AxiomOfChoice
Joined: Sep 12, 2012
• Posts: 5761
March 27th, 2014 at 7:59:24 PM permalink
Quote: chrisr

right, so in the last deck, if the count were +12, you'd have a 6% advantage. if you place large bets at over +12 in double deck and negligable bets otherwise you would have around 6% advantage, no? am i thinking about that wrong?

You are thinking about it wrong. Those "negligible" bets are not negligible. They add up. You can go many hours without seeing a +12 true count.

This is really not a great approach to counting cards. Besides, don't you think that it might raise some eyebrows when the guy who has been betting \$15 every hand for 3 hours suddenly comes out with a \$2000 bet?
chrisr
Joined: Dec 9, 2013
• Posts: 141
March 27th, 2014 at 9:43:16 PM permalink
Quote: AxiomOfChoice

You are thinking about it wrong. Those "negligible" bets are not negligible. They add up. You can go many hours without seeing a +12 true count.

This is really not a great approach to counting cards. Besides, don't you think that it might raise some eyebrows when the guy who has been betting \$15 every hand for 3 hours suddenly comes out with a \$2000 bet?

you could play a less suspicious strategy so you'd be at maybe 0-1%, but when u see the +6 or +12 or whatever threshold you want.. you go crazy bet for a few hands then leave.. that would increase the edge past 1% i'd think..

but it sounds like it's not practical, since you'd get caught..
chrisr
Joined: Dec 9, 2013
• Posts: 141
March 31st, 2014 at 9:40:27 PM permalink
so i was at the casino, this is the first time i am trying counting, really just practicing keeping the count, +10tc in the first shuffle. i raise my bet from \$25 to \$500 for 2 hands. i quit card counting forever. at least it was a good bet.

i just prefer getting plastered on free drinks and playing 10x or 100x craps.
Tomspur
Joined: Jul 12, 2013
• Posts: 2019
March 31st, 2014 at 9:44:51 PM permalink
Quote: chrisr

so i was at the casino, this is the first time i am trying counting, really just practicing keeping the count, +10tc in the first shuffle. i raise my bet from \$25 to \$500 for 2 hands. i quit card counting forever. at least it was a good bet.

i just prefer getting plastered on free drinks and playing 10x or 100x craps.

Now you have to learn about risk of ruin and more importantly the Kelly Criterion.

Sorry it didn't work out bud. Card counting is far from fool proof,l in fact it is the worst AP play in the casino just about.
“There is something about the outside of a horse that is good for the inside of a man.” - Winston Churchill
odiousgambit

Joined: Nov 9, 2009
• Posts: 8566
April 19th, 2014 at 9:38:54 AM permalink

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