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camapl
camapl
Joined: Jun 22, 2010
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July 19th, 2022 at 4:08:40 AM permalink
Quote: ThatDonGuy

Since nobody else has published one today, here's a (relatively) easy one for Monday:

A recent census came up with some surprising numbers.
For all positive integers N, if you look at all of the families with N children, it turns out that the number of families with 0, 1, 2, ..., N boys is proportional to what it would be if the probability of any particular child being a boy was 1/2 (which, theoretically, it is, at least if you assume that all of the males are XY).
For example, among all of the families with 4 children, 1/16 of them have four boys, 1/4 have three boys and a girl, 3/8 have two boys and two girls, 1/4 have one boy and three girls, and 1/16 have four girls.
For any particular value of N, do more of the boys in N-child familes or more of the girls in those families have any sisters?
link to original post



Thanks for Monday’s question, although I’m answering on Tuesday!

Considering your example, where N = 4, as you’ve already done the math, boys have a sister 1/4 + 3/8 + 1/4 = 7/8 or 14/16 of the time, and girls have a sister 3/8 + 1/4 + 1/16 = 11/16 of the time. If you prefer a simpler example, consider N = 2. You only have 2 girls (girl with a sister) 1/2 * 1/2 = 1/4 of the time, while a boy has a sister (1/2 * 1/2) + (1/2 * 1/2) = 1/2 of the time. Answer: more boys than girls have a sister. Consequently, more girls than boys have a brother.
* Actual results may vary.
Gialmere
Gialmere
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July 19th, 2022 at 8:57:38 AM permalink
It's toughie Tuesday. Back to goats...



The cross section of a shed is a 10 foot by 10 foot square. The shed is located in the center of an open, level field.

A goat is tethered to one corner of the shed by a forty foot rope. The goat cannot enter the shed.

What is the area over which the goat can graze?



Picture not to scale.
Have you tried 22 tonight? I said 22.
ChesterDog
ChesterDog
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Thanks for this post from:
Gialmere
July 19th, 2022 at 4:38:59 PM permalink
Quote: Gialmere

It's toughie Tuesday. Back to goats...



The cross section of a shed is a 10 foot by 10 foot square. The shed is located in the center of an open, level field.

A goat is tethered to one corner of the shed by a forty foot rope. The goat cannot enter the shed.

What is the area over which the goat can graze?



Picture not to scale.
link to original post




I get about 4,847.07 square feet.

This is the result of the following expression:

Wizard
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Wizard
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July 19th, 2022 at 4:40:17 PM permalink
Quote: Gialmere

What is the area over which the goat can graze?
link to original post



I'm getting the answer below, but my confidence is not very high. If I'm right, I'll provide a solution.

4891.25444 square feet


Hoping to get a reply to my reply to my reply on the probability of a sister problem.
“Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.” -- Carl Sagan
ThatDonGuy
ThatDonGuy
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July 19th, 2022 at 4:57:06 PM permalink
Quote: camapl

Quote: ThatDonGuy

Since nobody else has published one today, here's a (relatively) easy one for Monday:

A recent census came up with some surprising numbers.
For all positive integers N, if you look at all of the families with N children, it turns out that the number of families with 0, 1, 2, ..., N boys is proportional to what it would be if the probability of any particular child being a boy was 1/2 (which, theoretically, it is, at least if you assume that all of the males are XY).
For example, among all of the families with 4 children, 1/16 of them have four boys, 1/4 have three boys and a girl, 3/8 have two boys and two girls, 1/4 have one boy and three girls, and 1/16 have four girls.
For any particular value of N, do more of the boys in N-child familes or more of the girls in those families have any sisters?
link to original post



Thanks for Monday’s question, although I’m answering on Tuesday!

Considering your example, where N = 4, as you’ve already done the math, boys have a sister 1/4 + 3/8 + 1/4 = 7/8 or 14/16 of the time, and girls have a sister 3/8 + 1/4 + 1/16 = 11/16 of the time. If you prefer a simpler example, consider N = 2. You only have 2 girls (girl with a sister) 1/2 * 1/2 = 1/4 of the time, while a boy has a sister (1/2 * 1/2) + (1/2 * 1/2) = 1/2 of the time. Answer: more boys than girls have a sister. Consequently, more girls than boys have a brother.

link to original post



You are counting how many families with boys versus how families with girls have sisters. I am looking for the actual numbers of boys and girls with sisters.

For example, your 1/16 value for the girls forgets that this is four girls that have one or more sisters.

Wizard
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Wizard
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Thanks for this post from:
camapl
July 19th, 2022 at 5:19:48 PM permalink
Quote: ChesterDog



I get about 4,847.07 square feet.

This is the result of the following expression:


link to original post



I see we're a little off. For now, let me throw out this diagram for purposes of discussion.



Here is some breakdown of my answer.

Area Size qty Total
Big quarter slices 1256.637061 3 3769.911184
Small slices 457.5939873 2 915.187975
Triangle 103.0776406 2 206.155281
Total 4891.254440
Last edited by: Wizard on Jul 19, 2022
“Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.” -- Carl Sagan
ChesterDog
ChesterDog
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July 19th, 2022 at 6:34:10 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Quote: ChesterDog



I get about 4,847.07 square feet.

