PhilippeB
PhilippeB
  • Threads: 6
  • Posts: 35
Joined: Jun 23, 2015
December 11th, 2016 at 5:23:29 AM permalink
If I have 1% advantage and bet one hand of $100 I expect to win over the long term $1 per hand.
If I play two hands of $100 what can I expect for ?
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
  • Threads: 327
  • Posts: 9734
Joined: Nov 9, 2009
Thanked by
PhilippeB
December 11th, 2016 at 1:42:53 PM permalink
With an edge you want to reduce variance.

Two hands of $100 is better than one hand of $200 due to lower variance.

two $100 hands, at the same time or one after the other are all the same thing.

The EV is always edge times total amount that you bet. So for $200 it is $2, the same as two $100 bets. It's the variance - meaning how much sheer luck will dominate - is what is not the same.
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
PhilippeB
PhilippeB
  • Threads: 6
  • Posts: 35
Joined: Jun 23, 2015
December 13th, 2016 at 2:27:10 PM permalink
Thank you.
Well. As I see, everybody agree now :-)
  • Jump to: