Anybody else betting against Green Bay ?
December 15th, 2011 at 7:40:22 PM
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Have made lots of money the past few years with this system.
Green Bay won last week as a 12 point favorite. 46-16 16+12 =28 Green Bay was 18 above the line.
Kansas City was a 10 point dog against the Jets and lost 37-10. 10+10=20 Kansas city was 17 below the line.
18 + 17 = 35 I love it when the number is 30 or more.
Added bonus is Kansas City goes home and Green Bay goes on the road.
But Green Bay is 13-0 and Kansas City just fired their coach !
Green Bay won last week as a 12 point favorite. 46-16 16+12 =28 Green Bay was 18 above the line.
Kansas City was a 10 point dog against the Jets and lost 37-10. 10+10=20 Kansas city was 17 below the line.
18 + 17 = 35 I love it when the number is 30 or more.
Added bonus is Kansas City goes home and Green Bay goes on the road.
But Green Bay is 13-0 and Kansas City just fired their coach !
December 15th, 2011 at 7:49:58 PM
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I pretty much bet the underdog any NFL game where the spread is better than 12. Any given Sunday.......
Gambling is a metaphor for life. Hang around long enough and it's all gone.
December 15th, 2011 at 7:52:43 PM
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Quote: DeadRatsBut Green Bay is 13-0 and Kansas City just fired their coach !
That can be good, lots of times that wakes a team up. Or they were just fed up and want to help out the new blood. FWIW, I don't see Green Bay hitting 16-0.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
December 15th, 2011 at 9:09:12 PM
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Quote: AZDuffmanFWIW, I don't see Green Bay hitting 16-0.
Maybe the Lions can derail that crazy train.
"What, me worry?"
December 15th, 2011 at 9:46:46 PM
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KC, Chicago then Lions. The last two are at home, but against divisional rivals.
I don't so the Lions winning at Lambeau field, especially if it's a must win game. They've not got the discipline or desire right now to win it. The Pack will rest their starters after the first half in both those games... 14-2 is plenty good enough, but I suspect it'll get to 16-0.
The Lions game also has the added friction of the last game being so bad tempered....
I don't so the Lions winning at Lambeau field, especially if it's a must win game. They've not got the discipline or desire right now to win it. The Pack will rest their starters after the first half in both those games... 14-2 is plenty good enough, but I suspect it'll get to 16-0.
The Lions game also has the added friction of the last game being so bad tempered....
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
December 15th, 2011 at 11:18:02 PM
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GB will win Sunday.
.8 they finish 16-0
.45 they run the table and finish with a superbowl.
But then, I don't know squat 'bout football.
.8 they finish 16-0
.45 they run the table and finish with a superbowl.
But then, I don't know squat 'bout football.
Old enough to repaint. Young enough to sell.
December 16th, 2011 at 4:39:14 AM
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I'll be on KC money line, of course. +700 is easily available around Vegas. Given the 14-point spread, I put the fair line at +616.
Drinks are on me if the Chiefs win.
Drinks are on me if the Chiefs win.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
December 16th, 2011 at 6:27:35 AM
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I actually believe KC +14 is a great play(I have already bet it) and the money line on the game is worth a shot also. Mike, I know you love playing dogs on the money line but do you ever play them getting points and do you ever play favorites?
December 16th, 2011 at 10:19:33 AM
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Orton is starting and if healthy is far better than Palko. But GB just keeps beating the number. If they clinch everything this week by winning outright as they should (sorry Wizard), then the next 2 weeks will see a lot of starters not playing the entire game and will throw the lines into a guessing game.
December 16th, 2011 at 2:48:55 PM
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Call me a square if you must but my parlays and teasers are all on ATL, DAL, and GB this week.
December 16th, 2011 at 4:42:11 PM
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Quote: hook3670I actually believe KC +14 is a great play(I have already bet it) and the money line on the game is worth a shot also. Mike, I know you love playing dogs on the money line but do you ever play them getting points and do you ever play favorites?
No, I never bet against the spread, either way. I don't handicap, and I don't want to run all over town looking for an extra half point here and there, which I think you have to do to make money at it. There are other professional sports bettors who mainly bet against the spread, and I respect what they do. However, that just isn't my angle.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
December 16th, 2011 at 9:42:26 PM
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Value home dogs on the ML, one of my all time favorite ideas! GL Wizard.
December 18th, 2011 at 8:06:17 AM
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Quote: LottoballsValue home dogs on the ML, one of my all time favorite ideas! GL Wizard.
Thanks!
I see the line has really moved, to +10.5 now. I was too lazy to make it to the Strip for the good lines, including the one on KC. If they win I'm really going to by angry at myself.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
December 18th, 2011 at 8:16:12 AM
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Quote: WizardThanks!
I see the line has really moved, to +10.5 now. I was too lazy to make it to the Strip for the good lines, including the one on KC. If they win I'm really going to by angry at myself.
Out of curiosity on that, if you are a local do you need to go to the strip for better lines or are locals joints a better way to bet sports?
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
December 18th, 2011 at 8:25:35 AM
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Okay, I pinched my nose and put something on KC money line online. It pains me because can get a much better line at the Rampart, a short drive from here. However, I'm too lazy to get dressed and go out there in the rain.
