The aforementioned game has the dealer hitting on soft 17 (the strategy may be slightly different if it's a S17 game). Also assuming six decks, here's the additional hands that you'd want to triple under this promotion according to that page:
8 vs. 5
9 vs. 2
11 vs. A
Soft 13/14 vs. 4
Soft 18 vs. 2
Soft 19 vs. 3-6
Soft 20 vs. 4-6
The page also mentions that you should triple a blackjack vs. a dealer 6, but if naturals still pay 3:2 (or even 6:5) under this promotion that does not apply (with "Triple Up 21" blackjacks pay only even money).
1. It runs from 6:00 AM July 15 to 6:00 AM July 16.
2. Valid on any blackjack or Spanish 21 table.
3. Maximum triple-down wager of $500.
I understand their most liberal blackjack rules to be as follows:
1. 6 decks.
2. Dealer stands on soft 17.
3. Double after split allowed.
4. Surrender allowed.
5. Re-splitting aces not allowed.
Before the triple-down rule, I show the house edge is 0.35%. After the triple down rule, the player edge is 1.53%!
I assume the maximum triple-down wager means the player can make an original bet of $250, and triple down for $500 more. So betting $250 a hand would have an expected profit of $3.83 per hand, or $229.50 per hour, assuming 60 hands per hour. Following is my basic strategy.
I also foresee A LOT of people over betting their bankrolls on this and busting out... You should not bet more than 1.53% of your bankroll at a variance of 1 using the Kelly Criterion. The variance is probably higher than 1 because of the triple-down factor.
Question on the Soft 12. Chart indicates to Triple up versus 5/6, but the only way to get a soft 12 is with AA, which the chart also says to split? Is this due to no resplit of Aces? So, if I get AA, do I split, and then Triple if I get another A? Can you please review? See all of you East Coasters there on that Thursday night.... Wow... Thanks for the notice and thanks for the chart.
Good point. It is necessary to indicate how to play a soft 12 if there is a cap on re-splitting and the player can hit, stand, or double after splitting aces. In this case, drawing to split aces is not allowed, so that row doesn't apply. I'll get rid of it.
Gee, it's almost worth getting on a jet and flying out to Uncasville for the day. In fact, I bet some people will large bankrolls will do just that.
I agree. If I were not so far away then I'd get there at least three hours before the starting time, just to ensure I got a seat. I predict it will be a zoo there on the day of.
To earn my VIG, I win if the shutdown time is between 12:45 and 1:15 PM --
Takers? Maybe W would like to book ...