The Adventures of MDawg II
Quote: MDawgOne thing I’ve seen which is curious is how poker players win a big pot and then bring it all to place on one hand of Baccarat. I didn’t even realize they were poker players figured they were shot takers who simply wanted to take a shot which - they are - but the funds come from poker.
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Many of the pro poker players that I knew had lots of gambling leaks because they are gamblers. Even if they are good poker players many tend to be stupid gamblers.
I don't know if I just made a mistake/fopax in my wording/thinking or I was trying to catch him to see what he said.Quote: MDawgAs far as D.Oz that APPEARS to be (hard to follow, jumbled) a dicto simpliciter a posteriori argument of “because I assume they must have recorded over > $10K in coin in and didn’t ask for SSN, they must be flouting the federal AML regs.” But the law and DRich’s inside account gainsay everything the D.Oz is claiming.
As for A.Wolf maybe they didn’t like his looks who knows why and decided to taunt him to his face about getting a CTR. Maybe they secretly filed a SAR on him too. Or maybe he asked about or mentioned something to the effect of whether or not he was getting reported and they confirmed it. If this happened more than two days ago I choose to question whether the Wolf’s recollection of it is accurate. If you have a full recording of the entire event not just the part where you asked the employees their names that might settle it but why would anyone record such an event from the getgo, probably only towards the end.
So are you now saying that you did in fact ask S.Roy seriously to show you a CTR or are you reverting to the story of you were not serious in asking him for a CTR.
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Regardless of that separate issue...
The fact is, I sent Mike proof the day of within hours (Did you ask him about it, would you like me to give him permission to discuss it?)
As to why anyone would record such a thing? As an AP and past experience, I'm ready at any moment to record such things with my cell phone. I anticipated there could be an issue given the situation with the amount of money I was dealing with that day.
Quote: MDawgWhich is just up the road from the Sphere.
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Quote: DRichQuote: MDawgOne thing I’ve seen which is curious is how poker players win a big pot and then bring it all to place on one hand of Baccarat. I didn’t even realize they were poker players figured they were shot takers who simply wanted to take a shot which - they are - but the funds come from poker.
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Many of the pro poker players that I knew had lots of gambling leaks because they are gamblers. Even if they are good poker players many tend to be stupid gamblers.
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Well they are just picking a hand on which to bet at random, so, that is different assumedly from whatever they did to win that pot.
Quote: MDawgQuote: DRichQuote: MDawgOne thing I’ve seen which is curious is how poker players win a big pot and then bring it all to place on one hand of Baccarat. I didn’t even realize they were poker players figured they were shot takers who simply wanted to take a shot which - they are - but the funds come from poker.
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Many of the pro poker players that I knew had lots of gambling leaks because they are gamblers. Even if they are good poker players many tend to be stupid gamblers.
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Well they are just picking a hand on which to bet at random, so, that is different assumedly from whatever they did to win that pot.
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That's not as bad as it sounds. For a 1.06% of one big pot vig to the house, he now has some status at that casino that you won't get as a pure poker player.
If he bet 10% of his pot until he either doubled it or lost it all, he would look like less of a gambler but lose more.
once the win is verified, a check will be issued, and the check will be marked "verified chip win" or similar verbiage. And will not be reported anywhere, because it is a check not cash, out.
Casino cages will not issue a nickel's worth of checks for chips other than for a verified win, or return of other than cash front money (wired in, cashier's check, etc.). For a credit player like me, all checks that have ever been issued to me were for verified wins only. That's a simple concept, but who at this forum other than MDawg even has a credit line at a Vegas casino? or cashes out six or even seven figure wins regularly? I think that's part of why these simple realities are not understood.
Quote: MDawgNo U.S. casino (anywhere) has a policy to flaunt CTR regulations notwithstanding D.Oz's repetitive blether, but when cashing out this much (or more)
There have been casinos in Las Vegas that would hand a out sheet explaining the FINCEN rules when questioned about it. For example, if a customer refuses to give their ID when cashing out some casinos would hand them a "summary" of the regulations explaining that they would not cash out their chips until it was provided.
On the other hand you also see people all the time justifying why they called against aces or kings or whatever and ended up winning, with hands like king 2, queen 4, seven four, nine seven etc. when they are suited. "But it was suited."
But Jack 4 off, who even plays with that unless it's on a blind with no raises.
I guess she does.
Quote: MDawgIf you play even some at these Vegas poker rooms you will see people call big pre-flop raises with Jack 4 off. This of course was the hand that got Robbi Lew in trouble against Adelstein.
On the other hand you also see people all the time justifying why they called against aces or kings or whatever and ended up winning, with hands like King 2, queen 4, seven four, nine seven etc. when they are suited.
But Jack 4 off, who even plays with that unless it's on a blind with no raises.
I guess she does.
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Obviously a very unconventional move betting $22k to steal $1k. Still a much better move than calling all in pre-flop with J4.
What's cool though is you figure out pretty quickly WHO calls with almost everything, who bluffs, who doesn't, pretty soon. Most of these players play the same way consistently.
