First card Ace?
February 13th, 2022 at 4:07:08 AM
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If I knew my first card was going to be an Ace (dealer accidental exposure) before I bet.
How much of an advantage is that?
New shoe double deck, so running count is 0.
How much of an advantage is that?
New shoe double deck, so running count is 0.
February 13th, 2022 at 5:47:08 AM
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I can't be bothered to calculate it, but it's enormous. Bet the farm. (OK. not really, but I'd go with half of whatever the session bankroll you had at that time. Allowing for if you are unlucky enough to get another ace. You'd be a bit unlucky to get 3 aces $:o)Quote: sunsetIf I knew my first card was going to be an Ace (dealer accidental exposure) before I bet.
How much of an advantage is that?
New shoe double deck, so running count is 0.
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I once had a dealer reveal the first 3 cards in a heads up game. I had Ace Ace against his 8. Back then, I was too timid. In hindsight, I should have bet the farm on the Perfect Pairs sidebet.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/blackjack/20800-dealer-error-an-unusual-ap-opportunity-advice-and-comments-please/
Beware. The earth is NOT flat.
Hit and run is not a winning strategy:
Pressing into trends IS not a winning strategy:
Progressives are not a winning strategy:
Don't Buy It! .Don't even take it for free.
February 13th, 2022 at 5:58:39 AM
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I could be misremembering but I believe the edge is somewhere around 52-53% and the Kelly bet 42.08%. So, around 1/3 of your farm, or at least the portions of the farm that are on the table up to table max.
February 13th, 2022 at 6:08:43 AM
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Quote: mcallister3200I could be misremembering but I believe the edge is somewhere around 52-53% and the Kelly bet 42.08%. So, around 1/3 of your farm, or at least the portions of the farm that are on the table up to table max.
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I remember when the San Remo opened they were offering some free Ace coupons for BJ and they didn't limit the amount you could bet. Basically you could bet table max. If I remember correctly it lasted many days and maybe even a week
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
February 13th, 2022 at 6:36:49 AM
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Thanks! While under the gun and having to decide quickly, I just wasn't sure what to do.
My thoughts were, this has to be a big advantage, so I should raise...
but it is one of the few places that I play rated, so I didn't want to raise suspicion.
I placed my normal max bet...ended up winning the hand (but not a blackjack).
Thanks for responding!
My thoughts were, this has to be a big advantage, so I should raise...
but it is one of the few places that I play rated, so I didn't want to raise suspicion.
I placed my normal max bet...ended up winning the hand (but not a blackjack).
Thanks for responding!
February 13th, 2022 at 6:51:06 AM
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See here - https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/blackjack/36893-9up-sidebet/#post840231 - where the advantage of an Ace is discussed. The EV for an Ace (UK rules) was about +37% for UK rules.
February 13th, 2022 at 6:53:42 AM
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Excellent
Thank you charliepatrick!
Thank you charliepatrick!
February 13th, 2022 at 12:01:23 PM
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February 13th, 2022 at 12:04:44 PM
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My article "An Ace or Ten in the Hand" covers this question.
https://www.888casino.com/blog/blackjack-tips/blackjack-an-ace-or-ten-in-the-hand
https://www.888casino.com/blog/blackjack-tips/blackjack-an-ace-or-ten-in-the-hand
Climate Casino: https://climatecasino.net/climate-casino/
February 13th, 2022 at 2:10:39 PM
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^ ^^ Thanks - I forgot to add the EV on the game I referenced includes the 20% fee you pay for non-BJ hands, hence why that 37% is much lower than the (about) 50% being quoted.
