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I'm a darkside bettor (and always will be) and I noticed something being played awhile back.

If you bet the don't pass and the point of 4 or 10 is made then the following should happen if you bet on the hard 4 (or 10):

7 - A push with the don't pass winning and the hard ways losing

4 easy - If the point comes at 1/3 or 3/1 then you should lose 2 units, minus one for the hard way bet and minus one for the don't pass bet. This results in a loss of 2 units

4 Hard - Win seven unity

It looks like you're bucking a 5-1 disadvantage but getting a 7-1 payoff. I'll take that. What have I overlooked ? (Yes, I have to get past the come out roll but that's true of any dark side bet, but this doesn't apply because you've already established the point).

Quote:Lucca3927Maybe this posted before- I'm not sure.

I'm a darkside bettor (and always will be) and I noticed something being played awhile back.

If you bet the don't pass and the point of 4 or 10 is made then the following should happen if you bet on the hard 4 (or 10):

7 - A push with the don't pass winning and the hard ways losing

4 easy - If the point comes at 1/3 or 3/1 then you should lose 2 units, minus one for the hard way bet and minus one for the don't pass bet. This results in a loss of 2 units

4 Hard - Win seven unity

It looks like you're bucking a 5-1 disadvantage but getting a 7-1 payoff. I'll take that. What have I overlooked ? (Yes, I have to get past the come out roll but that's true of any dark side bet).

You stated what you overlooked.

Here is the general fact that can save the player when confronted with seemingly favorable bet combinations:Quote:Lucca3927I'm not going to try to figure out the new odds. I know that whatever they are can't beat the free odds bet. I was just wondering if my theory was right.

Each bet has an undefeatable expected value [EV]. If you make additional bets, each one of those will also have an EV; the EV of your overall action will the the EV of each bet added together. Thus if it seems you have found a combination that seems to create positive EV while all those bets separately have a negative EV, you can be sure you just made a mistake [probably not weighting the probabilities right]. It is not possible to create positive or zero value EV out of a combination of bets that are negative EV.

Yahoo!Quote:Lucca3927I'm a darkside bettor (and always will be) and I noticed something being played awhile back.

I used to bet the dpass

but it is a sucker bet, imo.

sometimes it wins on a 7 and other times is loses on a 7.

that is so wrong! (hehe)

my 3 cents:

A Lay bet ALWAYS wins on a 7 and will never lose on a 7!

sure the house edge is higher than a line bet

but craps shooters are horrible when under pressure (placed there)

to "win" their point,imo of course

"the point of 4 or 10"Quote:Lucca3927If you bet the don't pass and the point of 4 or 10 is made then the following should happen if you bet on the hard 4 (or 10):

7 - A push with the don't pass winning and the hard ways losing

this is what wrong way players want! always point of 4 or 10

always!

Yahoo!

but, you want a push when a 7 rolls?

say "It is not soooo"

hmm,

6 ways to win the dpass on point4(10)

3 ways to lose

a HUGH player's edge (we,, you know)

and you (others?) suggest to take that player advantage down to 0!?!

well, if have more fun that way

sweet!

takes all kinds

unless I missed something...

I like doing craps math when a player has the advantage.

working on a Lay bet and a 3 way 7 bet that has a players' advantage (using a loss rebate of course)

takes all kinds

thank you for sharing

Sally