Sometimes there's a guy who bluffs only occasionally then comes back with something, but, usually has some kind of tell.
The club had figured out during Mike's absence that KGB munched the Oreos whenever he had a good hand, and now Mike had to go and spoil the advantage for everyone. 😅
That comparatively dumpy place at the end of the 90s on Harmon was HAPPENING with skinny hotties galore, until the Palms supplanted its reign, until it, too, faded.
The old Hard Rock Vegas was the place where "young people, like us" (which could mean anyone from 21 to 50, apparently) partied.
If anything like the Cosmo crowd hits the new Hard Rock they will have found their niche in 2027.
Quote: MDawgI assume that the Indian tribe is salivating over the prospects of the Hard Rock Vegas on the Strip.
That comparatively dumpy place at the end of the 90s on Harmon was HAPPENING with skinny hotties galore, until the Palms supplanted its reign, until it, too, faded.
The old Hard Rock Vegas was the place where "young people, like us" (which could mean anyone from 21 to 50, apparently) partied.
If anything like the Cosmo crowd hits the new Hard Rock they will have found their niche in 2027.
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I am looking forward to it. My game plan is of the "road less traveled" nature, looking for dinky little things other may have overlooked, then designing a method and doing the work to exploit it. So the more diversity, in management, casinos, and games, the better! Hard Rock casinos usually have something for me.
Unfortunately, the creeping globohomo has had not less of an effect on Las Vegas than it has had on the rest of the world. Everything is the same. One company owns the whole south half of the Strip? How is that Vegas? That's not Vegas, that's Disney. Places like the old Hard Rock, the LV Hilton, Trop and Rio were my respite from that. Always something I could do there. Now I have to range much further for such things.
The Strip casinos are now mostly distinguishable by their smell. Ozone at the Treasure Island. (No idea why.) Hydrogen sulfide at Casino Royale. Dirty socks at Circus Circus. The grade school cafeteria smell at Harrah's and Flamingo. Maybe that's some ADA program, to help the blind get around.
Cosmo has a unique smell too, but I'll have to pin it next time I am inside. It is definitely not as distinctive as T.I. and I am surprised that even with all the changes T.I. still smells the same.
These photos are us, in love, spanning time.
We're the couple that doesn't TOUCH one another. We like each other, we like each other a lot, and we SPAN time together. We just don't touch each other.
“Runnin’ With the Devil” (Van Halen) 1960s Cover by Robyn Adele Anderson
True, too, that someone playing with no advantage -EV should over time lose money.
But either player, +EV or -EV will benefit from making his bankroll last longer.
In my case, because then I stick around longer to experience more advantage hands.
In the -EV case, because that player might stick around long enough to experience positive variance. And even if not, at least he gets to play longer.
So while betting strategies and money management may not affect the house edge, both of these may make bankrolls last longer, and sticking around longer is a good thing no matter what.
And don't forget the risk of ruin - people with unrealistic expectations factored against their bankrolls and max bets, might get blown out before they are able to benefit from +EV, or positive variance.
Anyway a lot of people just talk about this. While I am doing it. In fact, I am currently one of the top players in terms of both theo loss and actual win (and by top, I don't mean like top 100, or just top 10, I mean TOP), on the Strip. Now whether I am talking about one casino or more than one, I won't say, but suffice it to say...
or close.
This player just plays a few hands, selected from all of the shoes available in the room at any given time, then walks. No particular advantage I am aware of, obviously doesn't have a set up like me, but definitely wins big, not in the seven figure range as I have been able to do occasionally lately, but low to mid six figure takes regularly and I verified this both via talking to casino staff like dealers and pit bosses who said basically that he is killing them, but also I saw a document verifying win that was handed to the player by a high level casino staff right in front of me that I read.
Appreciate the post!
Quote: MDawgThat sort of watching and then just playing a small number of hands seems to me EvenBob style, but not for a few dollars, for very short sessions, hands going up to table max.
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He watches the tables and plays virtually in his head and jumps in when it's playing his game. Wins a few and walks away. Easy to do in roulette harder to do in baccarat because those tables are quite often full and there's no place for you to sit down. In roulette you can place a bet anytime you want. What he's doing looks easy but it's not. He's working for those wins, working his ass off. And management hates his guts because hit and run players are the worst kind. I can only play that way when I'm in Vegas because my local casino only has one roulette table going. But I don't do that at all anymore anyway because all I do is play online. Where I can hit and run all day long.
The 80%-90% numbers are meaningless without knowing the approximate number of trials.Quote: MDawgOn a recent Baccarat session my tie hit percentage was around 50%. I didn't bet it much, but when I did, I hit it quite often. The 50% miss was on the repeater attempt. The "out of the blue," dealer says, "You must really think there is going to be a tie," placing one or two grand on the tie, bets, were working out for me around 80 - 90%.
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I'm now a 100% accurate "sharpshooter" hitting a 6.19 x 2.6" target with a 30 30 from 200 feet away.
