Anyway, here's the math:
1984 was 27 years ago. $620 in 1984 equates to $1,300 in 2011 dollars when you factor in increases in CPI (inflation).
However, an even better measure would be to compare using the GDP per capita increases from 1984 to 2011. This is a better indication when we want to compare how the price of something compares through time with wage increases considered. $620 in 1984 would equate to $1,760 in todays dollars.
So, as you can see, mortgage prices aren't that far off from what they were in 1984, especially when we consider the cost as a percent of the average wage. In other words, the percent of salary that the mortgage costs for the average American is roughly the same or even perhaps slightly lower than what it was in 1984.
Quote: EvenBobWe got the house we live in now, in 1984. Paid off the mortgage in 1997. The monthly payment when it was paid off was a whopping $620 a month.
I got my house in 2002 and my mortgage is less than that ($560). That's the one advantage of living in Michigan.
I gave up on it, and found myself a house. 2 1/2 times bigger, and my mortgage payment is $550 a month, on a 15-year fixed loan, although I pay more than that each month. I'm waiting for the condo to get foreclosed on. And, yes, I'm happy to be contributing to the continuing decline of the housing market.
Quote: konceptumAppraised at $145k, and I got it for $115k. Quite a deal, huh? Now the estimated value is around $18k. .
Is this a typo? Its now worth $18,000?
Quote: EvenBobIf your mortgage payment is eating up 50% of your take home pay, something is wrong with your lifestyle..
A bigger suprise to me was always what people will accept as a car payment. People making mid $20s would not blink at $400-450 a month. Perhaps the recent recession will get people to think before they buy. My hope is that we do not bail out all these "underwater" mortgages. People seem to fail to realize the balance of the loan is seperate from what the collateral is worth as it is.
Quote: EvenBobIs this a typo? Its now worth $18,000?
Not a typo. The 2012 tax assessment came in at $23,500. However, a short sale realtor told me that I could expect to receive around $16-$18k for it, based upon existing sales data. Essentially, it's commonly believed that only an investor would be interested in the condo.
Of all the condos that sold in that complex, only the ones that were purchased in cash are still held by the original owners. All the condos that were financed with a mortgage have either already been short sold, or are currently in short sale proceedings or foreclosure proceedings. In other words, none of those that were financed are having payments made on them on those original mortgages. Also, all of the people, including the ones that paid in cash, have stopped making their HOA payments.
Quote: konceptumNot a typo. The 2012 tax assessment came in at $23,500. However, a short sale realtor told me that I could expect to receive around $16-$18k for it,
Good god. I know a guy who bought a condo in FL for 160K and they're now selling for 40K, but 150 to 18? Thats worse than the Depression.
I would hazard to guess that this would make the property worth even less than the realtor's estimate. However, at the same time, for an investor, making only $18k for a unit that they could probably rent for $700 a month isn't a bad idea. And if you were a retired person and just needed someone place to cheap to live, that would work for you as well.
Besides the property dropping in value, the biggest annoyance to me was the loss of the golf course. My unit faced out toward one of the water hazards that was always populated by ducks. I used to be able to come home and sit on my front porch and feed the ducks. It was very relaxing.
2007 -- 100,500
2008 -- 95,500
2009 -- 91,500
2010 -- 72,000
2011 -- 31,000
2012 -- 23,500
Not that tax assessments are 100% accurate, but here you can see that even the county figures it to be worth 25% of what it used to be.
Wow, that is crazy. Where in Phx. do you live? AZ is a clusterfuck of land use.Quote: konceptumThe short sale realtor gave me that estimate several months ago. The complex was surrounded by a golf course. The golf course subsequently went out of business, and the property sold to developers. Nothing happened for a long time, so the complex was just surrounded by dirt fields and giant holes where the water hazards used to be. Then, earlier this year, Circle K bought the land directly in front of my unit. It took them a few months to get it built, but now there is a Circle K directly outside the front door of my unit. I measured it once, and the property line is 13 feet from my front door.
Quote: teddysWow, that is crazy. Where in Phx. do you live? AZ is a clusterfuck of land use.
I no longer live there (as mentioned, I now own a house), but the condo complex is near 19th Ave and Northern. If you're familiar with the area, drive west on Northern from 19th ave. Before you get to the freeway, you'll see the new Circle K on the north side of the street. Look just past the Circle K, and you'll see the condo complex. If you look carefully, you'll see that one of the doors is a lighter brown than the others around it. That's my American Dream (TM).
