I appreciate any comments/corrections (trying to get better at calculating these things).