Baccarat betting strategy
July 6th, 2015 at 11:06:10 PM
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Hi guys,
I have been working on this baccarat strategy for almost three months. it is basically a form of progressive betting system. However, I do not double my bets after every lose. I optimized the bets with two goals in mind. 1- prevent forming astronomical bets after several losses and 2-Accepting small to moderate losses in +7 losses and accepting defeat on 13+ loss streaks.
I wrote a code using MATLAB and tried the strategy over wizard's simulated 1000 shoes and 25,000 shoes. the simulations show it results in great profit in the long run. for example by the end of 25,000 shoes it reaches 170,000 for starting with 2,500. because of long loss streaks sometimes you see losses up to 7000-8000 but in the long run it is total profit. the maximum amount you need to bet is 3,000(for the worst case of losing 13 times in a row) and the minimum is 10 in this strategy.
My question is, would it be called beating the house? starting from 2,500 and making 170,000 after 25,000 shoes with almost a constant rate? (as I said before, you still lose considerable amount in between).
I would appreciate your comments.
I have been working on this baccarat strategy for almost three months. it is basically a form of progressive betting system. However, I do not double my bets after every lose. I optimized the bets with two goals in mind. 1- prevent forming astronomical bets after several losses and 2-Accepting small to moderate losses in +7 losses and accepting defeat on 13+ loss streaks.
I wrote a code using MATLAB and tried the strategy over wizard's simulated 1000 shoes and 25,000 shoes. the simulations show it results in great profit in the long run. for example by the end of 25,000 shoes it reaches 170,000 for starting with 2,500. because of long loss streaks sometimes you see losses up to 7000-8000 but in the long run it is total profit. the maximum amount you need to bet is 3,000(for the worst case of losing 13 times in a row) and the minimum is 10 in this strategy.
My question is, would it be called beating the house? starting from 2,500 and making 170,000 after 25,000 shoes with almost a constant rate? (as I said before, you still lose considerable amount in between).
I would appreciate your comments.
July 7th, 2015 at 12:17:23 AM
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Quote: pesarak007I have been working on this baccarat strategy for almost three months. . .
I wrote a code using MATLAB and . . . the simulations show it results in great profit in the long run. . . 170,000 for starting with 2,500.
I would appreciate your comments.
I suspect your simulation did not halt when you busted out on the way to that 170,000.
Run it again. and plot a chart of bankroll from start to finish. See how many times it goes negative.
Then do it with real money and post it on youtube, especially the last dollar getting flushed down the pan.
Psalm 25:16
Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted.
Proverbs 18:2
A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
July 7th, 2015 at 7:38:02 AM
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Quote: pesarak007I wrote a code using MATLAB and tried the strategy over wizard's simulated 1000 shoes and 25,000 shoes. the simulations show it results in great profit in the long run. for example by the end of 25,000 shoes it reaches 170,000 for starting with 2,500. because of long loss streaks sometimes you see losses up to 7000-8000 but in the long run it is total profit.
If you're lucky.
Could you post the progression of bets you use in the system? Some of us can simulate tens of millions of baccarat shoes. 25,000 shoes is usually not enough to show the true long term effects.
Also, if you have "moderate" losses on loss streaks of 7 or more, how much do you lose overall in a loss streak of 13? It has to be more than 3000, since that is what your 13th bet is.
