December 22nd, 2017 at 5:28:52 PM
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I took a shot at writing a program to find the change in EV for removing individual cards for a variant of Spanish21 at my local casino
I haven't been able to find the actual numbers to see if this was correct. as this variant is not well known
I ran 250 million hands per card removed
used a 48 card deck and just removed one card
played with basic strategy and no index plays, the cut card placed at 25 cards from the start of the deck
numbers are reported in percentage change in EV., for example, removing an A would result in -0.77% EV
Effect of removing A: -0.7698
Effect of removing 2: 0.2596
Effect of removing 3: 0.4062
Effect of removing 4: 0.6427
Effect of removing 5: 0.7342
Effect of removing 6: 0.4291
Effect of removing 7: 0.0902
Effect of removing 8: -0.2398
Effect of removing 9: -0.2532
Effect of removing 10: -0.4289
sum of removals: 0.01257575 (not 0 due to not enough hands? its only 0.01%)
what do you guys think? do my numbers look right?
the goal of this was to make a good count,
for level 1 count I was thinking: -1,0,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,-1
for level 2 count I was thinking: -2,1,1,2,2,1,0,-1,-1,-1
EDIT: for this game, I was thinking that the level 1 count might be better than the level 2 count, as the values aren't very conducive to a level 2 count
What do you guys think?
I haven't been able to find the actual numbers to see if this was correct. as this variant is not well known
I ran 250 million hands per card removed
used a 48 card deck and just removed one card
played with basic strategy and no index plays, the cut card placed at 25 cards from the start of the deck
numbers are reported in percentage change in EV., for example, removing an A would result in -0.77% EV
Effect of removing A: -0.7698
Effect of removing 2: 0.2596
Effect of removing 3: 0.4062
Effect of removing 4: 0.6427
Effect of removing 5: 0.7342
Effect of removing 6: 0.4291
Effect of removing 7: 0.0902
Effect of removing 8: -0.2398
Effect of removing 9: -0.2532
Effect of removing 10: -0.4289
sum of removals: 0.01257575 (not 0 due to not enough hands? its only 0.01%)
what do you guys think? do my numbers look right?
the goal of this was to make a good count,
for level 1 count I was thinking: -1,0,1,1,1,1,0,0,0,-1
for level 2 count I was thinking: -2,1,1,2,2,1,0,-1,-1,-1
EDIT: for this game, I was thinking that the level 1 count might be better than the level 2 count, as the values aren't very conducive to a level 2 count
What do you guys think?
Last edited by: Bondy3 on Dec 22, 2017
December 24th, 2017 at 12:48:17 AM
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Variant of Spanish 21 on cruise.