One of my complaints about how the land is being used in Phoenix is the creation of "in-fills". I know of a lady that owned a house near the center of Phoenix, in a nice neighborhood. Being an older neighborhood, there's no HOA, which of course is usually desirable. When the housing market was skyrocketing, people were selling off their homes to cash in on the money. Developers were buying the houses, which are on large lots, tearing down the houses, and replacing them with 2 or 3 smaller homes. This worked for a while, and then when the housing market went back down, a lot of this got thrown out the window.
As a result, her old (she doesn't live there anymore) neighborhood looks, at least in my opinion, awful. You still have some of the old concrete block homes that have been there seemingly forever. But next to them you'll have 2 or 3 of these modern tiny houses with no yards. Or, even worse, the start of the construction of these modern tiny houses.
Quote: konceptumAnd, yes, I'm happy to be contributing to the continuing decline of the housing market.
That is messed up, I feel bad that you took a bath on the property but it is VERY lame that you (and many others) are happy to stick the bank with the shortfall. I assume you are able to make the payments regardless of the value. If it had tripled in value would you have shared the profit with them?
Quote: konceptum
2007 -- 100,500
2008 -- 95,500
2009 -- 91,500
2010 -- 72,000
2011 -- 31,000
2012 -- 23,500
.
A perfect example of how supply and demand sets the prices for everything. People with money made a fortune in the Depression buying up cheap property and things like estate jewelry.
Quote: Scotty71That is messed up, I feel bad that you took a bath on the property but it is VERY lame that you (and many others) are happy to stick the bank with the shortfall. I assume you are able to make the payments regardless of the value. If it had tripled in value would you have shared the profit with them?
And therein lies the "Moral Hazard" argument against bailouts.
Of course I'm lucky, as St. Louis is pretty cheap for housing compared to a lot of other places.
Quote: Scotty71That is messed up, I feel bad that you took a bath on the property but it is VERY lame that you (and many others) are happy to stick the bank with the shortfall. I assume you are able to make the payments regardless of the value. If it had tripled in value would you have shared the profit with them?
The bank should have priced this risk into the interest rate. That's their job. If they failed to do so properly they should lose the money and potentially go bankrupt. That's capitalism.
Quote: rJz$2300 a month, up to $3300 a month by the time you add taxes and insurance.
Don't forget interest
Quote: Toes14Bought my house in 2001 for $180k. Put $20k down, financing the rest on an adjustable mortgage that keeps dropping. It's now at 3.25%, so I doubt it'll get any lower. Our total monthly payment is about $1050 now.
Of course I'm lucky, as St. Louis is pretty cheap for housing compared to a lot of other places.
Some would say you are unlucky to be living in St. Louis
Quote: crazyiamThe bank should have priced this risk into the interest rate. That's their job. If they failed to do so properly they should lose the money and potentially go bankrupt. That's capitalism.
I get the capitalism and risk aspect. There is a good chance it is fannie mae or freddi mac owned debt which means that US the taxpayer eats the loss in the end, not the bank.
He/She is suckling at your teet now...enjoy!
Quote: JIMMYFOCKERSome would say you are unlucky to be living in St. Louis
Please elaborate . . .
Quote: Scotty71I get the capitalism and risk aspect. There is a good chance it is fannie mae or freddi mac owned debt which means that US the taxpayer eats the loss in the end, not the bank.
He/She is suckling at your teet now...enjoy!
Way to ignore my point! I was talking about how it was not the homeowners fault for defaulting. Bank bailouts are a different issue I don't want to get into here. The homeowner skipping out on his loan is something that banks need to price in and should not be vilified. People should be able to walk away like businesses do from bad loans all the time.
Quote: Scotty71That is messed up, I feel bad that you took a bath on the property but it is VERY lame that you (and many others) are happy to stick the bank with the shortfall.
Yet its fine that banks routinely unload 'bad paper' on unsuspecting investors? Isn't that what got us into this mess to begin with?
http://notyourdaddy.wordpress.com/2010/08/19/a-culture-of-complacency-and-entitlement/
This article really says it all.
Quote: KeyserWhy is it ok to leave your house if it took a 70% dive in value? From where does this sense of entitlement come?
Why is it not OK for people to do what any sensible business would do? Which is either declare bankruptcy or give up an asset worth less than the loan against it?
Quote: KeyserWhy is it ok to leave your house if it took a 70% dive in value? From where does this sense of entitlement come? Why does the mortgage holder believe that it's the responsibility of everyone else to pay their mortgage when they no longer feel like paying?
