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Shootress
Shootress
Joined: Jul 29, 2016
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April 6th, 2017 at 9:42:17 AM permalink
Yeah, if the game ended in the 8th we would have been golden! :)
!
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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April 6th, 2017 at 10:05:50 AM permalink
Golden would be good......how do I acquire that Midas touch in sports betting? :-)
In process of composing "Ninth Inning Blues".............
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
BTLWI
BTLWI
Joined: Nov 6, 2013
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April 6th, 2017 at 11:05:31 AM permalink
What are you expecting​ compared to last year's results?
steeldco
steeldco
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Thanks for this post from:
BTLWI
April 6th, 2017 at 12:14:52 PM permalink
My expectation would be to be similar to last year's results. Nothing has changed. No subjectivity involved. I expect it to be consistent.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
RS
RS
Joined: Feb 11, 2014
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April 6th, 2017 at 12:38:03 PM permalink
I haven't followed all this stuff super closely over the years, so forgive my ignorance in asking this -- but what has changed from 2014/2015 to 2016/2017? Seems like 2014-2015 you had losing seasons, but 2016 a great winning season, and a great winning season projection for 2017. Have you just gotten your algorithm(s) more accurate?
"What would Brian Boitano do?"
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
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April 6th, 2017 at 12:40:49 PM permalink
Quote: RS

I haven't followed all this stuff super closely over the years, so forgive my ignorance in asking this -- but what has changed from 2014/2015 to 2016/2017? Seems like 2014-2015 you had losing seasons, but 2016 a great winning season, and a great winning season projection for 2017. Have you just gotten your algorithm(s) more accurate?

Are you including the All Star games?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
steeldco
steeldco
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April 6th, 2017 at 1:14:02 PM permalink
Quote: RS

I haven't followed all this stuff super closely over the years, so forgive my ignorance in asking this -- but what has changed from 2014/2015 to 2016/2017? Seems like 2014-2015 you had losing seasons, but 2016 a great winning season, and a great winning season projection for 2017. Have you just gotten your algorithm(s) more accurate?



I had been tweaking the algorithm up until somewhere around the middle of the 2015 season (I'd have to look back to be certain). Since then it's performed awfully well, and with enough picks and winning that it was statistically significant.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
RS
RS
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April 6th, 2017 at 2:03:25 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

I had been tweaking the algorithm up until somewhere around the middle of the 2015 season (I'd have to look back to be certain). Since then it's performed awfully well, and with enough picks and winning that it was statistically significant.


Okay. That's what I figured.

Another question -- what is the minimum advantage you want/get on a bet? What about the 7X bets?

PS: White Sox are lookin great today.
"What would Brian Boitano do?"
steeldco
steeldco
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April 6th, 2017 at 2:26:17 PM permalink
Quote: RS

Okay. That's what I figured.

Another question -- what is the minimum advantage you want/get on a bet? What about the 7X bets?

PS: White Sox are lookin great today.



RS, I look for the dogs that I believe have a 45% probability of winning the game. The 7Xs bets are meant to take advantage of what appears to be better performance at the beginning of the year. Throttled down later in the year.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
RS
RS
Joined: Feb 11, 2014
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April 6th, 2017 at 2:44:51 PM permalink
Quote: steeldco

RS, I look for the dogs that I believe have a 45% probability of winning the game. The 7Xs bets are meant to take advantage of what appears to be better performance at the beginning of the year. Throttled down later in the year.



Gotcha.

I assume for bets at like +103, you expect them to have a higher win chance of winning (to give the bet an advantage) than 45%, almost 50%? Or would you still bet them at +103 even if you perceive them to have a 45% chance of winning (making it a disadvantage bet)?
"What would Brian Boitano do?"

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