The Strip is better. I figure because they get more square action, moving the lines in favor of the dogs. The locals are sharper bettors.
Quote: AZDuffmanOut of curiosity on that, if you are a local do you need to go to the strip for better lines or are locals joints a better way to bet sports?
The Strip is better. I figure because they get more square action, moving the lines in favor of the dogs. The locals are sharper bettors.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
December 18th, 2011 at 8:41:43 AM
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The rain is moving out of your area, Wiz. Get dressed and make that bet!
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You want the truth! You can't handle the truth!
December 18th, 2011 at 9:20:51 AM
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Ah, too bad, I could have placed a bet for you downtown. T-40 min. to kickoff!
"Dice, verily, are armed with goads and driving-hooks, deceiving and tormenting, causing grievous woe." -Rig Veda 10.34.4
December 18th, 2011 at 9:26:30 AM
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Quote: WizardOkay, I pinched my nose and put something on KC money line online. It pains me because can get a much better line at the Rampart, a short drive from here. However, I'm too lazy to get dressed and go out there in the rain.
The Strip is better. I figure because they get more square action, moving the lines in favor of the dogs. The locals are sharper bettors.
Strip better for sprots, local better for BJ/Craps--sharp life aint easy!
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
December 18th, 2011 at 11:26:51 AM
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6-0 KC at the half!
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
December 18th, 2011 at 12:52:09 PM
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Currently, you are looking like a genius...
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
December 18th, 2011 at 1:10:09 PM
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Quote: thecesspitCurrently, you are looking like a genius...
Thank you!
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
December 18th, 2011 at 1:12:53 PM
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So both the 16-0 and the 0-16 have gone this weekend. Damn. Damn once, as Rogers is my fantasy QB and he had a poor game for him stats wise. Damn twice, as I wanted to have someone else join the Lions 0-16 club (but at least Dan-Orlovsky has his first career win... after being part of the 0-16 Lolions).
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
December 18th, 2011 at 1:28:13 PM
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Quote: WizardThank you!Quote: thecesspitCurrently, you are looking like a genius...
In order to not look like a genius, I took a private bet, straight up, at half time that Green Bay would still win, forgetting the spread.
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!” She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
December 18th, 2011 at 1:33:45 PM
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Quote: WizardThanks!
I see the line has really moved, to +10.5 now. I was too lazy to make it to the Strip for the good lines, including the one on KC. If they win I'm really going to by angry at myself.
Should have broken out the unbrella :-)
I was going to use my Bovada Bonus bur with line moving against KC did not, so I am as much a loser for not clicking............
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
December 18th, 2011 at 1:59:31 PM
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Quote: AZDuffmanShould have broken out the unbrella :-)
Yup. I don't know whether to be happy for the win, or angry at myself for not driving five minutes for the better line. I'm not sure I even own an umbrella. There is not much call for them here in Vegas.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
December 18th, 2011 at 2:02:59 PM
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Wasn't there something about free beers??? And huge Congrats on the win!
December 18th, 2011 at 2:19:35 PM
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Quote: WizardI'm not sure I even own an umbrella. There is not much call for them here in Vegas.
There should be. I know it rains only once every four thousand years or so, but umbrellas make good parasols as well.
Anyway, what the bleeping hell happened? I watched a bit of the Giants/Redskins game and then i went off to the office to catch up on some work. I come back and I find this.
The Chiefs? Seriously? And it's not even the 28th of December yet...
Donald Trump is a fucking criminal
December 18th, 2011 at 2:56:35 PM
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Quote: WizardYup. I don't know whether to be happy for the win, or angry at myself for not driving five minutes for the better line. I'm not sure I even own an umbrella. There is not much call for them here in Vegas.
I didn't have one in Phoenix and would not if and when I get to LV. Though I will bring a brand new snowshovel.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
December 18th, 2011 at 6:39:40 PM
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Next time I see you, Wizard, I'll bring you a Niagara Falls branded umbrella or perhaps a poncho from the Maid of the Mist.
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You want the truth! You can't handle the truth!
December 18th, 2011 at 8:37:52 PM
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Quote: AZDuffmanI didn't have one in Phoenix and would not if and when I get to LV. Though I will bring a brand new snowshovel.
I live on the rain coast and don't have a umbrella (though I regretted that last time I was in Vancouver... the rain there is like nothing else... once it starts, it really sticks around for days).
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
December 18th, 2011 at 9:07:40 PM
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In Hong Kong and Shanghai, which can get very rainy, you seldom see umbrellas. I think they just accept the rain rather than try to hide from it. A good raincoat is enough to stay dry.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
December 19th, 2011 at 12:56:25 AM
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Did Greenbay win?
Was their anything unusual about the score?
Was their anything unusual about the score?
December 19th, 2011 at 7:33:02 AM
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OK Wiz. I will settle for a diet coke. I'll put in your tab along with the 40 pushups.
December 19th, 2011 at 7:49:31 AM
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Quote: FleaStiffDid Greenbay win?
Was their anything unusual about the score?
Green Bay 14, KC 19.
KC won with 4 field goals and a Jackie Battle touch down, and Green Bay had one Aaron Rogers passing TD and one running TD.
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