This is the result of the following expression:


link to original post



I see we're a little off. For now, let me throw out this diagram for purposes of discussion.



Here is some breakdown of my answer.

Area Size qty Total
Big quarter slices 1256.637061 3 3769.911184
Small slices 457.5939873 2 915.187975
Triangle 103.0776406 2 206.155281
Total 4891.254440

link to original post



That's a good diagram!

I found the area of the upper yellow triangle by doing half the product of its base and height. I used 10 feet as the base.

To calculate its height, I used point A as the origin and found the intersection of the line y = x - 10 with the circle x2 + y2 = 900.

For the intersection point at point D I got x = -15.615528 and y = -25.615528. I used 15.615528 as the yellow triangle's height. So, I found one yellow triangle's area is (1/2)(10)(15.615528) = 78.077641
ThatDonGuy
ThatDonGuy
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Gialmere
July 19th, 2022 at 8:22:45 PM permalink
Quote: ChesterDog


That's a good diagram!

I found the area of the upper yellow triangle by doing half the product of its base and height. I used 10 feet as the base.

To calculate its height, I used point A as the origin and found the intersection of the line y = x - 10 with the circle x2 + y2 = 900.

For the intersection point at point D I got x = -15.615528 and y = -25.615528. I used 15.615528 as the yellow triangle's height. So, I found one yellow triangle's area is (1/2)(10)(15.615528) = 78.077641
link to original post


Here's what I get:
AC = 10, AD = 30, and angle ACD = 135 degrees
Law of Sines: (sin ADC) / 10 = (sin ACD) / 30, so sin ADC = (sin ACD) / 3 = sqrt(2) / 6; also, cos^2 ACD = 1 - sin^2 ACD = 17/18, so cos ACD = sqrt(34) / 6
Angle CAD = 180 - (ACD + 135) = 45 - ACD, so sin CAD = sin 45 cos ACD - cos 45 sin ACD = (sqrt(2) / 2) (cos ACD - sin ACD)
= (sqrt(2) / 2) (sqrt(34) - sqrt(2)) / 6
= (2 sqrt(17) - 2) / 12 = (sqrt(17) - 1) / 6
Area of CAD = 1/2 AC AD sin CAD = 150 (sqrt(17) - 1) / 6 = 25 (sqrt(17) - 1), which matches ChesterDog's number
camapl
camapl
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July 20th, 2022 at 1:11:26 AM permalink
Quote: ThatDonGuy

Quote: camapl

Quote: ThatDonGuy

Since nobody else has published one today, here's a (relatively) easy one for Monday:

A recent census came up with some surprising numbers.
For all positive integers N, if you look at all of the families with N children, it turns out that the number of families with 0, 1, 2, ..., N boys is proportional to what it would be if the probability of any particular child being a boy was 1/2 (which, theoretically, it is, at least if you assume that all of the males are XY).
For example, among all of the families with 4 children, 1/16 of them have four boys, 1/4 have three boys and a girl, 3/8 have two boys and two girls, 1/4 have one boy and three girls, and 1/16 have four girls.
For any particular value of N, do more of the boys in N-child familes or more of the girls in those families have any sisters?
link to original post



Thanks for Monday’s question, although I’m answering on Tuesday!

Considering your example, where N = 4, as you’ve already done the math, boys have a sister 1/4 + 3/8 + 1/4 = 7/8 or 14/16 of the time, and girls have a sister 3/8 + 1/4 + 1/16 = 11/16 of the time. If you prefer a simpler example, consider N = 2. You only have 2 girls (girl with a sister) 1/2 * 1/2 = 1/4 of the time, while a boy has a sister (1/2 * 1/2) + (1/2 * 1/2) = 1/2 of the time. Answer: more boys than girls have a sister. Consequently, more girls than boys have a brother.

link to original post



You are counting how many families with boys versus how families with girls have sisters. I am looking for the actual numbers of boys and girls with sisters.

For example, your 1/16 value for the girls forgets that this is four girls that have one or more sisters.


link to original post



For N = 4, boys have a sister 3 * 1/4 + 2 * 3/8 + 1 * 1/4 = 1-3/4 of the time, and girls have a sister 2 * 3/8 + 3 * 1/4 + 4 * 1/16 = 1-3/4 of the time. Thus, an equal number of boys and girls have a sister, as Mr. Wizard answered first.

For N=2, boys have a sister 1/2 the time (no change), while girls have a sister 2 * 1/2 * 1/2 = 1/2 the time as well.
* Actual results may vary.
Wizard
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Wizard
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Gialmere
July 20th, 2022 at 5:59:43 AM permalink
As to the goat problem, I now agree with CD. I had a couple of mistakes, including not subtracting out half the size of the shed.

Area Size qty Total
Big quarter slices 1256.637061 3 3769.911184
Small slices 460.5026797 2 921.005359
Triangle 103.0776406 2 206.155281
Less quarter square -25 2 -50.000000
Total 4847.071825


I also computed angle ADC incorrectly. It is atan(sqrt(2)/sqrt(34)).
“Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.” -- Carl Sagan

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