Beat Bac 100%, but very rarely?

In theory, if you watch/play long enough and always count the 10s, wouldn't there would be a situation in which there would be all 10s left in an 8 deck shoe (even before hitting the cut card)? You could then make a max bet on tie, knowing it will come up 0-0. In an 8 deck shoe there are 128 10-value cards. I would think on rare occasions this situation would actually happen and you would know you're going to win. I know the general consensus is bac isn't worth counting, but this is a GUARANTEED win if you ever see it. Anybody know the probability or frequency of seeing this situation?

Quote: camz1969

In theory, if you watch/play long enough and always count the 10s, wouldn't there would be a situation in which there would be all 10s left in an 8 deck shoe (even before hitting the cut card)? You could then make a max bet on tie, knowing it will come up 0-0. In an 8 deck shoe there are 128 10-value cards. I would think on rare occasions this situation would actually happen and you would know you're going to win. I know the general consensus is bac isn't worth counting, but this is a GUARANTEED win if you ever see it. Anybody know the probability or frequency of seeing this situation?

You can read this about the Tie Bet in general:

https://www.888casino.com/blog/baccarat-tips/beating-the-baccarat-tie-bet

Eliot Jacobson, Ph.D. shows that there's almost nothing there on 8-to-1 pays. Almost nothing on 9-1, either, but more than nothing.

Here is another one about Ties and your specific scenario:

https://www.888casino.com/blog/baccarat-tips/baccarat-tie-bet-flimflam/

If you scroll roughly three-quarters of the way down that page, what you will find is that all-0's occur with this frequency based on the cutoffs:

12 Cards- 1 in 2,866,173 Hands

14 Cards- 1 in 30,104,148 Hands

16 Cards- 1 in 404,381,500 Hands

18+ Cards- Not even expected to happen once in 20,000,000 shoes.

I guess what I'm saying is get comfortable, because you're going to be watching Baccarat for awhile.

Plus EV for sure........if your time is worthless.

Just follow the most sucessful guy at the table. My fool proof strategy haha