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I read that Blackjack is the LEAST likely to have a streak. And Baccarat is the Most Likely to have a streak. But I don't know the reasoning behind this. Is there any validity to this?

Also, I have a question about the PASS LINE and DON'T PASS in Craps. I know they are both pretty close as far as odds of winning. HOWEVER, is one more LIKELY to win TWO in a row than the other bet?

It seems with the SEVEN being the most likely to be rolled, one of these bets would be more likely than the other to win 2 in a row. I don't know.

Thanks for your input!

89.4% chance of winning two in a row

Technically it seems the lay bet on 4 or 10 is the best as the chances of winning each one is 2/3, however you may have to wait a while for the bet(s) to be resolved if other number numbers are thrown.

The next best seems to be split column or split dozen. (I don't know if casinos allow this bet any more but it is explained at http://www.ukcasinotablegames.info/roulette.html ) This has a chance of winning just under 2/3 (exact number depends on # 0's), but has the advantage of being resolved every spin.

Of course if you're in a bookies, then just wait for two odds on chances.

Every hit will be a losing one. My assumption is you have to make a profit on your outlay. btw a better method than betting every number is Red,Black and Zero or there's a Trente et Quarante which is even better odds as you can insure your bet for 1% (see http://www.casinomontecarlo.com/games/european-casino-games/trente-et-quarante/ ).Quote:IbeatyouracesBet every number in roulette. Chance of a winning hit...100%

Quote:charliepatrickEvery hit will be a losing one. My assumption is you have to make a profit on your outlay. btw a better method than betting every number is Red,Black and Zero or there's a Trente et Quarante which is even better odds as you can insure your bet for 1% (see http://www.casinomontecarlo.com/games/european-casino-games/trente-et-quarante/ ).

He did not ask about losing money. Just asked which had the best odds of winning twice in a row. Bet all the numbers and you'll have a winner every spin.

Quote:IbeatyouracesHe did not ask about losing money. Just asked which had the best odds of winning twice in a row. Bet all the numbers and you'll have a winner every spin.

A winner every spin shouldn't be considered two wins in a row, as it would be a streak of two wins and 74 losses. That would be like saying a $125 spin on a 100-line video poker machine and pays back $18.75 is a winning bet

Money line bets on the top seeds in the NCAA tournament can be as high as 98%, which would be better than 96% chance of winning twice in a row

Quote:michael99000Put a single chip on 35 separate numbers at a single 0 roullette wheel.

89.4% chance of winning two in a row

I still contend that , if we are talking about valid, legal, casino table game wagers where if you win the bet you come out ahead, then betting 35 roulette numbers for the same amount each has the highest probability of winning. And therefore also has the highest probability of winning twice in a row

Quote:michael99000I still contend that , if we are talking about valid, legal, casino table game wagers where if you win the bet you come out ahead, then betting 35 roulette numbers for the same amount each has the highest probability of winning. And therefore also has the highest probability of winning twice in a row

This.

If I had just ONE CHIP ONLY to bet, which bet at a casino would give me the BEST chance of winning THAT bet AND the very next bet. My goal is to take the winnings from the first bet, then Parlay those winnings on the Second bet. If I win, I stop betting.

Thanks.

That said, given your 1 chip requirements... lay the 4/10 in craps as suggested. Each independent trial you'll have a 2/3 chance of winning, and you only need one chip (though it has to be 1 chip big enough for the table requirements).

Quote:Romes... given your 1 chip requirements... lay the 4/10 in craps as suggested. Each independent trial you'll have a 2/3 chance of winning, and you only need one chip (though it has to be 1 chip big enough for the table requirements).

I don't make lay bets, so I might have some of this incorrect....

Just to be picky perhaps, I think the complicating factor of a one-chip lay bet is "How do you pay the vig?" If the vig is collected up front, you need a second chip just to pay that, or your wagered chip has to be broken down.

If you have a casino that will allow a lay 4/10 with vig paid only on the win, then a bet of X will win X/2 less a 5% commission, so that you would then have 1.475 X parlayed as your second wager. If that wager wins, you will then have (1.475)^2 X to take home from the experiment.

What kind of chip are you starting out with such that 2.175625 times that chip amount is easily paid in chips?

How do they round off the vig on a lay bet for really odd amounts?

depends if you count a tie or not for the dpass.Quote:TERMINATORAlso, I have a question about the PASS LINE and DON'T PASS in Craps.

I know they are both pretty close as far as odds of winning.

HOWEVER, is one more LIKELY to win TWO in a row than the other bet?

the probability of the pass line winning the very next two times is

244/495 * 244/495

or about 0.242979

a little less than 1 in 4 (nice)

the dpass

can push on a 12 on the come out roll

so to win the very next two times is

949/1980 * 949/1980

or about 0.22972

less than the pass

:)

but

if you try again after a push (get nervous too)

in other words, you keep betting after a push

949/1925 * 949/1925

or about 0.243036

in summary

not counting ties...

pass = 0.242979

dpass =0.243036

real close baby

have fun no matter the outcome

Sally

Oh yes,

btw

the higher the probability of winning (over 50%) the less one wins

even at sports betting 2

And thanks to everyone else who answered my question. The Lay on the 4/10 is a good answer. I will consider that.

