What are the chances?

Something interesting happened in Vegas. I was playing BJ and using Zen count. TC was 3 there was about 3 decks remaining. Dealer had a 6. I had 11 and double down to receive a 4. Count on the table while in play remained the same, everything canceled out. Dealer had a 6. 3 then 8 giving him 17. I like to know what the chances of this is.

Quote: jiff

Something interesting happened in Vegas. I was playing BJ and using Zen count. TC was 3 there was about 3 decks remaining. Dealer had a 6. I had 11 and double down to receive a 4. Count on the table while in play remained the same, everything canceled out. Dealer had a 6. 3 then 8 giving him 17. I like to know what the chances of this is.

Ummm... the chances of those exact cards coming out in that order? the chances of doubling down on ONE HAND and having it not work out for you? the chances of specifically doubling on an 11 and losing when the dealer has a 6 up? I'd say you win 7 of 10 in the last scenario, so it was 30% chance.... just an educated guess.....

thanks. I'm not wondering the chances of the cards coming out on the exact order. Just the chances of the dealer not busting and winning against a 11 with the count being in my favor. I know the dealer has a 42% chance inherently. I'm just curious.

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Quote: Ibeatyouraces

I've had the same situation in much higher counts only to double and catch a small card while the dealer flips over a five under his six then draws two more fives for twenty one. The more you play, the more likely these rotten situations will happen. Also it seems evrytime I wong into high counts, I catch all the neutral card to give me stiffs while the dealer gets the high cards. This game takes nerves of steel.

You're right. I played correctly and that's all that matters. Just a run with bad luck.