HotBlonde
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August 2nd, 2014 at 9:28:57 PM permalink
Has anybody seen this? It's about Don Johnson, who's been mentioned here in the forum before. He gives his "secrets" for how he turns the house edge upside down without counting cards. Pretty simple stuff but I didn't understand the 20% discount part. Plus he said they give him $50,000 in free money to gamble with up front? I want to watch it again.
OFFICIALLY and justifiably reclaimed my title as SuperHotBlonde!
Venthus
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August 2nd, 2014 at 9:35:01 PM permalink
Quote: HotBlonde

Pretty simple stuff but I didn't understand the 20% discount part.



He negotiated a loss rebate.

Hardly an authoritative site, but it has a handy excerpt: http://boingboing.net/2012/03/30/how-a-high-roller-took-million.html

(Edit: Slightly more specific question-- at least in terms of BJ, how would a loss rebate affect the edge? A straight reduction of the edge by the percentage of the rebate doesn't seem right.)
AxelWolf
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August 2nd, 2014 at 9:35:14 PM permalink
Quote: HotBlonde

. Pretty simple stuff but I didn't understand the 20% discount part.

It seems like simple stuff because if you don't understand that part then you really don't understand at all. All the other stuff is mostly meaningless. The 20% is really the only key to everything he was able to do.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
HotBlonde
HotBlonde
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August 2nd, 2014 at 9:44:07 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

It seems like simple stuff because if you don't understand that part then you really don't understand at all. All the other stuff is mostly meaningless. The 20% is really the only key to everything he was able to do.

How was he able to negotiate that? Can anybody do that? It's funny cause in the video he says his "secrets" and all they are are typical liberal double deck rules.
OFFICIALLY and justifiably reclaimed my title as SuperHotBlonde!
AxelWolf
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August 2nd, 2014 at 9:46:44 PM permalink
Establish yourself as a sucker and have a nice line of credit. Its harder to get any deals like this nowadays but it is possible.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
AxiomOfChoice
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August 2nd, 2014 at 9:50:42 PM permalink
Quote: Venthus

He negotiated a loss rebate.

Hardly an authoritative site, but it has a handy excerpt: http://boingboing.net/2012/03/30/how-a-high-roller-took-million.html

(Edit: Slightly more specific question-- at least in terms of BJ, how would a loss rebate affect the edge? A straight reduction of the edge by the percentage of the rebate doesn't seem right.)



There was a long thread about this. Eliot wrote a good paper about it -- I think it's available on his site somewhere. It assumes normal distribution or results but that is probably close enough for blackjack. It also assumes that you can play arbitrarily long (DJs discounts were daily, so he had a limited amount of time in which he had to quit) so Eliot's numbers are probably a slight over-estimate, but that's not going to make a huge difference.

In short, it's a non-trivial problem to solve.
AxiomOfChoice
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August 2nd, 2014 at 9:52:21 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Establish yourself as a sucker and have a nice line of credit. Its harder to get any deals like this nowadays but it is possible.



You don't really need to establish yourself as a sucker. Loss rebates are pretty typical. They are downright easy to get on machines (though not 20%; that is ridiculous)

I think front money is generally preferred to credit.
AxelWolf
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August 9th, 2014 at 7:05:22 AM permalink
Quote: AxiomOfChoice

You don't really need to establish yourself as a sucker. Loss rebates are pretty typical. They are downright easy to get on machines (though not 20%; that is ridiculous)

I think front money is generally preferred to credit.

I was talking about someone trying to AP, I assumed we were talking 20%. Whales often have lines of credit. If you can get a line of credit and negotiate the same deal your better off whit the line of credit. This way, if the casino tries to renege or pull any stunts you have the upper hand.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
HughJass
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August 9th, 2014 at 9:40:40 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

I was talking about someone trying to AP, I assumed we were talking 20%. Whales often have lines of credit. If you can get a line of credit and negotiate the same deal your better off whit the line of credit. This way, if the casino tries to renege or pull any stunts you have the upper hand.



There's a casino that refused to pay me over $13,000 that they owed me because the casino's owner reneged on an agreement which we had. Don't make a verbal agreement with any casino representative unless it's witnessed.
AxelWolf
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August 9th, 2014 at 10:14:37 AM permalink
Quote: HughJass

There's a casino that refused to pay me over $13,000 that they owed me because the casino's owner reneged on an agreement which we had. Don't make a verbal agreement with any casino representative unless it's witnessed.

that's why phones have a video recorder.and a line of ctedit could come into play.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
Neutrino
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August 10th, 2014 at 1:57:43 AM permalink
Quote: HotBlonde

Has anybody seen this? It's about Don Johnson, who's been mentioned here in the forum before. He gives his "secrets" for how he turns the house edge upside down without counting cards. Pretty simple stuff but I didn't understand the 20% discount part. Plus he said they give him $50,000 in free money to gamble with up front? I want to watch it again.



He counts cards. In one of the vids I've seen, he was confronted with that and did not deny it. From some other trusted sources I heard he indeed confirmed that he counted cards. However, the only "move" he made was wonging out when the count was sufficiently low and let other people finish the negative shoe.

He says he doesn't count cards to the casino because he knows they can't catch him anyway. If all you do is wong out, and you never raise bets on high counts nor make index plays, you are extremely hard to catch.

I don't know at what count he wongs out but wonging out at -2.0 and below already breaks even a bad rule game (he played a very good rule game). He may already have the edge there without the loss rebates.


