scepticus
scepticus
Joined: Oct 16, 2013
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February 16th, 2014 at 3:35:06 PM permalink
Quote: Keyser

Scepticus,

I sense that you believe you have a way to beat this game with a system?



My favoured bet is an 8 /1 shot that wins much more than it loses so I smile when I often read that I MUST lose in some undefined " Long Run" . I don't claim that I will win in the Long Run - whenever that may be - only that I win in the Here and Now. That is quite sufficient for me.
.So far as I am concerned all talk of the Long Run is just " noise" .It has no relevance in choosing WHAT and WHEN to bet and at what odds ,and it is that - and only that- which determines whether you win or lose.
My bets are variable depending on a few past results - Sacre Bleu !- so I also reject that other misconception , we can't use previous numbers in our attempt to " beat the odds ".
Buzzard
Buzzard
Joined: Oct 28, 2012
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February 16th, 2014 at 3:42:46 PM permalink
I am willing to bet the Here and Now will disappear when a witness is there ! All those negative vibes from non-believers.
Shed not for her the bitter tear Nor give the heart to vain regret Tis but the casket that lies here, The gem that filled it Sparkles yet
Keyser
Keyser
Joined: Apr 16, 2010
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February 16th, 2014 at 4:28:35 PM permalink
Quote: Scepticus

My bets are variable depending on a few past results



What do the last spins tell you?
scepticus
scepticus
Joined: Oct 16, 2013
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February 16th, 2014 at 5:18:49 PM permalink
[Sounds like a question to a medium !
They tell me that some things are more likely than others..
scepticus
scepticus
Joined: Oct 16, 2013
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February 16th, 2014 at 5:25:30 PM permalink
Quote: Buzzard

I am willing to bet the Here and Now will disappear when a witness is there ! All those negative vibes from non-believers.


But there have been witnesses.They just think I have been lucky though they don't know how I choose my bets. .Do you really think anyone would divulge something that was steadily winning?
I bet this one on every spin and walk when I win or at break-even . Why shouldn't I ?
Beethoven9th
Beethoven9th
Joined: Jul 30, 2012
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February 16th, 2014 at 5:32:39 PM permalink
Quote: scepticus

They tell me that some things are more likely than others..


Uh, no. (See Gambler's Fallacy)
Fighting BS one post at a time!
FleaStiff
FleaStiff
Joined: Oct 19, 2009
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February 16th, 2014 at 5:46:37 PM permalink
Quote: Beethoven9th

Uh, no. (See Gambler's Fallacy)

(Sarcasm On)Reading Gambler's Fallacy is what will make you lose, they are dependent acts.(Sarcasm Off).
Beethoven9th
Beethoven9th
Joined: Jul 30, 2012
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February 16th, 2014 at 6:01:31 PM permalink
Quote: FleaStiff

Reading Gambler's Fallacy is what will make you lose, they are dependent acts.


Huh?
Fighting BS one post at a time!
rob45
rob45
Joined: Jul 24, 2013
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February 16th, 2014 at 6:09:12 PM permalink
Perhaps I'm overlooking a vital piece of information, but why do I get the feeling this thread should have originated in the betting systems forum?
scepticus
scepticus
Joined: Oct 16, 2013
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February 16th, 2014 at 6:10:07 PM permalink
Actually , in the field of betting , mathematicians have themselves proved some things ARE more likely than others.
So the only question is - Can we make use of this.?

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