If you bet across each roll you'll have a 69.4% fo winning (4,5,6,8,9,10) . 13.9% chance of push (2,3,11,12). 16.7% chance of loss (7).

If I made my strategy to hit 5 box numbers, then take my bet down, what would the odds of that be?

I know its not .6944^5 as you do not need to hit it 5 times in a row. So there must be a more complicated equation

Quote:XurTrying to determine the odds of making X number of box numbers before crapping out.

If you bet across each roll you'll have a 69.4% fo winning (4,5,6,8,9,10) . 13.9% chance of push (2,3,11,12). 16.7% chance of loss (7).

If I made my strategy to hit 5 box numbers, then take my bet down, what would the odds of that be?

I know its not .6944^5 as you do not need to hit it 5 times in a row. So there must be a more complicated equation

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Didn’t check your probabilities but if they are right then it’s:

(0.694/(1-0.139))^5

You just need to gross up the probability of hitting to ignore tie outcomes.

Quote:XurTrying to determine the odds of making X number of box numbers before crapping out.

If you bet across each roll you'll have a 69.4% fo winning (4,5,6,8,9,10) . 13.9% chance of push (2,3,11,12). 16.7% chance of loss (7).

If I made my strategy to hit 5 box numbers, then take my bet down, what would the odds of that be?

I know its not .6944^5 as you do not need to hit it 5 times in a row. So there must be a more complicated equation

link to original post

No player has ever crapped out.

They 7 out!

Quote:XurI always thought it was called crapping out…TIL it’s just when you lose your pass line on a 2,3,12.

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Hopefully that tidbit alone was worth the price of admission!

May I ask... is your name a reference to the Kodan Armada?

(... and Welcome to the forum.)

Please define “crapping out”.Quote:XurTrying to determine the odds of making X number of box numbers before crapping out.

Politely