Dragon 7 Probability Question

I'm a little confused by the Baccarat Calculator on your sister website Wizard of Odds. It shows a detailed breakdown of hand combinations based on different deck sizes. When I look at the probability of a Banker non-natural 7 against a player 0,1,2,3,4,5 or 6 - the total combined probability of these hands occurring is MUCH higher than the published probability of the Dragon 7 bet winning of approximately 2.2%.

What am I not understanding ? Is the Baccarat Calculator wrong?

Because a banker 7 isn't a dragon hand unless it's a 3-card winning 7. two-card winning sevens don't count.

Quote: Transender46

What am I not understanding ? Is the Baccarat Calculator wrong?

It's confusing. I wish that table had one more column. When you're looking at the Natural=no banker 7 wins in the table, which total about 7.6%, it seems like that would equal the dragon winners. But, that also includes hands with a 2 card banker's hand and a 3 card player's hand. And, as sodawater said, only 3 card banker 7s are dragon 7 winners.

in baccarat, natural just means a 2-card hand of 8 or 9. It doesn't mean a 2-card in general.

Ah. This explains it

Thanks all

Does anyone know of a good software simulator that gives combinatorial breakouts on Baccarat hands. I think that is what I need.