Also, it doesn't become everyone's responsibility, just the banks.
Quote: CrazyiamAlso, it doesn't become everyone's responsibility, just the banks.
Sorry, but when you stick it to the bank, keep in mind that you're sticking it to everyone else.
Quote: KeyserSorry, but when you stick it to the bank, keep in mind that you're sticking it to everyone else.
I fail to see how that is true in most cases. If the bank goes bankrupt maybe it hits other people. If not it hits the people who invested in the bank that made a poor decision or got unlucky with a bad loan. That's the risk inherent in capitalism.
Quote:Under the early Roman Republic, a person could pledge himself as a collateral for a loan, in a type of contract called Nexum. If he failed to pay, he was liable to become his creditor's slave.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debtors%27_prison
Quote: Scotty71That is messed up, I feel bad that you took a bath on the property but it is VERY lame that you (and many others) are happy to stick the bank with the shortfall. I assume you are able to make the payments regardless of the value. If it had tripled in value would you have shared the profit with them?
With all due respect, I wholeheartedly disagree. I live in Phoenix also. What has happened here is a product of greed for sure, but to say the greed was initiated and fed by consumers who simply walked away from properties and left banks in an awful situation is wrong, in my opinion. Entering into a contract with a bank is a no different than any other business deal. Both parties have risk, both parties have potential reward and both parties have necessary due diligence that should lead them to accept or reject said deal. The banks, by way of greed, are just as guilty (probably more) for letting a person who earns 40K a year buy six houses or one house that is well beyond his means. In our state, foreclosure is actually a form of loan satisfaction and while it seems "lame" to some, it is a business decision and when faced with the prospect of NEVER in your lifetime recovering from the loss of property value and when you can walk across the street and buy a bigger, nicer house for far less money than your last property (before your foreclosure finals) even wonderful people choose this. Add to it the banks' unwillingness to work with people, adjust mortgages and their unwavering support from our government that makes their hardships less so, and it really makes a lot of sense. The American Dream was fine. Banks turned it into the American Wet Dream and it got messy. I bought the house in which I live, in 1993, but it will be a cold day in hell when I shed a tear for a bank.
For those that don't know what pocket doors look like:
Quote: KeyserThe door frame there looks like it needs some work. The trim doesn't quite line up correctly.
Who cares, its a generic photo from Google on 'pocket doors'.
Quote: EvenBobPeople pay 50K for a car that someday will be worth nothing, and it doesn't seem to bother them. As soon as they drive it home, its usually worth less than what they owe on it. Buying real estate for 50K, and it goes down in value, people freak out.
Well, strictly speaking, a home is also worth less than you owe on it at the moment of purchase.
But the difference is there. The real estate boom has built a sense of entitlement into the public; people have come to not only expect a home to keep increasing their net worth, but to see it as its primary function. However, this can't work in the long run - the added value has to come from somewhere, and a building doesn't produce tangible goods or services by just being there. If the average family had 6-8 kids, or if the borders were wide open, there could be the value of scarcity, but that isn't the case either.
Quote: EvenBobWho cares, its a generic photo from Google on 'pocket doors'.
Pocket doors are cool, but they limit the ability to place electrical switches and sockets next to the door. Probably why they've fallen out of favor. We have one in our master bath, but our neighbors who have the same design wanted an outlet next to the left-hand sink on the vanity for the husband's electric shaver and had to scrap the pocket door to get it.
If I told you what my mortgage payments were, you'd cry. And we bought short sales, foreclosures, and new construction. At least our home that we actually live in is a 15-year mortgage and almost paid up, so if something extremely bad happened we could let the investment properties go and not be homeless. But I'm not the type to walk away from a commitment.
Quote: P90
But the difference is there. The real estate boom has built a sense of entitlement into the public; people have come to not only expect a home to keep increasing their net worth, but to see it as its primary function.
This a relatively new phenom. If you bought a house in 1910, and sold it in 1940, you could expect to only get what you paid for it, plus whatever inflation had occurred in 30 years. It wasn't until after WWII and the explosion of a new middle class that there became a housing demand and it kept going for the next 60 years. It was a market that was hugely over inflated and just waiting to go bust. Nothing has any value on its own, something is only worth what the public is willing to pay for it on a certain day. This is a concept most people can't grasp.
Quote: david63How can I get a mortgage with bad credit?
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Why would you want one?