And just so everyone knows, I am not planning on betting only ONE chip. My question relates to a very intriguing Parlay Progression which I have been having an incredible amount of success with. I mentioned this in another email, but the progression goes like this:

1,1,1,2,2,3,4,5,7

Basically, if I win at ANY stage in the progression, I parlay. If I win that parlay, I stop and begin again. If I lose, I continue with the progression.

I was simply looking for a casino bet with the best chances of me winning.

Thanks again for all your input everyone.

without looking more into it, I do not think your progression will workQuote:TERMINATORMy question relates to a very intriguing Parlay Progression which I have been having an incredible amount of success with. I mentioned this in another email, but the progression goes like this:

1,1,1,2,2,3,4,5,7

Basically, if I win at ANY stage in the progression, I parlay. If I win that parlay, I stop and begin again. If I lose, I continue with the progression.

as is

for a Lay bet,

even the Banker bet at Baccarat because of the commission required to pay on a win or making the bet.

I could be wrong...

<<<<< >>>>>

the lay bet 4/10 (and I know) wins 50% of what you bet

and it costs money to make it.

say $40 to win $20

cost = $1 (5% of the win - upfront at many casinos, not all)

I would stay at your drawing board on this

so

you know the progression will work for this bet.

I would just play it in WinCraps and see how it does (yes I looked)

and it does poorly (the progression that is... with my little example)

sure is fun when the bets get real big!

not fun when the parlay does not cover your total losses

Oh well,

good luck

have fun

Sally

some do not allow odd Lay bet amounts,Quote:DocHow do they round off the vig on a lay bet for really odd amounts?

others adjust to nearest $1 or 50 cents if they have it.

Never seen or heard of any standard for this.

watched a guy wanting a Lay 5 for $50 and they kept him happy just telling him after so many bets he owed this much, so I could not figure it out.

I have seen Lay bets for $100 on 4,6,8 and 10

only seen a few times on the 5,9

as a proper bet would be $99 to win $66 for a vig of $3.30

so it can get messy (kind of, of course)

Sally

The Roulette suggestion is similar to saying go to the Craps table and make Place bets on all box numbers and make a world bet. One of the bets will win on the next two rolls, but it most likely won't be the same bet.

Sally, Yes, I will have to adjust this progression for the Lay bet. I have not worked it out yet, but hopefully I will soon.

So far I’ve been using Wincraps and betting strictly on the Don’t Pass (with 2 Don’t Come bets), and it’s been doing incredibly well. I know I’ve been lucky though, but this progression is so much safer than many others I’ve looked into. Rather than a Big Risk Big Reward, this progression is Low Risk Low Reward.

Quote:BlueEagleThe suggestions to bet on 35 numbers on Roulette made me laugh. However, I don't believe it is a valid option because that would be 35 separate bets. The question is which [one] bet has the highest chance of winning two times in a row.

.

I disagree, it's not 35 separate bets. If each bet were a separate bet than that implies each bet has a chance to win, which isn't the case. It's a single bet risking 3500 to win 100. If I put $1800 on red, is that 1 bet or is it 18 separate bets on each red number? In my example of betting 35 separate numbers, if the layout somehow allowed me to do that with one bet then it would be more clear that it's one bet

Quote:TERMINATORWell, yes. But winning TWICE in a row.

The bet that is most likely to win is the same bet that is most likely to win twice in a row.

Quote:NathanI also second the "play every number" schtick that someone else said on here. :) You're guaranteed to win SOMETHING. ... ;)

This from the same person whose pet peeve is that a multiline machine declares a win then returns less than your total bet?

This is the same thing, but self-inflicted, since with evenly distributed individual numbers bet, and those numbers never paying true odds on a win, you will NEVER win more than you have lost placing the bet.

Also, if we WIN the 35 number bet, all we do is win our money BACK, we do NOT make a profit. Which defeats the purpose of what I am asking. SO please drop this 35 number answer.

Let me rephrase my question. I want to make a SINGLE 1 unit bet. Okay? I cannot put a 1 unit bet on 35 numbers.

So, does anyone else have an answer to my question? Which single 1 unit bet has the best chances of winning two times in a row? Thank you for your help.

Quote:TERMINATORBut the 35 numbers bet will not really work for me. I am trying to fit this bet in with my progression. As stated earlier, I am looking to do a certain "progression." The casino I play at has a $10 - $1000 limit. If I lose my bet ONCE, there is no bet I can make a second time to make up for that loss on the NEXT BET, as I will have reached the table max on my second bet. It is totally unfeasable.

Also, if we WIN the 35 number bet, all we do is win our money BACK, we do NOT make a profit. Which defeats the purpose of what I am asking. SO please drop this 35 number answer.

Let me rephrase my question. I want to make a SINGLE 1 unit bet. Okay? I cannot put a 1 unit bet on 35 numbers.

So, does anyone else have an answer to my question? Which single 1 unit bet has the best chances of winning two times in a row? Thank you for your help.

Then I think the answer you are looking for was in the first reply to your original post:

Lay the 4/10.