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steeldco
steeldco 
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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April 15th, 2017 at 7:29:55 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
 Orioles 143 +130Dogs 7X's
 Cardinals EV Focus 7X's
 Brewers 104
 Rockies 115
 Rays 192 Focus 7X's
 Athletics 140 +130Dogs 7X's
 Tigers 140 +130Dogs 7X's
 Padres 108
 Diamondbacks 156 +130Dogs 7X's
 Rangers 145 +130Dogs 7X's
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco 
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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April 15th, 2017 at 8:35:52 AM permalink
In going through the stats, based upon a pattern that I noticed, I hereby declare that I will have YUUGGEEE day tomorrow, Sunday.
Will I be right? We'll see if the baseball gods allow it...............
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
mustangsally
mustangsally
Joined: Mar 29, 2011
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  • Posts: 1971
April 15th, 2017 at 8:46:39 AM permalink
Quote: bazooooka

I assume you must be betting a tiny percentage of your bankroll on your normal 1 unit bets.

I think the assumption U made
is not correct.

S just makes unit bets and in the past and looks like this year, $100 is the unit bet.
I show max cash out-of-pocket to be $3,652.00.
I did not yet double-check that

that is 36.52 units
Sally
I Heart Vi Hart
gamerfreak
gamerfreak 
Joined: Dec 28, 2014
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April 15th, 2017 at 10:39:44 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

In going through the stats, based upon a pattern that I noticed, I hereby declare that I will have YUUGGEEE day tomorrow, Sunday.
Will I be right? We'll see if the baseball gods allow it...............


Do you parlay any bets for a small amount?

Not sure how many days are in the season, but I know you usually have 1 or 2 perfects so I feel like a small parlay could be profitable.
steeldco
steeldco 
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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April 15th, 2017 at 11:00:30 AM permalink
gamerfreak, I'm afraid that historically I've have never done well with parlays, robins, etc. So many years ago, I pretty much gave those up.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
beachmonkey
beachmonkey
Joined: May 13, 2015
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April 15th, 2017 at 6:50:46 PM permalink
Quote: gamerfreak

Do you parlay any bets for a small amount?

Not sure how many days are in the season, but I know you usually have 1 or 2 perfects so I feel like a small parlay could be profitable.



Yes it does work but most people do not have the patience for the ten or twenty days between returns . I started years ago wit $100 bank betting NRL in Australia as I played in work tipping competition I found I picked perfect round at least twice a season and half rounds many times more. I would never win end of year tipping competition so I thought I would use that outlay to bet live each weekend. End of that first season I made more than prizes pool of work competition. Then I found this thread four years ago and started using same method with tips supplied by steeldco. Haven't looked backwards since. Bank account is good. I tend to split big days tips ie 8 or more selection into two or three mini rounds and usually take a complete opposite round to the one tipped ie bet the whole round to loose as well. Small outlays plus good tips plus methodical approach plus patience = big returns. Hopefully answers your questions. Have fun.
beachmonkey
beachmonkey
Joined: May 13, 2015
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April 15th, 2017 at 6:54:21 PM permalink
I signed up as members two years ago to say thanks for tips but had been looking through site and forums for a few years beforehand.
GWAE
GWAE
Joined: Sep 20, 2013
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April 15th, 2017 at 7:09:06 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

I'm not going to get into how the algorithm was constructed since there are many variables with many changes and additions through the several years of development. I can tell you what I started with and that was a belief that GOOD PITCHING DOESN'T BEAT GOOD HITTING. I can tell you that I wasn't entirely right about that, but it led me down interesting paths.

As far as your belief that even money line favorites often lose 7 in a row, I can tell you that last year the +130dogs never lost more than 5 days in a row. It happened only once. Only twice did it get to 4 consecutive losing days. And these are picks that are on average much larger dogs than even money picks.



Hahaha, that 1 time was the 5 day period that I decided to bet with you.
steeldco
steeldco 
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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April 16th, 2017 at 6:11:50 AM permalink
Quote: GWAE

Hahaha, that 1 time was the 5 day period that I decided to bet with you.




Wow....now that was awfully unlucky.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco 
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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  • Posts: 4722
April 16th, 2017 at 6:12:45 AM permalink
Yesterday was just plain 'ole sad............

 Orioles -700
 Cardinals -700
 Brewers -100
 Rockies +115
 Rays -700
 Athletics -700
 Tigers -700
 Padres -100
 Diamondbacks -700
 Rangers -700

Yesterday's results: -4,985
+130dogs -3,500
Other dogs -85
Favorites 0
Focus Picks -1,400

YTD Total -1,336
+130dogs +1,225
Other dogs +47
Favorites -879
Focus Picks -1,729
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.

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