I only tried one time, got lucky, and stopped because it scared the dog too much. I have to get him used to the sound of gunfire.
Obviously, im not 100% accurate "sharpshooter" and it would be dumb of me to think that after one trial.
Quote: AxelWolfThe 80%-90% numbers are meaningless without knowing the approximate number of trials.Quote: MDawgOn a recent Baccarat session my tie hit percentage was around 50%. I didn't bet it much, but when I did, I hit it quite often. The 50% miss was on the repeater attempt. The "out of the blue," dealer says, "You must really think there is going to be a tie," placing one or two grand on the tie, bets, were working out for me around 80 - 90%.
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I'm now a 100% accurate "sharpshooter" hitting a 6.19 x 2.6" target with a 30 30 from 200 feet away.
I only tried one time, got lucky, and stopped because it scared the dog too much. I have to get him used to the sound of gunfire.
Obviously, im not 100% accurate "sharpshooter" and it would be dumb of me to think that after one trial.
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You don't miss 100% of the shots you don't take.
The most relevant factor is - how many ties in that shoe? Pushing 20 or just 2?
Shooting fish in a barrel crammed with fish is easier than in a sparsely populated lake.
But the shoes I played had above average ties. And as always I rarely bet the tie.
How many times did you bet the tie bet?
Please elaborate!Quote: MDawgThe questions posed are being posed by people with clear lack of knowledge about the game.
Before or after the fact? Do you claim to know how many ties were going to be in that shoe?Quote: MDawgThe most relevant factor is - how many ties in that shoe? Pushing 20 or just 2?
A previous claim you made might suggest diffrent.Quote: MDawgAnd as always, I rarely bet the tie.
Quote: MDawgQuote: OnceDearYou mean this one?Quote: AxelWolfdidn't you also predict/time and bet some crazy amount of ties in baccarat or something like that? Please post the original story here for us.
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https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/23/Quote: MDawg"It's uncanny." he explained. "He's hitting something like 80% of his tie bets."
I have a system for predicting the ties. I bet them rarely, but when I do, I usually win. In my life I have bet a couple of $3000. tie bets (paying off $24,000.) and hit them both. 2/2. I have also bet a few $2000. and $1500. tie bets, and hit them all too. Of course, my average with smaller tie bets is not 100%, but when I am running hot (get me some antifreeze!), I will hit the majority of my tie bets.
Bolding is mine.link to original post
The line "It's uncanny." he explained. "He's hitting something like 80% of his tie bets." refers to one particular session, and refers to what a pit boss said about me at one particular session, and quoting it to imply that I claim to hit 80% of my tie bets, or to imply that I usually hit 80% of my tie bets, is misquoting me - worse in my opinion than the misquoting that just landed EvenBob in WOV prison for a month. Especially consider that I often refer to myself in the third person "MDawg does this" "He does that" it is especially not right to provide that particular line, boldfaced no less, as representative of my tie betting as depicted in that particular post.
To quote that particular post more accurately the words when I am running hot should have been boldfaced. Otherwise, the selective quoting and boldfacing is misrepresentative and seems to imply that I claim to hit ties the majority of the time.
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We were not talking about what was asked or discussed in the past(*see below)Quote: MDawgSeems you can’t even remember what you’ve said or asked in the past let alone what I said.
Quote: MDawgQuote: OnceDearYou mean this one?Quote: AxelWolfdidn't you also predict/time and bet some crazy amount of ties in baccarat or something like that? Please post the original story here for us.
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https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/23/Quote: MDawg"It's uncanny." he explained. "He's hitting something like 80% of his tie bets."
I have a system for predicting the ties. I bet them rarely, but when I do, I usually win. In my life I have bet a couple of $3000. tie bets (paying off $24,000.) and hit them both. 2/2. I have also bet a few $2000. and $1500. tie bets, and hit them all too. Of course, my average with smaller tie bets is not 100%, but when I am running hot (get me some antifreeze!), I will hit the majority of my tie bets.
Bolding is mine.link to original post
The line "It's uncanny." he explained. "He's hitting something like 80% of his tie bets." refers to one particular session, and refers to what a pit boss said about me at one particular session, and quoting it to imply that I claim to hit 80% of my tie bets, or to imply that I usually hit 80% of my tie bets, is misquoting me - worse in my opinion than the misquoting that just landed EvenBob in WOV prison for a month. Especially consider that I often refer to myself in the third person "MDawg does this" "He does that" it is especially not right to provide that particular line, boldfaced no less, as representative of my tie betting as depicted in that particular post.
To quote that particular post more accurately the words when I am running hot should have been boldfaced. Otherwise, the selective quoting and boldfacing is misrepresentative and seems to imply that I claim to hit ties the majority of the time.
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April 20th, 2025 at 9:34:09 AM
Quote: MDawgOn a recent Baccarat session my tie hit percentage was around 50%.
You claim an 80-90%. Im asking how many total trials that has been calculated over. Why is that a difficult question?
Went on to lose 5 - 2
and the knight couldn't save them.
Hope they win at least one of the away games!