Also what kind of person makes a screen name of "HotBlonde" on a predominately male forum, while showing little knowledge about the main subject, gambling (I based that on you didn't even understand a loss rebate). Desperate for attention or? No offense.
Beethoven9th
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August 10th, 2014 at 2:10:07 AM permalink
Quote: Neutrino

Also what kind of person makes a screen name of "HotBlonde" on a predominately male forum, while showing little knowledge about the main subject, gambling (I based that on you didn't even understand a loss rebate). Desperate for attention or? No offense.


That's funny. You've claimed to be an AP but have shown little knowledge about advantage play. Like that time you criticized the Wizard a while back.
Fighting BS one post at a time!
AxelWolf
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August 10th, 2014 at 5:15:51 AM permalink
Quote: Beethoven9th

Quote: Neutrino

Also what kind of person makes a screen name of "HotBlonde" on a predominately male forum, while showing little knowledge about the main subject, gambling (I based that on you didn't even understand a loss rebate). Desperate for attention or? No offense.


That's funny. You've claimed to be an AP but have shown little knowledge about advantage play. Like that time you criticized the Wizard a while back.

Hurray B9 is back! ♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥

And already taking care of the BS.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
chickenman
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August 10th, 2014 at 7:18:42 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: Beethoven9th

Quote: Neutrino

Also what kind of person makes a screen name of "HotBlonde" on a predominately male forum, while showing little knowledge about the main subject, gambling (I based that on you didn't even understand a loss rebate). Desperate for attention or? No offense.


That's funny. You've claimed to be an AP but have shown little knowledge about advantage play. Like that time you criticized the Wizard a while back.

Hurray B9 is back! ♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥

And already taking care of the BS.

He's almost as good at it as you are! :-)

Welcome back, B9!!!
onenickelmiracle
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August 10th, 2014 at 5:30:20 PM permalink
How much money in a credit line actually needed before the casino doesn't automatically say no to a suggestion?
I am a robot.
strictlyAP
strictlyAP
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August 10th, 2014 at 5:36:30 PM permalink
you dont need a credit line- im not even remotely close to his league but have been able to alter things with orange chips in action
there are numerous times ive had odds shaved in my favor betting at this level
and I still get loss rebates
The bet will not be paid- not now not ever
1BB
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August 11th, 2014 at 1:28:03 PM permalink
Quote: Neutrino

He counts cards. In one of the vids I've seen, he was confronted with that and did not deny it. From some other trusted sources I heard he indeed confirmed that he counted cards. However, the only "move" he made was wonging out when the count was sufficiently low and let other people finish the negative shoe.

He says he doesn't count cards to the casino because he knows they can't catch him anyway. If all you do is wong out, and you never raise bets on high counts nor make index plays, you are extremely hard to catch.

I don't know at what count he wongs out but wonging out at -2.0 and below already breaks even a bad rule game (he played a very good rule game). He may already have the edge there without the loss rebates.


Also what kind of person makes a screen name of "HotBlonde" on a predominately male forum, while showing little knowledge about the main subject, gambling (I based that on you didn't even understand a loss rebate). Desperate for attention or? No offense.



We also have a juiciejennie, as you probably know, and a EuropeanHottie who is or was friends with HotBlonde. None of them seem overly interested in actual gambling as far as I can see. Go ahead and google EuropeanHottie and see what you get.
Many people, especially ignorant people, want to punish you for speaking the truth. - Mahatma Ghandi
AxiomOfChoice
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August 11th, 2014 at 1:34:19 PM permalink
JJ seems to be interested in blackjack, and possibly bingo. HotBlonde seems to be interested in gambling (posts on baccarat, video poker, and recently the house edge on carnie games).

I have no clue who EuropeanHottie is. I don't think she has posted since I joined the forum, although I've seen other posts referencing her. I gather that she used to be friends with HB and now they are no longer friends because of some drama or something.

As for the actual topic of this thread, a 20% daily loss rebate on $500k+ losses with the ability to make 6-figure bets is ridiculously powerful. Saying that he also counted cards is like saying that someone also found a dollar bill on the ground while he was on his way to cash in his 100-million-dollar winning lottery ticket.
Venthus
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August 11th, 2014 at 1:51:34 PM permalink
How do table loss rebates usually work? A daily accounting feels far too exploitable to be the norm. I'd've expected something closer to a negotiated period of like 30 days, with minimum play requirements... a bit like what online casinos do.
AxiomOfChoice
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August 11th, 2014 at 2:27:15 PM permalink
Quote: Venthus

A daily accounting feels far too exploitable to be the norm.



Yeah, exactly.
thecesspit
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August 11th, 2014 at 2:38:40 PM permalink
Quote: Neutrino

Also what kind of person makes a screen name of "HotBlonde" on a predominately male forum, while showing little knowledge about the main subject, gambling (I based that on you didn't even understand a loss rebate). Desperate for attention or? No offense.



The main subject is Vegas, I thought... and well, people are allowed to ask questions you know....
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
onenickelmiracle
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August 11th, 2014 at 2:51:11 PM permalink
Quote: 1BB

We also have a juiciejennie, as you probably know, and a EuropeanHottie who is or was friends with HotBlonde. None of them seem overly interested in actual gambling as far as I can see. Go ahead and google EuropeanHottie and see what you get.

Pornography and escort ads. Which was her?
I am a robot.
1BB
1BB
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August 11th, 2014 at 5:08:12 PM permalink
Quote: onenickelmiracle

Pornography and escort ads. Which was her?



None of them are her as far as I know. I know she's Russian. The point is that if you had that screen name and this stuff came up on Google, wouldn't you change your name?
Many people, especially ignorant people, want to punish you for speaking the truth. - Mahatma Ghandi
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