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MDawg
MDawg
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
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August 1st, 2020 at 7:23:46 AM permalink


Setting aside the rest of what you say, how may you disagree with my statement. The cards are set in the shoe, and whatever happens is fixed.

Welcome! to the Adventures of MDawg, qualified.
I tell you itís wonderful to be here, man. I donít give a damn who wins or loses. Itís just wonderful to be here with you people.
qualified
qualified
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August 1st, 2020 at 8:13:28 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg



Setting aside the rest of what you say, how may you disagree with my statement. The cards are set in the shoe, and whatever happens is fixed.

Welcome! to the Adventures of MDawg, qualified.


Thanks.

Maybe we actually agree. You're right; the cards are fixed.

Maybe we agree on this as well. I am interested in your stance on this issue: IMHO, a baccarat shoe is just as random as someone flipping a coin 70 times, recording the result of each flip, then feeding you the result (from the list of "fixed" results) one at a time, allowing you to bet heads, tails, or skip/no bet. Do you agree?

I humbly admit that I could be wrong on this and many other issues in my own and our lives. There are many things that exist that people classify as bunk, probably because there is a lot of bunk in the mix as well, and maybe there is even more bunk than what's real for certain things.

If you really a professional baccarat player, then congratulations, and I wonder what kind of tips you could give someone. How does one research or practice or what do you do to successfully beat baccarat? I realize one could make tons of money even with a very small edge on table games.

P.S. what is GF? Is that some forum?
MDawg
MDawg
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August 1st, 2020 at 8:53:18 AM permalink
GF = GamblingForums
VCT = VegasCasinoTalk
Yes, forums.

The difference between 70 coin tosses (or 70 spins of the Roulette wheel) and 70 hands in Baccarat is just that the coin toss/spins are truly independent events, where whatever happens is not fixed.

Imagine 10 slot machines in a room. Two are set to payout big. Eight will not payout big. As long as you play those two, you will win.

A room full of ten Baccarat shoes. Already shuffled and placed in the shoes. Let's keep it simple: two have massive bank or player streaks in them, the rest do not. Any decent Baccarat player who runs into those two shoes will clean up. My best shoe ever had parallel runs in it, massive long streaks separated by only one intervening hand of the opposite side. That shoe culminated a $400K trip win for me where I took all of it home.

Once you get past the thinking that "all Baccarat shoes are the same" you may start to understand that it is possible to win at the game.

You can't really listen to anyone who hasn't played the game for a long time. These people might as well be trying to gaze at the world through burlap bags covering their heads. All they do is spout the house edge and insist that it is impossible to win. Leave them be and wish them well.

The main reason Baccarat players lose is they keep playing even after presented with a good shoe or a good streak. The house edge doesn't have much to do with it, and most high rollers just play until they lose their entire bankroll - and for many, this happens much faster than may be explained by the house edge. For most high rollers take away the house edge and they'd still lose consistently every chip in front of them at Baccarat. And again, people who gainsay such statements either haven't won at gambling in their lives or are armchair mathematicians who declare that something cannot be without ever really trying it - they've lost before they've begun. These same people will tell you it's impossible to win at stock trading and yet I book thousands of trades a year at a close to a 100% success rate. I have not won anywhere near 100% of all Baccarat shoes but I have won consistently, and over all, at both Baccarat and Blackjack.

What I will concede is that looking from the outside, it's hard to comprehend how anyone could realize that he is in a good Baccarat shoe versus a bad shoe. But any gambler will tell you that there are times when you realize that there is no way this session will end short of your losing it all, and times when you can't lose a hand. Gamble long enough and you'll know which phase you're in well enough, and how to take advantage.
I tell you itís wonderful to be here, man. I donít give a damn who wins or loses. Itís just wonderful to be here with you people.
coachbelly
coachbelly
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August 1st, 2020 at 9:34:37 AM permalink
Have you ever claimed to be a professional baccarat player?

Have you ever claimed to have a mathematical edge in baccarat?

Is a mathematical edge required to win consistently at baccarat?
DeMango
DeMango
Joined: Feb 2, 2010
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August 1st, 2020 at 10:09:37 AM permalink
Thankfully, Qualified was found to be unqualified to be posting here, good job folks in green!
When a rock is thrown into a pack of dogs, the one that yells the loudest is the one who got hit.
MDawg
MDawg
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
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August 1st, 2020 at 11:02:11 AM permalink

Well after all, he was qualified with a q not a Capital Q. 😎
I tell you itís wonderful to be here, man. I donít give a damn who wins or loses. Itís just wonderful to be here with you people.
MDawg
MDawg
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
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August 1st, 2020 at 11:06:36 AM permalink
Quote: coachbelly

Have you ever claimed to be a professional baccarat player?

Have you ever claimed to have a mathematical edge in baccarat?

Is a mathematical edge required to win consistently at baccarat?


I assume the questions are for me? not for qualified?

1) No

2) The house edge remains.

3) The house edge remains, so, evidently not.
I tell you itís wonderful to be here, man. I donít give a damn who wins or loses. Itís just wonderful to be here with you people.
darkoz
darkoz
Joined: Dec 22, 2009
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August 1st, 2020 at 11:43:57 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

I assume the questions are for me? not for qualified?

1) No

2) The house edge remains.

3) The house edge remains, so, evidently not.



MDawg, you are killing me.

1) Does Darkoz claim to be a scientist

A) no

2) Can a perpetual motion machine work?

A) the laws of science say no

3) Does the laws of science prevent Darkoz from building a perpetual motion machine?

A) He did so evidently not
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
MDawg
MDawg
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
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August 1st, 2020 at 11:45:46 AM permalink
Well, that's the lawyer in me answering carefully. 😇
I tell you itís wonderful to be here, man. I donít give a damn who wins or loses. Itís just wonderful to be here with you people.
TomG
TomG
Joined: Sep 26, 2010
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August 1st, 2020 at 12:01:21 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

I assume the questions are for me? not for qualified?

1) No

2) The house edge remains.

3) The house edge remains, so, evidently not.



You're contradicting yourself. Any game where the player wins money through a repeatable and evidence-based strategy, like you have described with baccarat, has a players edge, not a house edge. Or did you mean there is a negative house edge? Like when I use a match play coupon in roulette, my edge is 42%, which is a house edge of -42%

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